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Kerry, Obama lead in poll (Illinois: Kerry 50, Bush 42. Obama 66, Keyes 19)
CBS 2 Chicago ^ | October 23, 2004 | AP

Posted on 10/23/2004 5:34:33 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John

CHICAGO (AP) Democratic candidates John Kerry and Barack Obama held solid leads in Illinois for president and U.S. Senate heading into the home stretch before the Nov. 2 election, a new poll shows.

In the presidential race, 50 percent of likely Illinois voters were in favor of Kerry, while 42 percent supported President Bush and 7 percent were undecided, according to a Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll published in Sunday editions.

A Tribune poll one month ago showed Kerry with a 49 percent to 40 percent advantage over Bush.

In the Senate race, Obama held on to his firm lead over Republican Alan Keyes. Among the likely voters surveyed, 66 percent said they supported Obama, 19 percent favored Keyes and 9 percent were undecided, the poll said.

The survey of 700 registered voters who said they were likely to vote on Nov. 2 was conducted by Mount Prospect-based Market Shares Corp. on Oct. 16-19 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Though Kerry maintained the lead in Illinois, Bush narrowed the gap. The president also had the advantage over Kerry among voters in traditionally Republican counties for the first time in the race, the poll said.

But Bush trailed Kerry for the first time among independent voters. The poll showed Kerry held on to his lead because voters had a favorable impression of him during the three debates with Bush. Fifty-two percent of those polled said they thought Kerry won the debates, while 21 percent said Bush did.

Twenty-eight percent of Kerry-backers said they planned to vote for the Massachusetts senator because they disliked Bush. One-third of Kerry voters said they supported him because they liked him, 35 percent said it was a combination of the two factors, the poll said.

However 62 percent of those polled said they planned to vote for Bush because they liked the president.

In the race to replace outgoing Republican Sen. Peter Fitzgerald, Keyes has not gotten support from some of his fellow Republicans, partly because of his controversial comments, including labeling homosexuality an abomination and saying Jesus Christ would not vote for Obama.

According to the poll, 43 percent of Republicans planned to vote for Keyes, while 32 percent of GOP voters said they preferred Obama. Meanwhile 90 percent of Democrats said they would vote for Obama.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Illinois
KEYWORDS: abb; alankeyes; barackobama; bluestate; bush; kerry; keyes; obama; polls
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Kerry's lead has shrunk here. Barring a miracle, Bush won't win the Land of Lincoln, but even in this bluest of blue states, the Anyone But Bush factor is a big force within Kerry's "support."
1 posted on 10/23/2004 5:34:34 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John

let put a black hole here when this is done....... have brown and root pave it .... we need more parking any way..


2 posted on 10/23/2004 5:36:34 PM PDT by Gibtx (Pajamahadien call to arms.....)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John
32 percent of GOP voters said they preferred Obama

??????????? Is Keyes THAT bad that a Republican would knowingly vote for that Socialist S.O.B??

3 posted on 10/23/2004 5:37:19 PM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John

Don't forget to add at least 7% to Kerry's total in order to correct for the voting from Chicago's "special districts".


4 posted on 10/23/2004 5:37:41 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (The price of freedom is eternal vigilance)
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To: Gibtx

Hey, I live here!!!! I'll send you a map of the wards, townships and counties that need to be paved over.


5 posted on 10/23/2004 5:38:21 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
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To: RockinRight

No.


6 posted on 10/23/2004 5:39:11 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John
I knew there would be a poll released that was taken before their debate LOL!

Oh well, it's undoubtedly bad news none the less.

7 posted on 10/23/2004 5:39:32 PM PDT by mrsmith ("Oyez, oyez! All rise for the Honorable Chief Justice... Hillary Rodham Clinton ")
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To: Gibtx

I'm sure it's not the scum of Chicago who so love the marxist theives (redundant term) running for office....


8 posted on 10/23/2004 5:40:22 PM PDT by SteveMcKing
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John

Illinois is not on my radar screen. Poor Abe, to think he is stuck in Illinois!!!


9 posted on 10/23/2004 5:41:15 PM PDT by rjmeagle (Future Generations Will Say the Republican Party is the Party of Lincoln and GW Bush!!!)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John
illinois is a lost cause. sort of like the bears. too many dead people voting. also sort of like the bears.
10 posted on 10/23/2004 5:41:22 PM PDT by smonk
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John

Lets start with Bridgeport.


11 posted on 10/23/2004 5:42:20 PM PDT by AggieCPA (Howdy, Ags!)
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To: COEXERJ145

Come on now!!! You can't deprive Casper, Dracula and his dead family of thousands the right to vote. Now that wouldn't be fair :)


12 posted on 10/23/2004 5:43:04 PM PDT by rjmeagle (Future Generations Will Say the Republican Party is the Party of Lincoln and GW Bush!!!)
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To: RockinRight

I'm prefacing this by saying that I'm voting for Keyes on Nov. 2, but I will say that Keyes' big mouth has won him few friends here in Illinois. Whether its true or not, the issue of carpetbagging turns a lot of people off. The communist Obama hasn't had to really lift a finger to win this seat, all he has to do is run a few soft, touchy feely ads about how he connects with the "common man", and stand back and let Keyes self-destruct.


13 posted on 10/23/2004 5:43:04 PM PDT by egarvue (Martin Sheen is not my president...)
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To: Gibtx

I live in Illinois too...reserve your paving ideas to the upper third of Il...we are more conservative south of I80...


14 posted on 10/23/2004 5:44:32 PM PDT by mystery-ak (Go Cards)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John

I'm convinced it will be closer than 8 points. I'm sure Kerry will win here---but won't be surprised if its' closer than he'd like.


15 posted on 10/23/2004 5:44:44 PM PDT by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John
Don't forget to add at least 7% to Kerry's total in order to correct for the voting from Chicago's "special districts".

Actually, since there are few competive races here due to the collapse of the Republican party in Illinois, there'll be a little less cheating in Cook County (Chicago and a lot of dark blue suburbs). There are a couple of scandals (Hired Truck, Building Inspectors) inching closer to Daley. Richie doesn't need a voting fraud scandal on his plate too. Tort reform is a huge issue downstate, and we'll pick up a few state legislature seats because of it. Daley's brother is not in charge of the Kerry campaign, unlike Gore's. Bush will lose here, but not by a large amount.

If we had another month, we could pull it off. There's not enough time.

16 posted on 10/23/2004 5:44:45 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
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To: mystery-ak

good to know where to tell them to put the pay booth at.... southern half could be wind fall parking lot fees.....


17 posted on 10/23/2004 5:45:33 PM PDT by Gibtx (Pajamahadien call to arms.....)
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To: Land_of_Lincoln_John
When is the last time Bush has visited Illinois? The Shrub has probably had more news conferences in the past year than visits to Chicago.

OTOH, maybe Bush is afraid to be seen with Keyes, or vice versa. I wouldn't blame Keyes for avoiding any association with Bush's record of failure on the economy and in Iraq.

18 posted on 10/23/2004 5:46:01 PM PDT by MurryMom
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To: MurryMom

He was in Glenview for a Homeland Security event in July, a Republican town in northern Cook County, then he went to a private home fundraiser in either Wilmette or Winnetka.


19 posted on 10/23/2004 5:49:09 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
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To: MurryMom

Murrymom. TROLL ALERT. How have you been a FReeper for six years!


20 posted on 10/23/2004 5:50:21 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
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