How long have you been working on this?
That's a bold statement. Yet I don't see anything wrong with your analysis.
Realignment is here!
That outlook is very conservative, and it is amazing!
I guess the Tribune doesn't realize CASSANDRA WAS RIGHT, it's just that no one listened to her.
I can assure you with every fiber of my being, Junior is neither a Conservative 'Rat nor stands a chance at winning the open Senate seat. Tennessee IS a solid Republican state and only becomes more so with each successive election. Whomever the GOP nominates for the seat will win, and it will probably be Rep. Marsha Blackburn.
The talk here in Austin is that Hutchinson is eyeing the governorship here but is waiting to see what Rick Perry (current governor) and Carole Keeton Rylander McClellan Strayhorn Keeton Rylander Strayhorn (current treasurer and Perry's chief antagonist) plan to do before committing herself.
In Texas, any decent GOP Senate candidate will win however.
Nice job with the analysis, but I'm hoping that Governor Johanns will make a run at Ben Nelson's seat in Nebraska. Last I heard he was warming to the idea of running which would make that a very competitive race.
Would love to see either Pataki or Rudy take on Hillary. They will both have to do some soul searching because 1) there is no way either can win the '08 GOP nomination and 2) if they both decide to run, as has been speculated, they will drain each others resources. Rudy would make the better candidate though.
I don't know about California. The Republican Party out there could organize and come up with a winner. Boxer could have lost easily if they only selected a winner. Lungren as a candidate would have been a winner. Those guys from top to bottom need help.
Nice word choice!
BUMP for later...
If Kennedy decides to retire, which I doubt he will, he's going to try to pass his seat off to his lightweight nephew, former Congressman Joe Kennedy. I think Joe was named one of the dumbest Congressmen in America a few years back.
Either way, the only Republicans in this state who could make a competitive run at that seat are Romney (who is looking at the '08 GOP nomination) and Andy Card, assuming he decides to step down as COS.
i concur with the others: however the future judges the accuracy of your work, it is nonetheless impressive.
I think in nebraska nelson will loss to republican johanns the current governor who is term limited in 2006
We can start discussing 06 in 05.
Snowe will win easily in my state. I might even help. Reality dictates that Maine is a liberal state, but Snowe is well liked. A true conservative will never win here; too much to overcome. I'll take her and Collins. The RINOs will be more marginalized now that we have 55 in the Senate, and their most important votes are for Bill Frist. If we're a big tent, we need "moderates" or we lose.
Talent of Missouri is up in 2000. Although he won in 2002, that was a special election because the seat itself is on the 2000 cycle. This is the seat which a dead man won in 2000, then went to appointment by his widow, then by special election to Talent. I think he will hold, even if Robin Carnahan, our newly elected Secretary of State, runs on her name recognition. She is a lesbian and he is a conservative Christian.
I haven't voted for snowe in 25 years but I'm afraid she's a lock unless somebody can change the basic nature of Republicans in Maine who consider themselves "good Republicans" as opposed to "bad conservative Republicans".
The Margaret Chase Smith syndrome is very strong here and is accompanied by a sanctimonious correctness that sickens.
Missing factor. Consider a strategy where Bush appoints some D senators in R states whose governors have the power of appointment. We get instant increase now and maybe ability to stop filibuster on SC appointments.
We can only hope...