Zogby Flashback: Bush Leads in Reuters Poll, But Gore Rises in Key States (Gore leads FL by 10%)

Reuters | 10/30/00

[irish guard]

Oh crap....I read Gore and thought Kerry....sheesh...don't scare me like that

[pissant]

For a more recent example of the pathetic polling, look at Zogby's 2002 Colorado (senate) and Florida (gov) races.

[TheBigB]

Ridiculous. Gore has NO chance in Florida.

[rocklobster11]

The key differences between 2000 and 2004 are:

• There was no incumbent in 2000
• The polls mentioned from 2000 show Bush leading 45-42, meaning there was alot of undecided and neither candidate was near 50%. Today, it's Bush 50-47 over Kerry, so there is less room for undecided to make a difference
• 9/11 changed alot of democrats from being domestic issue driven to terrorism driven

[Always Right]

polls are like opinions, everyone has one.

[Family Guy]

Wow! Gore was ahead by 11 points in Florida at this time in 2000, yet Bush still won the state.

[conservativepoet]

Very interesting. Compared to the 2000 election, Bush is in a much better situation including the country's driving issue of the campaign: terroism. Bush didn't have that kind of issue back then. A great post that provides a little perspective for those in need of some Republican courage.

[Rokke]

I love it when you pull up these old stories.

[Holden Magroin]

Actually, Zogby's last poll for the 2002 Florida race was dead on.

[tobyhill]

This is excellent. Thank you for reminding everyone that these polls do nothing but increase the chances for a heart attack. If anyone really wants to know how Bush is doing just look at his crowd sizes compared to the half sized Kerry's. Look at where they're campaigning, Bush in Democrat country and Kerry can't even energize the Democrat country.

[skaterboy]

Im waiting for Kerry to take a lead in Rasmussen and watch the panic from the chicken littles/trolls

[jim_trent]

Looks like Zogby is factoring in the double voting, dead voters, illegal-alien voters, and convicted felon voters. With those, he is probably pretty close. Without them, it is nearer the other polls.

[skaterboy]

Yea a 12 point swing in from the previous poll i believe.Real spot on

[CatOwner]

"Compared to the 2000 election, Bush is in a much better situation including the country's driving issue of the campaign: terroism. Bush didn't have that kind of issue back then."

True, but Bush also didn't have the huge negatives he has this time. It wouldn't take much to drive Bush's negatives up enough to cause him to lose the election. That's what the RATs and the MSM are trying to do. It's their best shot at the WH in 2004.

[ArmyBratproud]

That's what Zogby wants to happen.

HEY ZOGBY...I have a flashback for ya!


BUSH WINS!

[madison46]

ping for good stuff

[Holden Magroin]

As usual, most of Zogby's polls were accurate, but a couple were totally off the wall.

[pissant]

Yeah, he tried to cover his ass at the very end. Lets look at Oct 2002:
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=634

[TitansAFC]

I'm glad somebody finally verified what I've been saying.

I still remember that Bush was supposed to win the popular vote and Gore the Electoral College precisely because Gore had "put Florida away." That's why the networks were so confident in calling Florida for Gore so early.

Bush's support in Florida is vastly under-polled. I worry more about Ohio, though the Social Security scare and early voting have me worried.......