| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 09/20/2005 6:22:17 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Locked - New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1487888/posts |
Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
We went to Big Bend last Oct. It was still hot and rattle snakes were all over the highway. There were two kinds. Those already squashed and those waiting to be.
and Rita Cosby.
You got it. Of course, the lines could be right, and what I quoted wrong. We shall see.
Really---I have been hearing that all day that there is a good chance that NO could be on the east side of the hurricane, like Mississippi was during Katrina.
I'm generally not too upset about rattlers because they'll generally let you know when they're around, and I've come across some whoppers. But for the others, no thanks, don't need them and am thankful that we don't have them in our dry country.
Yeah, it will be east of the storm. Just how far east is the question. They are saying even a tropical depression type surge/storm could strain the levees and cause flooding.
I would have died had I not been in a car with the windows rolled up all the way. Those snakes were huge.
They call the east side the "wet" side. In Houston, on the west or "dry" side, we didn't get a drop.
KEWT!!!!
Cute emoticon. I have to go to bed. Night all.
Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog
Hurricane Rita
Not sure how long he has had this up, but according to this .....
It's not official, but it soon will be--Rita is a hurricane. The latest satellite imagery shows a huge and expanding burst of deep convection with very cold cloud tops near the center. The latest UW-CIMSS satellite intensity estimate puts Rita as a 80 mph hurricane with a 982 mb central pressure. Radar imagery from Camaguey, Cuba shows a partially formed elliptical eyewall, open to the north. Long range Miami radar shows a large and expanding area of radar echoes app...
http://www.weatherunderground.com/
I don't blame you at all. My yellow lab is useless and refuses to swim so I don't have that problem at all.
thank you
The east side of the storm would not be nearly as bad for NO as it was for MS.
Some models have the storm going into NO, but climatology and actual weather conditions seem to go against that idea. 0z guidance shows a split still, but it's basically either a N TX or S TX split at this point. It could hit western LA, but I'm not ready to buy that myself.
399
URNT12 KNHC 200243
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 20/02:13:50Z
B. 23 deg 18 min N
077 deg 44 min W
C. 700 mb 3037 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 225 deg 051 kt
G. 141 deg 031 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 9 C/ 3053 m
J. 15 C/ 3050 m
K. 7 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF304 0818A RITA OB 04
MAX FL WIND 51 KT SE QUAD 02:05:00 Z
GOOD BANDING FEATURES CONSISTENT WITH FL CNTR
ABOUT 30 PERCENT EYE FEATURE SSE THRU SSW
The infrared loop really showsr Rita has strengthened and grown in size since the Cowboy game started to halftime.
I was suprised at how much. Boring game at 3-0, but at least were winning.
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 19, 2005
...Rita almost to hurricane strength as it approaches Andros
Island...new warnings issued for Florida West Coast...
...Rita almost to hurricane strength as it approaches Andros Island...new warnings issued for Florida West Coast...
at 11 PM EDT...0300z...the Hurricane Warning is extended along the Florida West Coast from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for all of the Florida Keys...and from Golden Beach on the Florida southeast coast southward to East Cape Sable then northward to Chokoloskee.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of Villa Clara...Matanzas...Ciudad de Habana...and la Habana. A Hurricane Warning also remains in effect for the Exumas and Andros Island in the northwestern Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from Deerfield Beach Florida southward to north of Golden Beach.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect along the Florida West Coast north of Chokoloskee to Englewood.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the Florida East Coast from north of Deerfield Beach northward to Jupiter Inlet...as well as for Lake Okeechobee.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of Ciego de Avila...Sancti Spiritus...Cienfuegos...and Pinar del Rio. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the remainder of the central and northwestern Bahamas.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Rita was located near latitude 23.3 north...longitude 77.8 west or about 120 miles... 195 km...south-southwest of Nassau and about 270 miles... 430 km...east-southeast of Key West Florida.
Rita is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track...the center of Rita will pass over or just south of Andros Island in the Bahamas during the next few hours...and approach the Florida Keys Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher gusts. Satellite and radar data indicate that Rita is getting better organized and it should become a hurricane during the next few hours. It could become a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale as it approaches the Florida Keys.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km from the center. An automated station on Andros Island recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is 990 mb...29.23 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible in the Florida Keys in areas of onshore flow. Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet is possible along the extreme southeastern Florida coast...and in the northwestern Bahamas.
Rita is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the central Bahamas...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Rainfall accumulation of 3 to 6 inches are possible for eastern Cuba. Storm totals of 6 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...will be possible in the Florida Keys...and central and northwestern Cuba...with 3 to 5 inches possible across the southern Florida Peninsula.
Isolated tornadoes are possible later tonight and Tuesday over the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...23.3 N... 77.8 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 990 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.