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1 posted on 11/01/2004 3:01:54 PM PST by Liz
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To: Liz

More likely the latter than the former I think. However, if he says Bush has an 8 point overall lead, that doesn't really tell us anything about the state-by-state results. You know Bush is doubling up Kerry in Texas, Oklahoma, and a few other state. But Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin etc. - that's what's really important.


2 posted on 11/01/2004 3:04:08 PM PST by JustaCowgirl (Terrorists will "global test" us right off the planet)
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To: Liz
It's meaninless news. 8% is a national estimate.

It's a state by state thing now.

All that matters is the state results.

3 posted on 11/01/2004 3:04:10 PM PST by zarf
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To: Liz

No one knows what the vote is at this moment. The votes have not been tallied. NO COMPLACENCY!


4 posted on 11/01/2004 3:05:00 PM PST by pabianice
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To: Liz

am of two minds about this. Firstly, the news might allow GWB voters to get complacent, and not vote, figuring he's got it made. OTOH, news of Bush in the lead with significant numbers could create a bandwagon effect, and might encourage leaners to vote Bush


Yeah, my gut is all a quiver about this. I just cannot get the 2000 election out of my head. We went into the last weekend thinking "it's in the bag" and we won with only 527 votes. So I am in a terrible quandry! Good News makes me nervious, bad news makes me nervious. GOD. Hear my plea! Please God, we cannot survive a John Kerry presidency!


5 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:02 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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To: Liz

No GWB voter will be complacent about voting because for a year we've heard lie after lie from the MSM about Bush. I want Bush to win big and the MSM to be the big loser!!!!!!


6 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:04 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: Liz

We can't get complacent. Let's make sure the president wins the popular vote this time! No matter what the electoral college predictions are in your state, we need to vote!

And early voters tend to be elderly and conservative, I believe I read on FR, so we shouldn't get too complacent.

We're gonna win if we all get out there and vote!


7 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:21 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed)
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To: Liz
Ed said 20% of voters had already cast ballots and GWB has an 8% lead.

This was on msnbc a day or two ago.

8 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:31 PM PST by WildTurkey
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To: Liz

Ignore the numbers. Both sides are spinning like a top.

Vote. Help others vote if you can. Pray.


10 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:43 PM PST by Stratman
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To: Liz

I know Tennessee and Texas have early voting and I would expect they would weight toward GW heavily. I know Oregon is in this and would weight heavily to Kerry. What other states that are strongly partisan for Kerry or Bush might be skewing these results?


11 posted on 11/01/2004 3:06:45 PM PST by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds, a pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Liz
Ed said 20% of voters had already cast ballots and GWB has an 8% lead.

I am of two minds about this.

Firstly, the news might allow GWB voters to get complacent, and not vote, figuring he's got it made.

I wouldn't worry about that too much. The guesses about which way the early voting is breaking have been all over the map. No one knows who's ahead right now.

13 posted on 11/01/2004 3:07:48 PM PST by CFC__VRWC (I've got a tagline, but I'm too lazy to type it out.)
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To: Liz

Bandwagon effect, I hope. I don't think ''complacency'' is in the Republican dictionary so close on the heels of Election 2000. The other upside is that the news will nudge a lot of the undecideds out there...folks naturally want to be on the side that wins.


21 posted on 11/01/2004 3:11:50 PM PST by elli1
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To: Liz

Gillespie is a big jerk. The Demo organization has been outsmarting Gillespie and is continuing to outsmart him.
If the Dems had something like the Swift Boat film and Children of the Veterans it would have been visable for several weeks instead these films were just made available to the general public in the last couple of days. They now are on the internet for free, the GOP backing should have had this happen weeks ago not two th three ddays before the election.


36 posted on 11/01/2004 3:24:23 PM PST by Salty Cobra
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To: Liz

Gillespie must be sychic, how does he know how many ballots were cast for President Bush, no ballots have been counted.


39 posted on 11/01/2004 3:26:54 PM PST by Salty Cobra
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To: Liz

Let me tell you what, I live in a blue state. There are four voters in my house. We would walk over hot coals to vote Republican tomorrow.


40 posted on 11/01/2004 3:27:51 PM PST by rushmom
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To: Liz
10 years ago in Ca, all of the early voters (absentee voters) were about 8% more towards (R)s than the final results.
But 10 years ago in Ca, more (R)s voted early than (D)s

I do believe these numbers are evenly from (R)s/ (D)s/ (I)s

45 posted on 11/01/2004 3:42:28 PM PST by TeleStraightShooter (Kerry plans to graft post-Vietnam policy on Iraq: Kill Allawi and let the Syrian Baathists take over)
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To: Liz

Nobody, and I mean, NOBODY is going to get complacent. That's in part what the 72-hour effort is all about.


47 posted on 11/01/2004 3:43:47 PM PST by LS
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To: Liz

My opinion has long been--and only gets stronger with each passing minute---there is no way in hell any Bush voter is going to be complacent. They have had enough about Gore getting the danged "popular vote" and know it's because they maybe blew off voting that time because Bush had it in the bag, so they thought.

I don't think that is even a remote problem.


53 posted on 11/01/2004 3:52:20 PM PST by cyncooper (And an angel still rides in the whirlwind and directs this storm)
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To: Liz

My problem with airing this is that it tells cheaters how much fraud they need to come up with.


54 posted on 11/01/2004 3:59:10 PM PST by xzins (Retired Army and Proudly Supporting BUSH/CHENEY 2004!)
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To: Liz
I love news that predicts both a WIN and a LOSS!!!

Must be a Democrat talking point!!

62 posted on 11/01/2004 4:59:02 PM PST by PISANO (Never Forget 911!! or 911's First Heroes "Beamer, Glick, Bingham & Bennett.")
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To: Liz

Dig in folks, it's all about our individual States now.

There were threats against early voters in Florida who sported Bush buttons.

Nothing stops us from voting tomorrow...no rain, no storms, no threats.

We vote.


65 posted on 11/01/2004 5:00:00 PM PST by Luis Gonzalez (The Ever So Humble Banana Republican.)
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