Tracking Polls Show Vitter with 51 Percent

Shreveport, LA, Times | 10-27-04 | Theodore R.

[Theodore R.]

Originally, the Shreveport Times was a "conservative" paper. It endorsed Goldwater and Nixon, and I believe Ford and Reagan too in 1976 and 1980. Then when Michael Dukakis, John F. Kerry's "governor," came around, I think he was irrestible to the new breed of editors there. So it's no real surprise that Kerry attracted them too.

[Theodore R.]

The hunters often do not vote in the December general elections because they forget to cast an absentee ballot. That helps the Democrats, who really can turn out the vote in the Orleans metro area. Sometimes the "living" in New Orleans vote in the name of "the dead."

[LS]

It's on this thread: it occurred on, I think, O'Reilly where he was talking to Tony Snow who said his sources said Kerry was basically packing it in in FL. NRO disputes this, but it does sound legit to me. I've said for two weeks that FL and OH were all but in the bag, and that both camps knew it.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1258012/posts

[LincolnLover]

Would make sense that both undecideds and moderate Dem Chris John supporters would move to Vitter in the final days, what with Vitter's huge lead.

Everybody loves a winner, after all.

[deport]

Coop at some point LA will break the tradition and elect a Republican Senator. This maybe the year. They've come close in the past when Landrieu won the first time. Crowley has been a player in LA politics over the past 30+ yrs with Edwards first as a Representative, then Gov and Breaux following as Rep. and Senator. Interestly had Edwards lost the first Gov. race to Bennett then he most likely would have had the Senate seat Bennett won. Bennett entered that race on a whim because he had some money left over and wanted to continue to build his statewide name recognition. Then Ellender died after the democrat field had been set and I don't remember if there was a Republican challenger or not. In addition, Acadiana has turned somewhat more conservative or Republican in voting over the past few years....

This is the Verne Kennedy poll which is using a 600 rolling 3-day tracking sequence now. The article mentions that on Monday Vitter came in at 54% which is what put him over the 50% line. Vitter is polling at some 63% in his home area, 57 in North LA, 41% in Acadiana and 41% in New Orleans. This poll clearly shows a trend upward for Vitter but with the MOE at 4% it offers a lot of wiggle room.

The Article

[deport]

41% in Acadiana s/b 43% in Acadiana

[Coop]

Good stuff, especially about the 54% mark. Thanks!

[Coop]

Thanks for the info & link

[Theodore R.]

Then Ellender died after the democrat field had been set and I don't remember if there was a Republican challenger or not.

Yes, there was a GOP candidate for the Senate in 1972. Ben Toledano polled only 17 percent, even as Nixon swept every parish. Two years earlier Toledano had lost the New Orleans mayoral election to a Democrat with a soon-to-be-popular name, Maurice "Moon" Landrieu, Carter's HUD secretary and father of current Sen. Mary Landrieu Snellings. The other 1972 candidate was the late Independent John McKeithen, who had just left the state's Democratic governorship. He was the father of current Secretary of State Fox McKeithen, the only LA Republican holding statewide office. John McKeithen was reportedly never reconciled to his son's Republicanism.

[Theodore R.]

tied with Puff

Where does this nickname "Puff" come from?

[LS]

Two years ago when Daschle was stonewalling all legislation, Rush said he was a gangsta, like "Puff Daddy" and the name stuck.

[BerniesFriend]

the metro areas in Louisiana seem to lean democrat in this state due to the large percentages of minorities who tend to be democratic. If we could succeed New Orleans and Shreveport from the state, Louisiana would be the single most conservative state in the country.

Yeah..but don't forget..blanco was elected by an incredible coalition of blacks and bigots.. central and northern parishes that voted for david duke magically voted for blanco..I guess they were impressed with her position on child care leave..blanco even lost her own home parish..sadly Bobby Jindal was the wrong color for those backward voting inbreds in those parishes..