Which way?
5 points for Schmidt but that she had lost some of her lead.
The gop 2 to 1 advantage in this district doesn't mean this seat is safe.
It is a special election in the middle of the summer.
No incumbent
Race isn't a presidential election where party line vote would be more predictable. Perfect example is Bush won the congressional seat which includes Crawford by 64 percent the same as he won this ohio district by but in the Crawford district Chet Edwards a liberal dem won by 3 percent.
Dem candidate has gotten much more press coverage.