Posted on 10/18/2004 6:12:09 PM PDT by redstate38
Just my opinion here, but Kerry is still strong, it seems, among the states. While Bush is unquestionably winning nationally, he seems to be stalled in some states. Ohio and Florida come to mind, as well as Wisconsin and Iowa. New Mexico is a mystery, as the last poll was done in September, with Bush up by three. I do not know what to believe in regards to New Hampshire. Kerry is a known quantity there, so you would think that his liberalism would doom him, but that is not the case thus far. I feel that something has to happen within the next week or so to push Bush into the 300+ electoral vote count, otherwise we are in for another repeat of 2000 for sure. If it is close, this favors the DNC theives. Your comments, one and all?
Ohio and Florida are giving me an ulcer
God why cant BUsh open up a clear lead in these places
Bush will win Fla and OH.
Don't trust the polls, just vote, vote vote!
http://www.tripias.com/state/
Bush: 288 Electoral Votes (153 likely, 135 uncertain)
Kerry: 250 Electoral Votes (150 likely, 100 uncertain)
The State polls almost always lag behind the National polls. Cheer up, President Bush will win both Ohio and Florida.
RCP state poll averages are probably skewing due to the latest batch of Survey USA polls taken over this last weekend. Once other polls come in to replace this set, the averages will go back up, and start trending Bush like the national polls in the last few days IMHO.
Pissant's prediction: Bush 44 states, Kerry 6+DC.
Now what happens if Bush wins the popular vote but loses in electoral votes (heaven forbid). Will Bush run around the country like Gore and say "I really won..." No
Of course this is all academic cause Bush is going to win both the pop and elctoral votes.
Welcome to Free Republic.
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"...Kerry is still strong, it seems, among the states
While Bush is unquestionably winning nationally..."
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That is such a stupid statement, I don't know where to begin.
You newbies are out in force tonight with your doom and gloom posts.
The poll that will count is on election day.
I'm just a little worried, as there are just sooooooooo many polls now. Who knows what to believe anymore? Generally, I have always gone with Rasmussen and Battleground polling. I am worried about all the fraud out there. But I am really worried about all these "new" polling firms popping up, like Survey USA and Chicago Tribune. How can all these pools be so far apart at times?
Survey USA must be dem plants. They only show Bush by THREE in NC.
Are they always that ridiculous??
Martinez is pulling away in FL. Bush will be right with him.
Why don't you "try" to explain, instead of just saying something stupid?
Not a newbie, slick.
This bunch are weekend polls so results seem skewed, as I said, but normally they have decent outcomes. They did have that famous California outlier which showed Bush within 5-6 points of Kerry so they have missed the mark before. That was 2-3 months ago, I think, and it caused a short-lived stir.
Iowa futures odds makers must know something we dont. They have Bush 63 to 37 right now.
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