NEWSWEEK....BUSH 50 KERRY 44

CNN | Nov, 1,2004

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

This is unscientific but Eleonore Clift on Fox News (formerly fair and balanced) looks like she lost her last friend and is about to cry! :)

"Unscientific" is right. Everyone knows Eleanor Clift doesn't actually have any real "friends," not counting the voices in her head.

Seriously: that's a wonderful, WONDERFUL image to sustain me throughout the rest of the day. Thank you. :)

[gswilder]

I know there is a lot of speculation about watching the demeanor of the TV folks. That this is an indicator of how it is going. Just remember, that we probably have more accurate and timely information that they do; including inside info.

[Wisconsin]

Look at the date on the MSNBC story -- October 30 -- Saturday. This is the old poll.

[thag]

This is also shown at Realclearpolitics.com but their average shows only a +1.7 lead. Vote vote vote!

thag

[Fishtalk]

Please see my Blog Election Predictions.

Kaitlyn's Grandmother Predicts Bush in a Landslide

[goodnesswins]

DEMOCRATS are an "anamoly".....and the "anamoly" is about to begin stage 2 of its death.....

[RobFromGa]

this is old, Oct 27-29 sample, reported Saturday.

[aspiring.hillbilly]

Let the land slide and bury the Frankenstein so deep that this ill begotten bastard never slithers across the national stage again!!

[BP2]

I REALLY think this is old data, from Oct 30 (see the 12th poll):

RealClearPolitics Poll Average^SM
3-Way Race: Bush/Cheney vs Kerry/Edwards vs Nader/Camejo
Send This Page to a Friend | Graph: RCP Historical Poll Average

Poll	Date	Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	Nader/ Camejo	Spread
RCP Average	10/27-10/31	48.5%	46.8%	0.8%	Bush +1.7
Marist (987 LV)	10/31	48%	49%	1%	Kerry +1
Reuters/Zogby (1208 LV)	10/29 - 10/31	48%	47%	1%	Bush +1
CNN/USA/Gallup(1573 LV)*	10/29 - 10/31	49%	49%	1%	TIE
NBC/WSJ (1014 LV)	10/29 - 10/31	48%	47%	1%	Bush +1
FOX News (1200 LV)	10/29 - 10/30	46%	46%	1%	TIE
GW/Battleground (1000 LV)	10/27, 28, 31	49%	46%	0%	Bush +3
CBS/NY Times (643 LV)	10/28 - 10/30	49%	46%	1%	Bush +3
TIPP (936 LV)	10/28 - 10/30	48%	43%	1%	Bush +5
ARG (1258 LV)	10/28 - 10/30	48%	48%	1%	TIE
Pew Research (1925 LV)	10/27 - 10/30	51%	48%	1%	Bush +3
ABC/Wash Post (2047 LV)**	10/27 - 10/30	48%	48%	0%	TIE
Newsweek (882 LV)	10/27 - 10/29	50%	44%	1%	Bush +6
GW/Battleground (1000 LV)	10/25 - 10/28	51%	46%	0%	Bush +5
ICR (741 LV)	10/22 - 10/26	48%	45%	2%	Bush +3
CNN/USAT/Gallup (1195 LV)	10/22 - 10/24	51%	46%	1%	Bush +5
Los Angeles Times (881 LV)	10/21 - 10/24	48%	48%	1%	TIE
Newsweek (880 LV)	10/21 - 10/22	48%	46%	1%	Bush +2
Time (803 LV)	10/19 - 10/21	51%	46%	2%	Bush +5
GW/Battleground (1000 LV)	10/18 - 10/21	49%	45%	1%	Bush +4
AP-Ipsos (976 LV)	10/18 - 10/20	46%	49%	2%	Kerry +3
Marist (772 LV w/leaners)	10/17 - 10/19	49%	48%	1%	Bush +1
FOX News (1000 LV)	10/17 - 10/18	49%	42%	2%	Bush +7
Pew Research (1070 LV)	10/15 - 10/19	47%	47%	1%	TIE
ABC/Wash Post* (1237 LV)	10/16 - 10/18	51%	46%	1%	Bush +5
NBC/WSJ (LV w/leaners)	10/16 - 10/18	48%	48%	1%	TIE
Harris (820 LV)***	10/14 - 10/17	49.5%	44.5%	1%	Bush +5
CBS/NY Times (678 LV)	10/14 - 10/17	47%	45%	2%	Bush +2
CNN/USAT/Gallup (788 LV)	10/14 - 10/16	52%	44%	1%	Bush +8
Time (865 LV w/leaners)	10/14 - 10/15	48%	47%	3%	Bush +1
Newsweek (880 LV)	10/14 - 10/15	50%	44%	1%	Bush +6
GW/Battleground (1000 LV)	10/11 - 10/14	49%	46%	0%	Bush +3
ABC/Wash Post* (1248 LV)	10/11 - 10/13	48%	48%	1%	TIE
Zogby (1223 LV)	10/9 - 10/11	45%	45%	2%	TIE
CBS News (760 LV)	10/9 - 10/11	48%	45%	2%	Bush +3
ICR (763 LV)	10/9 - 10/11	48%	43%	2%	Bush +5
CNN/USAT/Gallup (793 LV)	10/9 - 10/10	48%	49%	1%	Kerry +1
Time (886 LV w/leaners)	10/6 - 10/7	46%	45%	4%	Bush +1
GW/Battleground (1250 LV)	10/3 - 10/7	49%	46%	0%	Bush +3
AP/Ipsos (944 LV)	10/4 - 10/6	46%	50%	2%	Kerry +4
Marist (642 LV)	10/4 - 10/5	49%	46%	1%	Bush +3
Fox News (1000 LV)	10/3 - 10/4	47%	45%	1%	Bush +2
ICR (762 LV)	10/1 - 10/5	51%	45%	2%	Bush +6
ARG (800 LV)	10/2 - 10/4	46%	46%	2%	TIE
ABC News/WP (1169 LV)	10/1 - 10/3	51%	46%	1%	Bush +5
CBS News/NYT (561 LV)	10/1 - 10/3	47%	47%	1%	TIE
Zogby (1036 LV)	10/1 - 10/3	46%	43%	2%	Bush +3
Pew Research (801 LV)	10/1 - 10/3	49%	44%	2%	Bush +5
CNN/USAT/Gallup (772 LV)	10/1 - 10/3	49%	49%	1%	TIE
Newsweek (1013 RV)	9/30 - 10/2	45%	47%	2%	Kerry +2
SHU Poll Inst. (1003 LV)	9/27 - 10/2	48%	43%	2%	Bush +5
Battleground (1000 LV)	9/27 - 9/30	51%	44%	1%	Bush +7
LA Times (1100 LV)	9/25 - 9/28	51%	45%	2%	Bush +6
CNN/USAT/Gallup (758 LV)	9/24 - 9/26	52%	44%	3%	Bush +8
IBD/TIPP (649 LV)	9/22 - 9/27	45%	45%	2%	TIE
ABC News/WP (810 LV)	9/23 - 9/26	51%	45%	1%	Bush +6
Pew Research (948 RV)	9/22 - 9/26	48%	40%	2%	Bush +8
Time (877 LV)	9/21 - 9/23	48%	42%	5%	Bush +6
FOX News (1000 LV)	9/21 - 9/22	46%	42%	1%	Bush +4
Battleground (1000 LV)	9/20 - 9/23	50%	45%	0%	Bush +5
Marist (630 LV)	9/20 - 9/22	50%	44%	2%	Bush +6
CBS News (931 LV)	9/20 - 9/22	51%	42%	2%	Bush +9
AP/Ipsos (931 LV)	9/20 - 9/22	52%	45%	1%	Bush +7
Pew Research (989 RV)	9/17 - 9/21	45%	42%	3%	Bush +3
NBC News/WSJ (787 LV)	9/17 - 9/19	50%	46%	1%	Bush +4
Zogby (1066 LV)	9/17 - 9/19	46%	43%	1%	Bush +3
IBD/TIPP (650 LV)	9/14 - 9/18	45%	42%	2%	Bush +3
ARG (LV)	9/7 - 9/21	47%	46%	1%	Bush +1
CBS News (1048 RV)	9/12 - 9/16	50%	41%	3%	Bush +9
CNN/USAT/Gallup (767 LV)	9/13 - 9/15	54%	40%	3%	Bush +14
Battleground (1000 LV)	9/12 - 9/15	49%	45%	1%	Bush +4
Pew Research (725 LV)	9/11 - 9/14	47%	46%	1%	Bush +1
Harris (867 LV)	9/9 - 9/13	47%	48%	2%	Kerry +1
Newsweek (1003 RV)	9/9 - 9/10	49%	43%	2%	Bush +6
IBD/TIPP (674 LV)	9/7 - 9/12	46%	46%	3%	TIE
Zogby (1018 LV)	9/8 - 9/9	46%	42%	2%	Bush +4
Time (857 LV)	9/7 - 9/9	52%	41%	3%	Bush +11
AP/Ipsos (899 LV)	9/7 - 9/9	51%	46%	1%	Bush +5
FOX/Opin. Dyn. (1000 LV)	9/7 - 9/8	47%	43%	3%	Bush +4
ABC News/Wash Post (LV)	9/6 - 9/8	52%	43%	2%	Bush +9
Pew Research (745 LV)	9/8 - 9/10	54%	38%	2%	Bush +16
CBS News (909 RV)	9/6 - 9/8	49%	42%	1%	Bush +7
CNN/USAT/Gallup (778 LV)	9/3 - 9/5	52%	45%	1%	Bush +7
Newsweek (1,008 RV)	9/2 - 9/3	52%	41%	3%	Bush +11
Click Here for More Polling Data

*Gallup's Final Allocated Estimate
**ABC News and Washington Post use different likely voter models for the same field data, RealClearPolitics will use the Washington Post model when the two are different.
***Democracy Corps is a Democratic Polling Firm

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[rwfromkansas]

When was this taken? Was this Saturday's?

[MHT]

They are just trying to keep Republicans home.

[ShowMeMom]

Now excuse me while I head on over to RealClearPolitics to update the electoral map for the twentieth time this morning...

LOL....I gave up on my own poll aversion and just set RCP as my homepage.

[PhiKapMom]

My sound is off too! The biggest thing I noticed was that Kerry rally from Orlando -- no crowd.

Eleonor Clift normally looks dour but this morning she reminded me of Dan Rather when he had to call the election for Bush in 1994 -- he couldn't believe what was happening.

[ppaul]

The World is for Kerry, POLAND is for BUSH!

[PhiKapMom]

LOL!!! It is funny to watch these commentators. Only a few upbeat ones who I have always thought liked President Bush!

[Dansong]

I predict Zogby will soon release similar pro-Bush numbers as he must save his reputation for accuracy...let's hope these Newsweek numbers stick!

[rwfromkansas]

Is this a new poll or Saturday's?

The MSNBC article sucks and doesn't indicate when it was taken, though it said the page was updated today.

[maryz]

Fox News is losing all credibility with their poll. :)

Their poll was so weird it was almost as if somehow the names had got switched -- I mean, men going for Kerry???

[Salvation]

Great news!

BTTT!