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If Roe Goes Down, So Does GOP (Pass it to the left when through taking hit)
RealClearPolitics ^ | July 21, 2005 | By Froma Harrop

Posted on 07/21/2005 8:52:01 AM PDT by .cnI redruM

The Republicans' ideal Supreme Court nominee is someone who might overturn Roe v. Wade, but won't. That makes President Bush's choice of John G. Roberts pure genius.

If defenders of abortion rights condemn the pick, so much the better. Social conservatives will think they won. And when a court ruling later proves they haven't, Republican leaders can comfort them. So far, all is according to plan.

Roe v. Wade is the 1973 Supreme Court decision enshrining a federal right to abortion. If Roe went down, two bad things would happen to Republicans.

One is that it would arouse America's pro-choice majority. Religious conservatives say they put Bush in the White House, but actually, so did a significant bloc of pro-choice women. We speak of the "security moms" who in 2004 cared more about terrorism than about abortion.

They also never thought the right to abortion was at risk. Bush has always balanced his social-conservative talk with reassurances that abortion would remain available. When he urges abortion foes to fight on, pro-choice sophisticates dismiss it all as background noise.

But serious incursions on the right to abortion would change that. I wouldn't want to be a Republican politician the day that suburban mothers learn there's no legal way to end their 16-year-old daughter's unwanted pregnancy.

The other problem in overturning Roe is that it would send the abortion issue down to the state level. Republicans don't want angry pro-choice voters rushing to the polls in 50 states. They should recall their clever move last year to put a gay-marriage ban on the Ohio ballot. It was meaningless but did draw more conservatives to the polls, who also voted for Bush. The trick works for Democrats, too.

Roberts will probably sail through his Senate confirmation. He combines the stealth qualities of a David Souter, whose views on abortion were a mystery, with a conservative hesitancy to overturn precedents, seen in Sandra Day O'Connor. He also appears to be a classy guy.

What does Judge Roberts really think about abortion? Nobody seems to know. As deputy solicitor general, he wrote a brief urging that Roe be overturned. But he was just a lawyer-for-hire then, reflecting the views of his client, the first President Bush.

Then, at his 2003 hearing to become a federal appeals-court judge, Roberts noted that Roe was "the settled law of the land." He also said, "There's nothing in my personal views that would prevent me from fully and faithfully applying that precedent."

Even if Roberts joined the anti-Roe side, the ruling is probably safe for now. Most experts see a 6-to-3 pro-Roe majority on the current court. Should Roberts vote against the ruling, a majority would still hold.

All this doesn't mean that pro-choice groups need not worry about the evolving court. Anti-abortion activists are busily pushing through restrictions on the procedure, some of which the court has upheld.

Many post-Roe restrictions on abortion are outrageous. The bar on federal funding for abortions, which hurts mostly poor women, is a prime example. Bush's executive order denying federal funds to international family-planning groups that offer abortion is another.

The biggest disgrace, though, is Congress's ban on almost all abortion services at U.S. military hospitals -- even if the woman offers to pay for them herself. That means women serving in foreign countries must go to local hospitals, where the care may be substandard and the natives may not like Americans. Consider: The rich woman in Chicago can end a pregnancy by walking to a first-rate medical facility, but the American soldier in Iraq has to fly herself to another country.

Why should Republicans care about making abortions harder and harder to obtain? Because the easy stuff has already been done. Republicans may not worry much about limiting the abortion rights of the poor, foreigners or even U.S. soldiers (most of whom are from modest backgrounds), but new restrictions would have nowhere to go but up the income ladder. And the upper middle class would not tolerate them.

Astute Republicans know this. Americans at all income levels oppose abortion, but the higher you go, the fewer opponents there are. This is treacherous terrain for Republicans, and Roberts looks like a judge who would not get them into more trouble with the pro-choice majority.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: americahaters; bushhaters; delusioncentral; dreamon; feminazis; johnroberts; lyingrats; nutjob; paranoidscreed; rats; scotus; sorelosers
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The Supreme Court is the closest our country comes to a dictatorial branch of government. That's probably why it attracts nut-cases like the author of this article.
1 posted on 07/21/2005 8:52:03 AM PDT by .cnI redruM
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To: .cnI redruM; Xenalyte

What can you expect from someone named Froma Harrop? What were his/her parents thinking?


2 posted on 07/21/2005 8:53:37 AM PDT by Tax-chick (The body's entire blood supply moves through the lungs each minute.)
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To: .cnI redruM

Her assertion that there is a "pro-choice majority" is bs.


3 posted on 07/21/2005 8:53:49 AM PDT by CharlieOK1 (See http://www.alisrael.com/tamuz/ for what should happen to Iran)
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To: .cnI redruM

What's more imporant...political power, or ending the slaughter of innocent babies?


4 posted on 07/21/2005 8:54:06 AM PDT by Dolphan (Duck!)
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To: .cnI redruM

Yep. If Roe is overturned, the states retain their rightful process to decide the matter.


5 posted on 07/21/2005 8:54:29 AM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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To: Tax-chick

Libs don't think.


6 posted on 07/21/2005 8:55:11 AM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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To: Tax-chick
>>>What were his/her parents thinking?

Let's sue the maker of this defective condom.
7 posted on 07/21/2005 8:55:25 AM PDT by .cnI redruM ("Something must be done, even if it doesn't work," Bob Geldof)
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To: .cnI redruM
I really enjoy reading Froma. I know we are making progress when she spases out like this.
8 posted on 07/21/2005 8:55:58 AM PDT by bigfootbob
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To: Dolphan

Without political power you will never end the slaughter of innocent babies.


9 posted on 07/21/2005 8:56:13 AM PDT by Leonard210
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To: CharlieOK1
A lot of manipulating what "is" is...

1) Pro-Choice when given what options?
2) Always Pro-Choice or only sometimes Pro-Choice?
10 posted on 07/21/2005 8:56:44 AM PDT by .cnI redruM ("Something must be done, even if it doesn't work," Bob Geldof)
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To: .cnI redruM
I wouldn't want to be a Republican politician the day that suburban mothers learn there's no legal way to end their 16-year-old daughter's unwanted pregnancy.

"Yeah, but those mothers are going to Hell anyway, so who cares what they think!" < /Calvinist Mode> ;)

11 posted on 07/21/2005 8:57:39 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ("Some people are like gravy, spilled on God's Sunday shirt..." -- Spock's Beard)
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To: Tax-chick

Wonder where Harrop is? Seeing as how she is from there and all.


12 posted on 07/21/2005 8:57:53 AM PDT by IamConservative (The true character of a man is revealed in what he does when no one is looking.)
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To: anniegetyourgun

Good point.


13 posted on 07/21/2005 8:57:59 AM PDT by Tax-chick (The body's entire blood supply moves through the lungs each minute.)
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To: .cnI redruM

LOL!


14 posted on 07/21/2005 8:58:11 AM PDT by Tax-chick (The body's entire blood supply moves through the lungs each minute.)
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To: anniegetyourgun
So if Roe is overturned, abortion legality will become patchwork. Sort of like Blue Laws and liquor licensing. Hardly the paranoid fantasies used by groups like EMily's List to raise donations.
15 posted on 07/21/2005 8:58:13 AM PDT by .cnI redruM ("Something must be done, even if it doesn't work," Bob Geldof)
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To: Leonard210

The point of the article seems to be that if they use their political power to ban abortion, then they would lose that power...

No one is denying the GOP has the political power right now.

So, if they don't use it to try to end abortion, then what good is the power that they currently possess right now?


16 posted on 07/21/2005 8:58:33 AM PDT by Dolphan (Duck!)
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To: IamConservative

And is there more than one Harrop?


17 posted on 07/21/2005 8:59:21 AM PDT by Tax-chick (The body's entire blood supply moves through the lungs each minute.)
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To: Tax-chick

Does he look something like this?

18 posted on 07/21/2005 9:00:10 AM PDT by Enterprise (Thus sayeth our rulers - "All your property is mine." - - - Kelo vs New London)
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To: Mr. Jeeves
>>>>I wouldn't want to be a Republican politician the day that suburban mothers

Ridiculous. On the day before this comes to pass, are you still seeking the GOP nomination for President?
19 posted on 07/21/2005 9:00:24 AM PDT by .cnI redruM ("Something must be done, even if it doesn't work," Bob Geldof)
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To: .cnI redruM
If Roe went down, two bad things would happen to Republicans...

One is that it would arouse America's pro-choice majority...

The other problem in overturning Roe is that it would send the abortion issue down to the state level. Republicans don't want angry pro-choice voters rushing to the polls in 50 states.

In that case, I guess that the Dems will be delighted if Roe is reversed.

20 posted on 07/21/2005 9:00:29 AM PDT by Brilliant
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