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Tropical Storm Wilma Live Thread
NOAA - NHC ^ | 17 October 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 10/17/2005 1:39:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2005 hurricane season continues to alter the record books. Tropical Storm Wilma has formed in the Caribbean Sea.

NHC Public Advisories
NHC Discussions

Storm Floater IR Loop


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: hurricane; notagain; notthisagain; tropical; weather; wilma
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To: dawn53

I got mine from Rita in the garage.


41 posted on 10/17/2005 3:29:17 AM PDT by TXBSAFH (Anytime a Politico says, "Trust Me." I put my hand on my wallet and slowly back away.)
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To: NautiNurse

None of the models have the storm taking that northerly turn.

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200524_model.html


42 posted on 10/17/2005 3:51:10 AM PDT by alnick
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To: alnick

The 5AM NHC discussion provides analysis of the models. See post #22.


43 posted on 10/17/2005 4:00:40 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

I hereby demand Accuweather's model be totally wrong.


44 posted on 10/17/2005 4:01:37 AM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the head's up!


45 posted on 10/17/2005 4:27:19 AM PDT by Alia
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To: NautiNurse

I am ready for this season to be over.


46 posted on 10/17/2005 4:34:54 AM PDT by mathluv
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To: NautiNurse
Track has shifted westward.

WAY westward!

Go Astros!

47 posted on 10/17/2005 4:50:31 AM PDT by Flyer (My FReeper Friends ROCK!)
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To: Dallas59
That's not the Wilma I had in mind...

...

48 posted on 10/17/2005 5:05:02 AM PDT by Hatteras
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To: NautiNurse

My sister has decided to move from the MS Gulf Coast up here to SC...looks like she is just in time for Wilma to follow her!


49 posted on 10/17/2005 5:07:01 AM PDT by 4everontheRight (Criminals feed on the indulgence of society's understanding)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.kplctv.com/Global/link.asp?L=159592

Here's the local meteorologist's weather blog on Wilma. He did a great job with Rita.


50 posted on 10/17/2005 5:15:21 AM PDT by CajunConservative
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To: NautiNurse
Nooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I just got everything unpacked yesterday from Rita!

51 posted on 10/17/2005 5:17:46 AM PDT by Nita Nupress (http://n8ivetexan.blogspot.com (our experience with Rita)
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To: goresalooza
...saw on accuweather earlier that they think a high pressure ridge might keep it away from the northern gulf...and send it either west to Mexico or more easterly toward Tampa or points south.

Oh, I like that. Mexico sounds really good.

52 posted on 10/17/2005 5:19:10 AM PDT by Nita Nupress (http://n8ivetexan.blogspot.com (our experience with Rita)
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To: NautiNurse

Gee, these hurricane threads are the only thing worth reading this morning. Maybe if it hits NO someone will finally think about the wisdom of rebuilding. I don't think it'll make it much above a 3. The water is still pretty warm but not quite the high octane hurricane fuel. It just depends on the other factors coming together properly. I'm beginning to like my snow more and more.


53 posted on 10/17/2005 5:34:10 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Hatteras

54 posted on 10/17/2005 5:52:02 AM PDT by Dallas59 (“You love life, while we love death.” - Al-Qaeda / Democratic Party)
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To: sure_fine; Chanticleer

AACK! That picture turns my stomach!

Ping to chanticleer!


55 posted on 10/17/2005 5:57:32 AM PDT by aberaussie
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks, NN.


56 posted on 10/17/2005 6:00:43 AM PDT by 2Jedismom (Expect me when you see me!)
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To: NautiNurse
The (slightly-late because I was celebrating 13-0 straight-up and 11-2 against the line last night) 8 am intermediate advisory -

Tropical Storm Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number 7a

Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on October 17, 2005

 
...Wilma moving erratically in the Caribbean...

 
a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
the Cayman Islands.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Wilma was located
near latitude 16.8 north... longitude 79.6 west or about 205 miles
... 335 km... southeast of Grand Cayman.

 
Wilma is moving southward at about 5 mph ...8 km/hr...but a slow
motion toward the southwest or west is expected during the next 24
hours.  Steering currents remain weak and a continued erratic
motion is possible during the next day or two.

 
Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 40 mph... 65
km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during
the next 24 hours.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to  45 miles
... 75 km... mainly southwest of the center.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb...29.53 inches.

 
The depression is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cayman Islands and Jamaica... with isolated
amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible.

 
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...16.8 N... 79.6 W.  Movement
toward...south near 5 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 40 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1000 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.

 
Forecaster Franklin

 

 
$$

We should start getting aircraft recon data about noon; the first flight of two today should already be feet-wet.

57 posted on 10/17/2005 6:22:07 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: NautiNurse; Blogger

Here's 117 hours (about 5 days) out forecast from Tropical Storm Risk.com (TSR). Take your pick of landing location...


http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/tracker/dynamic/200524N_7F.html


58 posted on 10/17/2005 6:50:40 AM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: steveegg

Local Orlando news says the Canadian model is the only one at this time bringing it close to Florida. The others have taken a significant westerly course FOR THE TIME BEING!


59 posted on 10/17/2005 7:14:18 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (If you still vote Democrat, you're still stuck on stupid!)
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Just in time to cancel the World Series (unless Houston chokes the next 3 games, like the Yankees did last year. The games in the NL city are a week from Tue, Wed, and Thu.)


60 posted on 10/17/2005 7:23:53 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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