Posted on 10/25/2004 8:03:28 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
Surveys conducted October 18-20:
FL Bush +2, IA Even, MI Kerry +2, MN Kerry +1, OH Bush +2
Also: FL Martinez +3
FL: Bush retains a small lead over Kerry
IA: Kerry has caught up to Bush
MI: Bush now within two points of Kerry
MN: Bush now within one point of Kerry
OH: Kerry now within two points of Kerry
Little dated
If you flip flop enough, you can do that.
This is the republican polling firm correct?
Flip Kerry chasing Flop Kerry? Lol...
Correction: Kerry now within two points of Bush.
And, yes, it is all about turn out. We can win this thing, but so can the other side.
Including, we can win Pennsylvania and Michigan, in addition to Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and New Mexico, and maybe a surprise or two (such as Hawaii), plus every state we carried four years ago.
And, we can sure use an outright majority of the popular vote, meaning that every vote in every state, battleground or not, is important.
Three of these "close races" are blue states!
bothersome about Iowa...the President seemingly had a lot of momentumm there.
Gotta average em together. In Iowa this past few days has Bush in Zogby +3 and in SUSA Poll +6.
I am tired. Someone please explain to me: how can polls have any validity at all when they cannot possibly reach the (mostly young, mostly liberal) people who use only cell phones and don't have a land line? Or the people like me who keep their landline tied up all the time with an internet connection? Or the people who screen their calls with an answering machine, which is most of the rest of us?
Weighting. If 20% of the population is of a certain demographic group, but only 10% of the answered polls belong to that group they can double the value of that 10%. This presumes that the 10% is representative of the entire group.
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