TradeSports.com currently has the 'Icans favored in 17 Senate races and tied in one. Two more are are only slightly in favor of the 'Rats (Dasshole is one of these two; AK is the other).
SD was "pie-in-the-sky" from the start. There is no way that those stubborn Dakotans are going to replace the Senate minority leader with a former congressman who lost two years ago. They want the federal gravy for SD from Daschle and the national security from GW Bush. Who says, SD does not want its cake and eat it too? Up to 25 percent of Bush supporters in SD will vote for Daschle.
Murkowski's problem is that she has alienated conservatives in AK. Is there a third independent or conservative candidate there for the Senate? Plus she has the problem of nepotism from her father. AK people do not understand that Knowles will vote to the left of Murkowski in the Senate.