Posted on 10/30/2004 9:52:33 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache
This page presents the CNN "poll of polls" - that is, an average of selected national public polling data to get a sense of the broader picture. While we are mindful that the polls we average are based on different samples and turnout models, the picture yielded by a combination of the polls is less volatile than that of an individual poll, due to the sheer number of interviews that the combination provides. The polls we have included in the "poll of polls" are screened carefully to ensure that they adhere to methodologies generally accepted among polling professionals.
October 29 Bush Kerry Likely voters, average of 7 polls (14) 49% 46%
October 28 Likely voters, average of 6 polls (13) 49% 46%
October 27 Likely voters, average of 6 polls (12) 49% 47%
October 26 Likely voters, average of 6 polls (11) 49% 47% CNN Poll of polls October 25 Likely voters, average of 5 polls (10) 49% 46% CNN Poll of polls October 23 Likely voters, average of 10 polls (9) 49% 46% CNN Poll of polls October 22 Likely voters, average of 11 polls (8) 49% 46% CNN Poll of polls October 21 Likely voters, average of 11 polls (7) 48% 46% CNN Poll of polls October 20 Likely voters, average of 8 polls (6) 49% 45% CNN Poll of polls October 19 Likely voters, average of 6 polls (5) 49% 45%
October 18 Likely voters average of 5 polls (4) 50% 45%
Pre-October 13 debate Likely voters, average of 5 polls (3) 47% 46%
Pre-October 8 debate Likely voters, average of 10 polls (2) 48% 46%
Pre-September 30 debate Likely and registered voters, average of 10 polls (1) 49% 44%
View poll roundups for other showdown states and polls: Pick state: Poll of polls -------- Colorado Florida Iowa Maine Michigan Minnesota Missouri Nevada New Hampshire New Mexico Ohio Oregon Pennsylvania West Virginia Wisconsin
(1) Polls included: LA Times released September 28; IDB/TIPP released September 27; CNN/USA/Gallup released September 26; Pew released September 26; ABC/Wash Post released September 26; Time Poll released September 23; Fox/Opinion Dyn. released September 22; AP/Ipsos released September 22; CBS released September 22; Marist released September 22.
(2) Polls included: Time Poll released October 7; AP/Ipsos released October 7; Marist released October 5; ICR released October 5; ARG released October 4; Fox/Opinion Dyn. released October 4; ABC/Wash Post released October 3; CBS/NYT released October 3; Pew released October 3; CNN/USA/Gallup released October 3.
(3) Polls included: IDB/TIPP releasedOctober13; ICR releasedOctober11; CBS/NYT releasedOctober11; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober 10; CNN/USA/GALLUP releasedOctober10.
(4) Polls included: CNN/USA/GALLUP releasedOctober17; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober 16; IDB/TIPP releasedOctober16; Newsweek releasedOctober 15; Time Poll releasedOctober15.
(5) Polls included: CBS/NYT releasedOctober17; CNN/USA/GALLUP releasedOctober17; ; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober 16; IDB/TIPP releasedOctober16; Newsweek releasedOctober 15; Time Poll releasedOctober15.
(6) Polls included: NBC/WSJ releasedOctober18; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober18; Fox/Opinion Dyn. releasedOctober18; CBS/NYT releasedOctober17; CNN/USA/GALLUP releasedOctober17; IDB/TIPP releasedOctober16; Newsweek releasedOctober 15; Time Poll releasedOctober15.
(7) Polls included: AP/Ipsos releasedOctober20; Marist releasedOctober19; Pew releasedOctober19; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober19; NBC/WSJ releasedOctober18; Fox/Opinion Dyn. releasedOctober 18; CBS/NYT releasedOctober17; CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober17; IDB/TIPP releasedOctober 16; Newsweek releasedOctober15; Time Poll releasedOctober15.
(8) Polls included: Time Poll releasedOctober21; AP/Ipsos releasedOctober20; Marist releasedOctober19; Pew releasedOctober19; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober19; NBC/WSJ releasedOctober18; Fox/Opinion Dyn. releasedOctober 18; CBS/NYT releasedOctober17; CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober17; IDB/TIPP releasedOctober 16; Newsweek releasedOctober15.
(9) Polls included: Newsweek releasedOctober22; Time Poll releasedOctober21; AP/Ipsos releasedOctober20; Marist releasedOctober19; Pew releasedOctober19; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober19; NBC/WSJ releasedOctober18; Fox/Opinion Dyn. releasedOctober 18; CBS/NYT releasedOctober17; CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober17.
(10) Polls included: CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober24; TIPP releasedOctober23; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober23; Newsweek releasedOctober22; Time Poll releasedOctober21.
(11) Polls included: CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober24; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober24; LA Times releasedOctober23; TIPP releasedOctober23; Newsweek releasedOctober22; Time Poll releasedOctober21.
(12) Polls included: TIPP tracker releasedOctober26; ABC/Wash Track releasedOctober25; CNN/USA/Gallup releasedOctober24; LA Times releasedOctober23; Newsweek releasedOctober22; Time Poll releasedOctober21.
(13) Polls included: TIPP tracker released October 27; ABC/Wash Track released October 27; CNN/USA/Gallup released October 24; Los Angeles Times released October 23; Newsweek released October 22; Time Poll released October 21.
(14) Polls included: ABC/Wash Track released Oct.28; Fox/Opinion Dyn. Released Oct. 28; TIPP tracker released Oct.28; CNN/USA/Gallup released Oct.24; LA Times released Oct.23; Newsweek released Oct.22; Time Poll released Oct.21.
Meaningless. This is a state by state contest. Ev's will determine the election. It's tight by any measure.
Good post. I agree, I sense a reaal W surge and optimism, and a sense of desperation among Dums
The only important poll is the one final one on 11-2.
While it is true that the main poll is 11/2....keep up the confidence, don't let anyone's negative opinions get ya down.
Agreed.
I'm very concerned about Ohio, where I just heard that you need no ID to vote.
That doesn't even make sense, and things that make no sense always worry me.
I really believe that Ohio is the Key, and I'm not sure that we can win WI, if we can't win Ohio.
Seems almost as if how Ohio goes, so go the other states West, and that points to either a Bush runaway, or a Kerry squeaker.
Only three more days and we don't have to look at Election 2004 poll numbers anymore.
Bottom line. The GOP in Ohio is a lean, mean counting machine. They KNOW, down to the person's phone number, who is voting for Bush. Dan Barlett told O'Reilly he guarantees Bush will win Ohio. Now, feel better?
Zogby has Bush up 2 in MI?????!! How did I miss that?
This will be the first election that I have voted for a Republican, not counting my Rep. Congressman...who by the way has no challenger on Nov.2nd. whoo hoo!!
I digressed, sorry.
In my heart, head and soul I believe Bush will win. Naysayers can take that negativity down the road.
Remember the silent majority of the 1984 election. Sure people told pollsters they were politically correct and supported Walter Mondull. But when the polls opened people rushed to vote for Reagan in record numbers and led to an electoral landslide. I'm looking for a decisive victory - but if even close - it bodes well that Bush has been consistently up in all the major polls. It's said that the candidates always know, from their internal polling, what the results of the election will be on the Friday preceding the election. If / as that's the case, things are looking good for Bush. If people vote for the president they will be able to share in a great and historic victory on November 2.
Bump
Welcome to the Republican Party. I am a Reagan Democrate.
Welcome! ...happy to see that you've joined the Party!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
