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Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: mhking

All intensity forecast models are basically worthless.

It's the great unsolved problem in tropical meteorology. Not only are they generally worthless, they're not getting better.


821 posted on 09/19/2005 11:33:26 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: jpsb

Yeah, I guess I need to stick with plan A and get the hell out. We are right by Armand Bayou too.


822 posted on 09/19/2005 11:34:17 AM PDT by Lanza
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To: shield

Well, I like him more than Joe Bastardi. Or Larry Cosgrove.

He's just sort of...nuts. A long story.

Anyway, his favorite model, the ECMWF, has now changed pretty radically and has a landfall in North Texas, much as the GFS does.


823 posted on 09/19/2005 11:34:20 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Dog Gone; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
Is your hubby going to be here next weekend?

Dog Gone, does Mrs. Gone know that you are on the Internet asking when women are going to be home alone?

I'm pondering where to move the Jeep if the water starts rising. The ramp from the West Loop to the South Loop is looking like a good parking place.

824 posted on 09/19/2005 11:35:48 AM PDT by Flyer (Really!)
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To: Strategerist
All intensity forecast models are basically worthless.

Ah.

I'm still keeping my eyes on everything...

825 posted on 09/19/2005 11:35:55 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: Flyer; Dog Gone

Since I am husbandless, you should park it in my driveway........... uh, that is if you are willing to climb on the roof if the skylight has a leak, otherwise, never mind........;^)


826 posted on 09/19/2005 11:37:36 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Prayers for healing and relief from pain for Cowboy...........)
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To: jpsb
Breaking .... Galveston (city) calling for voluntary evac.

... and that's where I live...

I'm waiting on my boss now to let me outahere so I can get my butt down there.

827 posted on 09/19/2005 11:39:48 AM PDT by Michael Goldsberry (an enemy of islam -- Joe Boucher; Leapfrog; Dr.Zoidberg; Lazamataz; ...)
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To: Lanza

Good idea, I will wait until thrusday, lots can happen between now and then.


828 posted on 09/19/2005 11:40:11 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

Sounds familiar. And there's also the occasional flock of birds.


829 posted on 09/19/2005 11:40:58 AM PDT by hobson
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To: jpsb
All the water a storm pushes into Galveston bay goes into Clear Lake.

*Sigh* I JUST learned the geography of New Orleans, etc., and now I have to go back to Google Earth and study up.

:-)

830 posted on 09/19/2005 11:41:17 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
you should park it in my driveway

Well, I can walk home from the Loop. . . and concern myself with my second story bay window that faces the trees in the courtyard.

831 posted on 09/19/2005 11:41:31 AM PDT by Flyer (Really!)
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To: mware
I know a group of kindergartners who would do better than the current administration.
832 posted on 09/19/2005 11:41:35 AM PDT by spotbust1 (Gun control is when you use both hands.)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
Do yall park your vehicles sideways in front of your garage. I don't know if it really does any good but around here, we do.
833 posted on 09/19/2005 11:41:35 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: hobson

Now that's a good one I've never heard.......lol


834 posted on 09/19/2005 11:42:15 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Prayers for healing and relief from pain for Cowboy...........)
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To: jpsb

Yeah, remeber they originally thought Katrina would go back NOrth east to Florida prior to entering the Gulf. That was short lived, but who knows. Remember the one in the late 80's (was it Gilbert) that stayed on a weird straight path and didn't make the turn? Clear Lake had become a ghost town, because we thought it was coming.


835 posted on 09/19/2005 11:43:04 AM PDT by Lanza
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To: CindyDawg

Never heard of parking sideways - what is that supposed to accomplish?


836 posted on 09/19/2005 11:43:08 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Prayers for healing and relief from pain for Cowboy...........)
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To: CindyDawg

Islamorada, about 90 miles north of Key West.


837 posted on 09/19/2005 11:43:27 AM PDT by LBelle
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To: Leapfrog

Where are you going to go?


838 posted on 09/19/2005 11:43:30 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Prayers for healing and relief from pain for Cowboy...........)
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To: Howlin

At least we aren't below sea level Howlin -


839 posted on 09/19/2005 11:44:00 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Prayers for healing and relief from pain for Cowboy...........)
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To: jpsb

Map of Haris country risk areas:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/tropical/evac_map/gifs/harris.gif


840 posted on 09/19/2005 11:44:06 AM PDT by No Blue States
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