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Dreaming of energy independence
San Fancisco Chronicle ^
| 8/7/5
| Debra J. Saunders
Posted on 08/07/2005 8:57:14 AM PDT by SmithL
I HAVE a dream: President Bush pushes through a grand compromise -- he bucks Big Oil and Detroit by raising automobile fuel-efficiency standards, while enviros grind their teeth and support oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
That dream was interrupted Thursday by U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman, who was in San Francisco to speak at the Commonwealth Club. He arrived here just as Congress passed a 1,745-page energy bill that doesn't do much to improve fuel efficiency but has billions of dollars in tax breaks for energy companies.
I've clung to this dream because raising fuel efficiency would reduce American demand for oil, while opening up ANWR would increase oil supply. Both measures would make America, which imports 58 percent of its oil, more energy independent.
Bodman, however, wasn't too interested in pushing hard for four-wheel fuel efficiency. The administration is concerned, he told me in an interview, about "the unintended consequences of increasing the CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) standards on light vehicles" -- to wit: that higher CAFE standards could cause manufacturers to make lighter, and hence less safe, vehicles.
To my CAFE/ANWR proposal specifically, Bodman responded, "Your trade-off -- Does it make sense? Sure, you get A, and you give up B, and does that sort of thing make sense? Well, if you were going to make the change that you suggest, first of all you'd have to add an additional feature if you're producing vehicles that are just as safe or safer." (In other words, first you've got to call for measures that can impede fuel efficiency.)
The mechanics of legislation also get in the way. Congress had a chance to call for oil-conserving CAFE standards but failed. Don't think it is because Democrats didn't get what they wanted: Labor-loving Dems don't want
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anwr; cafe; oilindependence
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To: Smokin' Joe
I have not seen anyone factor in the energy cost of replacing those vehicles every few years. Aluminum production and other industry such as copper production takes about 30% of our power generation in the northwest. There is some recovery of the metals in cars, but new metal production is needed anyway because there are more and more vehicles. There are about 220 million in the fleet and the number is still increasing.
21
posted on
08/07/2005 11:49:56 AM PDT
by
RightWhale
(Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and open the Land Office)
To: Old Professer
To continue along the lines of anticipating future numbers, the 84 Mb/d may be very difficult to increase. Consumption would, of course, not exceed production.
22
posted on
08/07/2005 11:54:43 AM PDT
by
RightWhale
(Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and open the Land Office)
To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
CAFE standards are exactly why people are paying $2.40 a gallon for gas.And $20,000 for a tomato can to drive around in!
23
posted on
08/07/2005 12:12:02 PM PDT
by
Allosaurs_r_us
(I can't use the cell phone in the car. I have to keep my hands free for making obscene gestures)
To: RightWhale
Private companies could build 100 650 MW plants in the next three years. Plans are on the shelf, best available technology, ask the AFL/CIO if they're interested in providing labor...
The main problem is the NIMBY syndrome.
24
posted on
08/07/2005 12:14:30 PM PDT
by
Eric in the Ozarks
(Scratch a Liberal. Uncover a Fascist)
To: Eric in the Ozarks
Exactly! Big trucks should be natural gas. SUV's and small trucks should be turbo diesel. Oil should be reserved for cars. Economic forces will prevail .... no need for gov interference.
25
posted on
08/07/2005 12:22:24 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: Smokin' Joe
Had you bought a hybrid in '82, you would have replaced the $4,000 battery 2 or 3 times?
26
posted on
08/07/2005 12:27:06 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: RightWhale
Supply depends on the price. $60 a barrel will produce a glut in a few years.
27
posted on
08/07/2005 12:30:33 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: Eric in the Ozarks
I see a lot of nuc power being built in northern Canada. Big trade surplus problem with Canadians coming!
28
posted on
08/07/2005 12:33:33 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: RightWhale
Consider:
1 55 mpg hybrid + 1 0.0 mpg SUV = 27.5 mpg average.
2 60 mpg hybrid + 1 0.0 mpg SUV = 40 mpg average.
Both require all the world's fuel +!?
CAFE very strange math.
29
posted on
08/07/2005 12:39:32 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: John Jamieson
The '82 is my Harley. It would have been tough to fit the battery on it. I live in North Dakota, and would have had to heat a garage in order to keep the hybrid batteries from being ruined or having their lifespan shortened by our winters, which typically have temps of -30F or colder.
As it is we have to plug in engine heaters at night (and during the day, some days) during the winter to keep from damaging engines due to the cold. I doubt that I would only have had to replace the batteries 2 or 3 times since '82.
My daily driver/work vehicle is a '75 van with 282,000 miles on it.
My wife will part with her '78 Lincoln when they pry it from her cold, dead fingers.
30
posted on
08/07/2005 9:13:12 PM PDT
by
Smokin' Joe
(God save us from the fury of the do-gooders!)
To: SmithL
CAFE standards have caused more fuel to be used than if they had never been enacted.
31
posted on
08/07/2005 9:18:28 PM PDT
by
B Knotts
To: B Knotts
CAFE standards have caused more fuel to be used than if they had never been enacted. That's counter-intuitive. Would you care to explain that?
32
posted on
08/07/2005 9:28:02 PM PDT
by
SmithL
(There are a lot of people that hate Bush more than they hate terrorists)
To: SmithL
CAFE standards, like many/most government regulations had unintended consequences.
They caused the end of the full-size station wagon, and more-or-less, the full-size sedan. People wanted large cars, so they began buying trucks, which later became SUVs, once the manufacturers caught on. The end result was more, not less, fuel used.
33
posted on
08/07/2005 9:38:07 PM PDT
by
B Knotts
To: B Knotts
34
posted on
08/07/2005 9:38:57 PM PDT
by
SmithL
(There are a lot of people that hate Bush more than they hate terrorists)
To: Smokin' Joe
I did some consulting in northern Canada. They told me it would be -40. I asked F or C? Doesn't make any diff they said, the two scales cross there!
It was -40!
35
posted on
08/07/2005 10:16:45 PM PDT
by
John Jamieson
(Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
To: John Jamieson
The other fun one is -54F. I have noticed the NWS never has reported colder than that in ND--or WY when I worked there. (It is where mercury becomes solid.)
On the one job an elderly lady 4 miles away reported an unofficial static air temp of -60F, and we had a 40 mph wind. THAT was cold. (-146 wind chill, from a US Army chart.) Thank God an Indian friend had given me an old Air Force parka, it saved my bacon...
36
posted on
08/07/2005 10:23:24 PM PDT
by
Smokin' Joe
(God save us from the fury of the do-gooders!)
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