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The War is Over, and We Won
The American Enterprise ^ | June 20, 2005 | Karl Zinsmeister

Posted on 06/22/2005 10:23:05 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative

Your editor returned to Iraq in April and May of 2005 for another embedded period of reporting. I could immediately see improvements compared to my earlier extended tours during 2003 and 2004. The Iraqi security forces, for example, are vastly more competent, and in some cases quite inspiring. Baghdad is now choked with traffic. Cell phones have spread like wildfire. And satellite TV dishes sprout from even the most humble mud hovels in the countryside.

Many of the soldiers I spent time with during this spring had also been deployed during the initial invasion back in 2003. Almost universally they talked to me about how much change they could see in the country. They noted progress in the attitudes of the people, in the condition of important infrastructure, in security.

I observed many examples of this myself. Take the two very different Baghdad neighborhoods of Haifa Street and Sadr City. The first is an upper-end commercial district in the heart of downtown. The second is one of Baghdad’s worst slums, on the city’s north edge.

I spent lots of time walking both neighborhoods this spring—something that would not have been possible a year earlier, when both were active war zones, where tanks poured shells into buildings on a regular basis. Today, the primary work of our soldiers in each area is rebuilding sewers, paving roads, getting buildings repaired and secured, supplying schools and hospitals, getting trash picked up, managing traffic, and encouraging honest local governance.

What the establishment media covering Iraq have utterly failed to make clear today is this central reality: With the exception of periodic flare-ups in isolated corners, our struggle in Iraq as warfare is over. Egregious acts of terror will continue—in Iraq as in many other parts of the world. But there is now no chance whatever of the U.S. losing this critical guerilla war.

Contrary to the impression given by most newspaper headlines, the United States has won the day in Iraq. In 2004, our military fought fierce battles in Najaf, Fallujah, and Sadr City. Many thousands of terrorists were killed, with comparatively little collateral damage. As examples of the very hardest sorts of urban combat, these will go down in history as smashing U.S. victories.

And our successes at urban combat (which, scandalously, are mostly untold stories in the U.S.) made it crystal clear to both the terrorists and the millions of moderate Iraqis that the insurgents simply cannot win against today’s U.S. Army and Marines. That’s why everyday citizens have surged into politics instead.

The terrorist struggle has hardly ended. Even a very small number of vicious men operating in secret will find opportunities to blow up outdoor markets and public buildings, assassinate prominent political figures, and knock down office towers. But public opinion is not on the insurgents’ side, and the battle of Iraq is no longer one of war fighting—but of policing and politics.

Policing and political problem-solving are mostly tasks for Iraqis, not Americans. And the Iraqis are taking them up, often with gusto. I saw much evidence that responsible Iraqis are gradually isolating the small but dangerously nihilistic minority trying to strangle their new society. With each passing month, U.S. forces will more and more become a kind of SWAT team that intervenes only to multiply the force of the emerging Iraqi security forces, and otherwise stays mostly in the background.

Increasingly, the Iraqi people are taking direction of their own lives. And like all other self-ruling populations, they are more interested in improving the quality of their lives than in mindless warring. It will take some time, but Iraq has begun the process of becoming a normal country.

Karl Zinsmeister is the Editor-in-Chief of The American Enterprise.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: wariniraq; waronterror
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1 posted on 06/22/2005 10:23:08 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: West Coast Conservative

This is very encouraging, but why do we read about democrat "leaders" spouting the opposite at Drudge??? I can surmise only that the democrat party and its "leadership" (Biden, Pelosi, Durbin, Dean) care only about destroying President Bush, advancing themselves into power, not about the good of our country and our national security.

The democrats are morally bankrupt, and should be ostracized. They are despicable, small people.


2 posted on 06/22/2005 10:29:08 AM PDT by astounded (We don't need no stinkin' rules of engagement...)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Iraq has begun the process of becoming a normal country.

Praise be to God!

And help us against the Left and the Media who are out to destroy the victory. Their petty agenda is worth more to them than the lives that were sacrificed for that victory.

3 posted on 06/22/2005 10:31:38 AM PDT by oyez (¡Qué viva la revolución de Reagan!)
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To: West Coast Conservative

Everything's dandy, so shoot Saddam in the head and get the hell home.


4 posted on 06/22/2005 10:33:25 AM PDT by Hank Rearden (Never allow anyone who could only get a government job attempt to tell you how to run your life.)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Armies being famously machines for killing people and breaking things, why did we bust up the place and then charge the American people to fix it up again? "Cell phones" sprouting like weeds at our expense.

Bust the place up and leave it busted up. We owe them nothing, and nation-building is a proven failure. Pull out, bust up the next terrorist state and continue until they are all back in 700 A.D.

--Boris

5 posted on 06/22/2005 10:35:00 AM PDT by boris (The deadliest weapon of mass destruction in history is a leftist with a word processor.)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Hmm...Annan Hails Iraq Turning Point. And Al-Zawahiri Video Shows Al-Qaeda Isolated. Pretty uplifting stuff. So what do we get from al-Reuters? Predictable: Al-Qaeda Says Bush Doomed To Fail. Even that is a pretty interesting article.

The Democrats, of course, will be the very last to admit any progress. Doesn't fit their program, although it does fit the country's program, and that is probably their biggest problem.

6 posted on 06/22/2005 10:41:41 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: astounded
This is very encouraging, but why do we read about democrat "leaders" spouting the opposite....

Because it filters down to the Democrats grass roots. A client of mine , who just happens to be a Democrat, was in my office last week and after business was discussed the conversation turned to current events, specifically, Iraq. My client, "Warren", fumed that the "US had ruined Iraq and the the city of Falluja had disappeared off the face of the earth". I asked him if he knew this for sure and he said that he'd seen it on the news and read it in the LAT. (sigh)

7 posted on 06/22/2005 10:43:10 AM PDT by elbucko
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To: boris
why did we bust up the place and then charge the American people to fix it up again?

I wonder about the same thing.

8 posted on 06/22/2005 10:45:33 AM PDT by janetgreen
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To: boris

"We owe them nothing, and nation-building is a proven failure."

This complaint only makes sense from the vantage point of someone who believes that we are doing what we are doing for the benefit of Iraqis.


9 posted on 06/22/2005 10:46:42 AM PDT by bkepley
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To: boris
"and nation-building is a proven failure."

Tell that to the Japanese.

10 posted on 06/22/2005 10:53:36 AM PDT by AGreatPer (Go Steelers)
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To: bkepley

Right. It is in the best interest of the US and western civilization as a whole.


11 posted on 06/22/2005 10:53:52 AM PDT by wingnutx (Seabees Can Do!)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Posted earlier under the same name:
The War is Over, and We Won

12 posted on 06/22/2005 10:55:56 AM PDT by avg_freeper (Gunga galunga. Gunga, gunga galunga)
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To: wingnutx

"Right. It is in the best interest of the US and western civilization as a whole."

Well, it's a plan anyway. Maybe it won't work but I think it is worth a try.


13 posted on 06/22/2005 10:58:56 AM PDT by bkepley
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To: bkepley

Nothing is certain. Doing nothing is not an option.


14 posted on 06/22/2005 11:03:07 AM PDT by wingnutx (Seabees Can Do!)
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To: West Coast Conservative

BTTT


15 posted on 06/22/2005 11:09:21 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: West Coast Conservative
It is really good that an intelligent observer reports these highly significant social and economic trends which if protected bode well for the future. However, the current nastiness in Iraq is much bigger than he indicates. official US Army analysis, not cr-p from the media wieners, supports the conclusion that what has emerged in the last year is a real insurgency albeit limited to parts of Baghdad, Al Anbar Province and parts of Saladin Province (especially the city of Mosul). This movement does have support of a significant part of the population in these areas and has reach the self sustaining level where the number of new recruits coming forward, both from indigenous Sunni Arabs and from foreign volunteers more than makes up for casualties. Funding is also sufficient both from 'taxes' levied within Iraq and from funds coming from outside (mostly Saudi funding we think) to fuel operations at current and higher levels.

The current insurgency has been divided between the foreign Al Zarqawi element and the native Ansar al-Sunnah group. However, there are now clear indications that these two elements are drawing together in at least a tactical alliance aimed at the common enemy. If this trend continues the various zones of insurgency will be linked together in, if not a national, at least a regional alliance which will create momentum for building a larger insurgency.

None of the above should be considered as a profession of defeat. However, time is not on our side and either the Iraqi Army and national police have to grow much faster than they have or (and there isn't much chance of this) a significantly larger US presence is required. One strategy that has some support in the Army and elsewhere is to try and repeat the successful model of El Salvador in which the US supported an across the board substantial increase in police and army forces while the US Army training element focused on creating a dozen or so strike battalions which got the best materiel and officers and were trained in air assault operations. These units invaded the guerrilla zones out in the mountains and were responsible for significantly damaging the guerrillas base and force structure. The damage caused and the relative failure of the Salvadorean FMLN Tet style 1990 offensive made the guerrillas willing to negotiate a peaceful end to the war. Using such a strategy in Iraq has substantial support within DOD but the arming and equipping of the new Iraqi army and police has been a painfully slow business since the initial idea was deliberately to slowly create new military organizations that were lightly armed so they could not easily topple the weak new parliamentary institutions. That has not been a good idea.

Things are better than the media represent. However, the insurgency is real and growing and substantial indigenous support and is not just a bunch of ideoligized thugs terrorizing the natives. (Although thugs they be but ones many of the natives like.)
16 posted on 06/22/2005 11:28:41 AM PDT by robowombat
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To: boris

Nation building did all right in Japan.


17 posted on 06/22/2005 12:01:52 PM PDT by thoughtomator (The U.S. Constitution poses no serious threat to our form of government)
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To: astounded
I agree. DemocRATS are tiny minded, simple minded, despicable boobs.

You would think that good news, such as the above, would make them happy. BUT NO.
Woe is me, woe is me, is all we hear from these left wing fanatic losers. Good news is actually BAD news for them.

How sad. How very pathetic they are.
18 posted on 06/22/2005 12:11:14 PM PDT by GeorgeW23225 (Liberals really aren*t bad people. It*s just that they know so much that simply ISN*T true!!)
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To: boris

Do you really think anyone can fight a war without busting things up?


19 posted on 06/22/2005 12:19:48 PM PDT by GeorgeW23225 (Liberals really aren*t bad people. It*s just that they know so much that simply ISN*T true!!)
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To: West Coast Conservative
One would think Democrats hate wars and rush to jettison them as soon as possible, especially wars we are losing, wouldn't you ?

Well, we have been fighting the "War On Poverty" since 1965 (over 40 years), sunk trillions of dollars into the futile effort, ruined countless lives and utterly lost it decades ago. Yet, the Democrats cheer it on and insist on throwing more scarce resources and endless treasure into that bottomless quagmire!

The moral? Democrats aren't against all wars - just the ones which benefit America!!

20 posted on 06/22/2005 12:55:38 PM PDT by Gritty ("Dems branding themselves the 'terrorists’ rights' party won't improve their 2006 chances-Mark Steyn)
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