Tropical Depression #18

NOAA - NHC ^ | 17 September 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[RGVTx]

Thanks for the ping.
I knew we'd be a target soon.
We kept most of the wood on the windows until this past week. Now it looks like we're in the bullseyes.

[shield]

Wonder why Accuweather forecasting different than others:

Rita's Forecast Eye Path

[NautiNurse]

I speak for many when I say you were in our thoughts and prayers before, during and after the storm. The storm threads are a FReeper community service - and a team effort by many. The Katrina Chronicles links (15 Parts) are located on my profile page. They provide a fascinating glimpse into the human response before, during, and after the storm.

p.s. If you can find it - Damp-Rid is a great product for drying out the home.

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Depression Eighteen Intermediate Advisory Number 3a
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on September 18, 2005

 
...Depression slowly organizing as it nears the Bahamas...

 
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for all of the Florida Keys from
Ocean Reef southward and westward to Dry Tortugas...including
Florida Bay.

 
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northwest Bahamas.

 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Turks and Caicos
Islands...and for the southeast and central Bahamas.  A Tropical
Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

 
Interests elsewhere in South Florida...as well as central and
western Cuba...should closely monitor the progress of this
system.  Additional watches could be issued for portions of South
Florida and for Cuba later today or tonight.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Depression Eighteen
was located near latitude 21.9 north... longitude 72.4 west or
about 385 miles... 625 km... east-southeast of Nassau in the
Bahamas.

 
The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph... 17 km/hr.  A
general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during
the next 24 hours.  On this track...this system will be moving over
the eastern and central Bahamas later today...tonight...and Monday.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  35 mph... 55 km/hr... with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast... and the depression could
become a tropical storm later today or tonight.

 
The minimum central pressure recently measured by reconnaissance
aircraft was 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

 
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...21.9 N... 72.4 W.  Movement
toward...west near 10 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Knabb

[Dog Gone]

Could be. It looked impressive on infrared yesterday.

Haven't checked again yet today.

Katrina has already made Ivan and Andrew seem like relatively minor events, which they most surely were not.

We're simply not ready to absorb another one this year.

[blam]

"The eastern edge of the forecast cone is disturbingly pointed at New Orleans.. This could easily be a Cat 3 by the time it gets over there, if it makes it over there.."

I just heard someone on Fox News say that 3 inches of rain could cause NO to re-flood.

[Dog Gone]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html

I think we're screwed.

[Dog Gone]

Blam, I'm counting on you to distract this one from where it looks like it's heading.

[Dog Gone]

I pinged just a few of you because I don't have a greater Houston pinglist.

Heads up! Rita may be visiting next weekend!

[WhyisaTexasgirlinPA]

Thanks for the heads up.......... could she possibly quarterback for us, apparently Carr is going to be looking for a new job.........

[Types_with_Fist]

I don't suppose the Gulf has cooled off all that much since Katrina? I have no idea. I'm just curious. Geez... but another one in the Gulf.

[Dog Gone]

Rita couldn't make a bigger mess of things... ;-)

[mhking]

I don't suppose the Gulf has cooled off all that much since Katrina?

Nope. Still bathwater temperature.

[Dog Gone]

The Gulf hasn't cooled off at all. We're expecting 97 degree temperature days this week, and autumn starts on Thursday.

Katrina cooled off the north central gulf a little, but the western gulf is red hot.

It will take some shear to prevent her from hitting as a major hurricane.

[mewzilla]

Key West Tourists Evacuate Ahead of Tropical Depression

Officials in Monroe Country are on the ball.

[mewzilla]

Water Temps for Eastern Gulf of Mexico Coast

Think they've come down a degree or two in the last three weeks.

[WhyisaTexasgirlinPA]

I expect all cities of the Gulf will be going way overboard to anticipate any need during this season - I'm not saying that is a bad thing, just that no one is going to want to get caught with their pants down anytime soon..........

[mewzilla]

I expect all cities of the Gulf will be going way overboard to anticipate any need during this season - I'm not saying that is a bad thing, just that no one is going to want to get caught with their pants down anytime soon..........

Let's hope so. I'm not holding out a lot of hope for LA, though. Not as long as all the usual suspects still have their day jobs.

[WhyisaTexasgirlinPA]

I really don't know how any city of 4 plus million could expect to evacuate everyone, but I'm sure Houson is already working on that one! lol

[mewzilla]

Start early. Better inconvenienced than dead.