Harris Poll B49 K45 (Phone)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com | 11/1/04

[traderrob6]

The latest Harris Poll shows Bush ahead of sKerry 49 45. You will remeber that in 2000 Harris was the only one that got it exactly right

[marblehead17]

ping

[Cheryllynn]

Ugggggggg enough already LOL!!!!!!!!

[mk2000]

does Harris do another poll tomorrow?

[KerrySuxxor]

PING!! They were the most accurate last election! they were off by something like 1000 people in the popular vote.

[Rome2000]

The one to watch

[Norman Bates]

Bush wins 52-47.

Game over

[NittanyLion]

Game. Set. Match.

[factmart]

Wrong, Zogby sad to say was the closest.

[AlGone2001]

It's over for John Kerry. That is... after we all go vote.

[flashbunny]

link: http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=105&STORY=/www/story/11-01-2004/0002349678


will people stop panicking now???

[cmsgop]

I have been waiting for this one, and I like it!

[BoBToMatoE]

excellent!

[mrplind]

hoping this is right ...

[flashbunny]

wrong. Zogby was off by 1.5%

[The Hollywood Conservative]

Bush wins 52-47



I think if Kerry gets 47%, he will be VERY lucky... I think 42-44% is much more realistic...

[Rome2000]

You're wrong

Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000

National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure
2000-Preliminary

	Gore	Bush	Nader	Un- decided	Other	Gore- Bush	Margin Error Poll - Elect	Candidate Error
Election Result	48%	48%	3%		1%	0%
Zogby	48%	46%	5%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1.0%
CBS	45%	44%	4%	5%	2%	1%	1%	0.5%
Harris (Phone)	47%	47%	5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0.0%
Gallup/CNN/USA Today	46%	48%	4%	0%	2%	-2%	2%	1.0%
Pew Research	47%	49%	4%	0%	0%	-2%	2%	1.0%
IBD/CSM/Tipp	46%	48%	4%	0%	2%	-2%	2%	1.0%
ICR/Politics Now	44%	46%	7%	1%	2%	-2%	2%	1.0%
NBC/WSJ	44%	47%	3%	4%	2%	-3%	3%	1.5%
ABC/WashPost	45%	48%	3%	3%	1%	-3%	3%	1.5%
Battleground	45%	50%	4%	0%	1%	-5%	5%	2.5%
					Avg. Error		2.2%	1.1%
Alternative Methods
Harris Interactive	47%	47%	4%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0.0%
Rasmussen	49%	40%	4%			9%	9%	4.5%

				THIRD PARTY ERROR
---------------------Allocate Undecided*-----------------------
Gore	Bush	Nader	Other	Nader Error
48%	46%	5.0%	1%	2%	100%
47%	46%	4.0%	2%	1%	100%
47%	47%	5.0%	1%	2%	100%
46%	48%	4.0%	2%	1%	100%
47%	49%	4.0%	0%	1%	100%
46%	48%	4.0%	2%	1%	100%
44%	46%	7.0%	2%	4%	100%
46%	49%	3.0%	2%	0%	100%
46%	49%	3.0%	1%	0%	100%
45%	50%

[Bassfire]

[hawaiian]

All is well, folks.

[zarf]

My fellow Freepers:

Kerry will not break the 46 percentile mark tomorrow night.

Bank on it.