Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Facts on the Ukraine Melodrama
inerbriantia ^ | November 29, 2004 | Srdja Trifkovic

Posted on 12/16/2004 8:20:49 PM PST by jb6

The media myth: An East European "pro-Western, reformist democrat" is cheated of a clear election victory by an old-timer commie apparatchik. A wave of popular protest may yet ensure another Triumph of Democracy a la Belgrade and Tbilisi, however. The fact: neither the winner of the presidential election in the Ukraine, Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych, nor his Western-supported ultranationalist rival Viktor Yushchenko, are "democrats" or "reformers" in any accepted sense. They differ, however, on the issue of the Ukrainian identity and destiny in what is a deeply divided country. Ukraine is like a large Montenegro, split between its Russian-leaning half (the south, the east) and a strongly nationalist west and north-west that defines its identity in an unyielding animosity to Moscow. The prediction: "The West"—the United States, the European Union, and an array of Sorosite "NGOs"—will fail to rig this crisis in favor of Yushchenko: the critical mass that worked in Serbia in October 2000, and in Georgia in 2003—the complicity of the security services and mafia money—is simply not present.

The myth is virulently Russophobic. It implicitly recognizes the reality of Ukraine's divisions but asserts that those Ukrainians who want to maintain strong links with Russia are either stupid or manipulated. This view has nothing to do with the well-being or democratic will of 50 million Ukrainians. It is strictly geopolitical, in that it sees Moscow as a foe and its enemies (Chechen Jihadists included) as friends. Radek Sikorski of the American Enterprise Institute even hinted that Washington may have to take up arms to face the threat from a reconstituted empire. Three days before the election Georgie Ann Geyer asserted that the Ukrainian vote "will decide whether Vladimir Putin's Russia can again be a formalized, or informalized, empire," and demanded action to prevent such outcome. Complaining that America is too "obsessively sidetracked" by Iraq to pay attention to this momentous election, Ms. Geyer stated the alleged options. The Ukrainians "have a clear choice.

They can vote for Viktor Yuschenko, the reformist candidate who stands for joining the European Union, the World Trade Organization, and NATO as soon as possible, for strengthening Ukrainian nationalism, and for the interests of Western Ukrainian Christians and the Ukrainian diaspora in the West. His people [are] mirroring the idea of the ‘Velvet Revolution' that freed the Czech Republic from its Soviet era. Or they can vote for Viktor Yanukovych, the candidate of the Eastern Ukraine, where many Ukrainians speak a language called Surzhik, a bastardized combination of Ukrainian and Russian. Here, the huge Soviet-era enterprises like Donetz steel still dominate the economic state, and Moscow still dominates the mind-set? Putin's dreams of a renewed Russian empire cannot be fulfilled without the Ukraine. It's the pivotal piece in that puzzle of nations, the linchpin between East and West—and it could be the revolt of the borderlands against the metropole, should Yuschenko win."

This theme was replicated a thousand-fold on both sides of the Atlantic: Yushchenko good, Yanukovich bad. It is telling that later in the article Ms. Geyer referred to "the progressive Ukrainians," implying that there are those who are on the side of History in its forward march, and the rest. (Her reference to the southern Russian dialect widely spoken in the southern and eastern half of Ukraine as "a bastardized combination of Ukrainian and Russian" was scandalous, on par with calling Sicilianu a bastardized combination of Italian and Arabic, or Yiddish a bastardized variety of German.) Propaganda disguised as fact was rampant. Votes in the heavily pro-Russian Donetsk and other eastern regions were deemed "probably falsified" but we were not informed of equally credible claims that vote-rigging was rampant in Yushchenko's western Ukrainian strongholds, including turnouts in excess of 100 percent of registered voters, total local media control, and multiple voting by persons in possession of numerous IDs belonging to Ukrainians residing in western Europe.

The attempted technique was well rehearsed. Yushchenko has rejected Yanukovich's victory and claims fraud, pointing to exit polls by his supporters as evidence. He even proclaimed himself president, and tens of thousands of his followers have taken to the streets of Kiev in support of his claim. Their campaign of civil disobedience relies on expectation of support from Washington and the EU. The White House declared that Ukrainian authorities should not certify results "until investigations of organized fraud are resolved." Jan Peter Balkenende, the Dutch Prime Minister, whose country holds the rotating presidency of the European Union, called outgoing President Leonid Kuchma to express the EU's "serious concerns." NATO Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer summoned the Ukrainian ambassador to express the alliance's "disappointment" with the way the election was handled. The German Chancellor, Gerhard Schroder, declared that the election showed massive fraud. Vaclav Havel, the former Czech president and leader of the 1989 "Velvet Revolution," urged Ukrainians to keep up their protests.

Strong Western bias in Yushchenko's favor has been evident throughout the campaign. The monitoring of election abuses has focused exclusively in areas favorable to Yanukovych but it has ignored or even suppressed documented abuses in pro-Yuschchenko areas. A seasoned Western analyst who visited western Ukraine reported that the news media "is all under Yushenko's control, even state TV":

"During our three days in Transcarpathia we never saw Mr. Yanukovich once on the TV! They showed Yushenko, Kuchma voting but ...not him!! Completely out of order programme on Saturday night (during the so-called election silence) with ‘experts' talking about the likelihood of fraud interspersed with stars, rock singers, beards etc. wearing orange ribbons and rooting for Yushenko. In fact, Yushenko and the mob control Kiev and all points West."

Reports like this one are so unpopular with those who control Western media and NGO purse strings that we have to protect our source with anonymity. USAID's grant for election monitors went only to activists known for their hostility to Yanukovych; they delivered predictable results. It is ironic that some of those activists are also funded by billionaire George Soros—President Bush's arch-enemy—whose investment in Yushchenko's victory is said to be $75 million. "Two generations ago we had the Comintern," says a Western analyst familiar with the situation. "Now we have the Demintern and its related NGOs which have an increasing global reach."

The "Community of Democracies" illustrates the point. According to the State Department, "The United States is a strong supporter of The Community of Democracies (CD), a unique forum that brings together those nations committed to promoting and strengthening democracy worldwide." It has a symbiotic relationship with a number of NGOs through which the U.S. Government promotes "democracy" in foreign countries—meaning political candidates favored by the U.S. government. These NGOs (see this list) include the Open Society Institute that in a domestic context are anything but supportive of the Bush administration. Some are creatures of the National Endowment for Democracy (e.g., http://www.wmd.org) while others had begun as projects of the Open Society Institute, e.g., http://www.demcoalition.org/html/home.html. It also should be noted that CD is itself handing out U.S. government money to these NGOs, and even had advertised a current solicitation. Bogus NGOs, such as the Committee of Ukrainian Voters, use Western funds to employ presentable, educated English speakers. As John Laughland noted in the Spectator,

"Because they speak English, the political activists in such organisations can easily nobble Anglophone Western reporters. Contrary allegations—such as those of fraud committed by Yushchenko-supporting local authorities in western Ukraine, carefully detailed by Russian election observers but available only in Russian—go unreported. So too does evidence of crude intimidation made by Yushchenko supporters against election officials."

All facts which contradict this morality tale were suppressed, says Laughland. Thus a story had been widely circulated that Yushchenko was poisoned during the electoral campaign, allegedly because the government wanted to kill him, but no English language outlet has carried the interview by the chief physician of the Vienna clinic which treated Yushchenko for his mystery illness: "The clinic released a report declaring there to be no evidence of poisoning, after which, said the chief physician, he was subjected to such intimidation by Yushchenko's entourage—who wanted him to change the report—that he was forced to seek police protection.

"You see the whole apparat," says our source, "a conclave of governments, friendly (and government funded) NGOs, and contract opportunities. Something for everybody—and all for ‘democracy.' Y'gotta love it!"

The reality is that the apparat will fail on this occasion. A Serbian or Georgian scenario cannot work in a country in which the key elements of power—the police, the army, and the business community—have not decided to support the opposition. The key to Milosevic's downfall was a secret deal between his political enemies and Serbia's key security chiefs in advance of public protest. Even if the authorities in Kiev accede to Western demands and investigate fraud or conduct a recount, the results are unlikely to change because they reflect a political landscape too complex to be reduced to the NGO black and white paradigm. It includes the unreported fact that Yushchenko's supporters included notoriously anti-Semitic skinheads from the "Ukrainian National Self-Defense" (Unso), a semi-paramilitary movement whose members enjoy posing for the cameras carrying rifles and wearing fatigues and balaclava helmets.

The influence of UNA-UNSO among Yushchenko's supporters is well documented. In June 2004,

"400 members of UNA paraded through Kiev dressed in Nazi-like uniforms and carrying flags with SS-style inscriptions. UNA leader Eduard Kovalenko reportedly called for an end to 'the dominance of Yids in key positions of the government.' The UNA also came out strongly in support of Our Ukraine and Yushchenko."

These youths rely on a rich tradition. Tens of thousands of western Ukrainians collaborated enthusiastically with the Nazis, supplying volunteers for the "Nightingale" Police Battalion and the Ukrainian Waffen SS Division "Galizien." Useless as a fighting force against the Red Army, these volunteers were highly effective in terrorizing Jews, Poles, and "unreliable" Ukrainians. Many were deemed reliable enough to serve as auxiliaries in key extermination camps such as Sobibor and Treblinka. Today the UNA-UNSO members use their grandfathers' insignia. Their former leader Andry Shkil was elected to the Ukrainian parliament in a single ticket election in the Lvov region with the support of Yushchenko's Our Ukraine. A Jewish organization points out that at the time elections were held he had been in jail for a year, accused of organizing mass anti-government riots. Having been elected, however, "Shkil was granted immunity to criminal prosecution."

As John Laughland notes, "Were nutters like this to be politically active in any country other than Ukraine or the Baltic states, there would be instant outcry in the US and British media; but in former Soviet republics, such bogus nationalism is considered anti-Russian and therefore democratic."

About a half of all Ukrainians who voted for Yanukovych did not do so solely on the grounds of his pro-Russian outlook, however. As the Financial Times noted on November 19, strong economic growth of 13 percent has helped his campaign of "peace and stability." This year's grain harvest will reach 45m tones, the highest since Ukraine gained independence from the Soviet Union in 1991. Increasing social spending, including payment of pensions and state salaries, are attributed to the Prime Minister's policies. By contrast Yushchenko's stronghold in western Ukraine is an economic wasteland. Nikolas Gvosdev was a rare Western commentator to point out that for many in central and eastern Ukraine increased links with Russia translate into greater prosperity: trade turnover in goods and services between the two countries is expected to reach $20 billion in 2004, one-half of Ukraine's current GNP. By contrast, its trade with the EU accounts for only a fifth of the total. "Many Western observers lament Ukraine's continuing economic and political ties to Russia," Gvosdev says, "but U.S. and European governments have done little to provide more concrete economic incentives for change." Yushchenko's campaign was not helped by a statement earlier this year by the president of the European Commission Romano Prodi that Ukraine will "never" be a member of the EU. Despite all the rhetoric supporting a "European" the scenario of Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic integration was not seriously entertained in any important Western capital. It was unrealistic to expect the Ukrainians to make a plunge without any concrete promises of what they'd get in return.

Washington would be well advised to accept the result with equanimity. As Doug Bandow of CATO Institute says, the United States and Europe aren't going to "lose" Ukraine: it will continue to expand its commercial and political ties with the West regardless of outcome. On the other hand, excessive insistence on the preordained outcome would unnecessarily alienate Russia at a time when her cooperation is sorely needed in the war against Jihad.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; ukraine
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-30 next last

1 posted on 12/16/2004 8:20:50 PM PST by jb6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: jb6

Agitprop.


2 posted on 12/16/2004 8:29:51 PM PST by risk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jb6

The pertinent facts about Yanukovich are...

1. He is a criminal who has been in prison twice.

2. He is still a representative of the Mob.


3 posted on 12/16/2004 8:34:06 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24; Destro; A. Pole; MarMema; FairOpinion; GarySpFc
First, a man served prison time as a teenager, so he's damned for life? Very Christian.

Second, the Mob? How about Yulia Tomoshenko, Yushchenko's VP, she's only wanted by Interpol (of course while she's in parliment she immune). She's only one of the biggest oligarchs of Ukraine, wanted for theft of millions in natural gas heading to Europe and in bribery of government officials in Russia. Nothing to bad.

4 posted on 12/16/2004 8:38:41 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: jb6

The pertinent facts about Yushchenko are...

1. He is an honest patriotic man and the devoted father of five children.

2. He was poisoned by the Mob or by the secret police (there is a good connection between the two).


5 posted on 12/16/2004 8:39:27 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jb6

All the EASTERN Ukrainians I know are for Yushchenko and they are all good Russian speaking people.


6 posted on 12/16/2004 8:41:27 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24

Funny, all the ones I know are not and are ready for civil war. Go figure.


7 posted on 12/16/2004 8:49:33 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: jb6
The myth is virulently Russophobic.

After all, the Russians only murdered about 30 million Ukrainians.

Or did they starve themselves to win Western sympathy?

And if you think that was only a Soviet phenomenon, you should read about the persecution of the Uniate Christians in the 19th Century by the Tsars.

The Russians fear their neighbors in the "near abroad" because they know full well what they did to them.

8 posted on 12/16/2004 8:54:48 PM PST by pierrem15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24
All the EASTERN Ukrainians I know are for Yushchenko and they are all good Russian speaking people.

I agree with JB6. All the Russian speaking Ukranians I know in and from the East are for Yanukovich.
9 posted on 12/16/2004 9:00:54 PM PST by GarySpFc (Sneakypete, De Oppresso Liber)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: pierrem15
Yup After all, the Russians only murdered about 30 million Ukrainians. There are only 50 million people in Ukraine now but 30 million were murdered by Russians. Hmmm, funny, first, most of the communist party at that time was run by Georgians and Ukrainians, but we'll ignore that. Stalin murdered somewhere between 30-36 million people and the majority were from Russia proper, but we'll ingore that too. All eastern Ukrainian cities were built by Russians, but we'll ignore that also. Kiev was rebuilt by Russians after reuinification, from the dump it was after the Mongols arrived, but again, we'll ignore that. My,my, well, since we're on a roll, might as well ignore all of history and just go with your "facts".
10 posted on 12/16/2004 9:04:15 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: GarySpFc

In Alchevsk, there are lots of Yushchenko supporters but...there is no shortage of thugs trying to intimidate them and in some cases send them to the hospital.
Remember Alchevsk is home to one of the world's largest steel mills.

One who works for the coal mines as an accountant was told by his boss who to vote for in no uncertain terms. It is indeed Teamster tactics.


11 posted on 12/16/2004 9:05:11 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: pierrem15

Oh, by the way, bright guy, here's another bit of history: in WW2, in eastern Ukraine (that's Yushchenko's center of support and an economic dead zone) Hitler raised up an SS Division and got half his concentration camp guards. But again, we'll ignore that.


12 posted on 12/16/2004 9:05:44 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24

Because Yushchenko uses no thugs, nope none, just ignore the nazi UNSO parading at all his marches. Yup, no thugs here.


13 posted on 12/16/2004 9:06:35 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: jb6

Buzz off Troll. Next time post one article at a time especially when you use Stinking Commie sources. All your "facts" are fake.


14 posted on 12/16/2004 9:08:54 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24

My sources are communist? Oh God are you a hypocrit. Take a closer look at the CBS and CNNs and BBCs your type posts. Trolling for Clinton and company and the Eurofacists must make you warm and fuzzy or dull and dumb.


15 posted on 12/16/2004 9:11:33 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Monterrosa-24
All your "facts" are fake.

Yeah, you're ready to worship the Hildabeast and her MSM, hell you're already on her side.

16 posted on 12/16/2004 9:12:33 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: jb6

"...Take a closer look at the CBS and CNNs and BBCs your type posts..."


I've never used those sources.


17 posted on 12/16/2004 9:14:07 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (Technology advances but human nature is dependably stagnant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: jb6
No, I'm not ignoring that. The Ukrainians wanted the Germans' help in getting rid of their Slavic Brothers, the Russians (and eliminate the possibility of a Polish return as well), and since I haven't seen Yushchenko parading around in a brown shirt recently, I don't know what bearing it has. It's sort of like noting that Schroeder's father was in the Wehrmacht.

But to comment about the current population of the Ukraine as though it disproved the forced starvation of the Ukraine in the 20's is like the gulag commandant who stated that his prison population was 250,000 in the early 40's and still 250,000 in 1945. He just forgot to mention that several hundred thousand additional prisoners arrived in the interim.

18 posted on 12/16/2004 9:15:01 PM PST by pierrem15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: jb6

All that your candidate has made certain is that he will have all the "cults" outlawed.
Like the largest Church in Europe under Christ Jesus believing Pastor Sunday and everything else except for Orthodox that Moscow controlled all those USSR days by making them KGB. Remove all Baptists, Mennonites, etc. and take them back to no freedom of religion.
If they do the region will fall to Islam and Russia will fall to them long term, too because she is corrupt.


19 posted on 12/16/2004 9:36:08 PM PST by Spirited
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: pierrem15
You'll really love this one. Remember UNO-UNSO is Our Ukraine's allies and this is what they think of us in America, but what to expect from the grandkids of nazis?:

UNA-UNSO appeal to Ukrainian troops in Iraq Basing upon 400-years experience of national liberation movement of Ukrainian people we appeal to Ukrainian military contingent in Iraq to turn your bayonets against USA troops and join the rebels. Ukraine and progessive mankind will be proud of you!"

20 posted on 12/16/2004 9:36:13 PM PST by jb6 (Truth = Christ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-30 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson