[Boundless]

> Bush will need to have Presidential favorability
> and polling levels of 51%, at least.

WaPo reluctantly puts JA at 54%.

However, these sources can easily be lying and spinning.

As I reprised on other threads earlier:

There are any number of reasons for the Pravda Press to lie
about poll results. Here are a few:

1. Money: Retain viewer/reader interest and keep
ratings/subscriptions up (and ad revenue)

2. Money: Keep the campaigns buying ads.

3. Agenda: Keep the DNC base from staying home 02 Nov

4. Agenda: Because even if Kerry can't possibly win,
they want to prevent GOP supermajorities in congress

5. Agenda: Force the GOP to spend money where they
don't really need to

6. Agenda: Have fake numbers to cover DNC vote fraud

[unspun]

I think that the polsters' professional pride overrides their partisanship. They want to be right --especially just before November 2. Much, much money and reputation is at stake, there.

[IrishGOP]

Agenda: Force the GOP to spend money where they don't really need to

I don't think the Bush campaign is using the msm to determine where they spend their money. They pay a lot of money on specialized internal polling that will tell them where to spend money and campaign.