Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Greenspan Warnings
321Gold ^ | Dec. 1, 2005 | Nick Barisheff

Posted on 12/01/2005 10:13:36 AM PST by Travis McGee

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-99 next last
To: justshutupandtakeit
img src="http://skysails.info/uploads/pics/bild2_05.jpg>"

This is just one of the ways in which sail power is being revived. For nine years a team of naval architects in Copenhagen, Denmark, has been working on a completely new design: a 50,000-tonne cargo ship whose diesel engine will be augmented by a set of high-tech sails set on six masts. Canvas is definitely out. Aerofoils are in.

61 posted on 12/01/2005 1:13:59 PM PST by vrwc0915
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: Irontank
I'm not incorrect...core CPI (the most oft cited measure by the Fed and its cheerleaders in the financial media) specifically excludes food and energy prices

Ummm...they mention both rates. And they don't try to hide it, it's even on their website.

As for how to track housing costs...I'm not a statistician but if the purpose of the CPI is to measure the living costs incurred by the average household...why limit the cost of housing criteria to rental prices?

I own a house and have a mortgage. Prices of houses in my area double. Does my mortgage double? No.

62 posted on 12/01/2005 1:16:34 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (The Federal Reserve did not kill JFK. Greenspan was not on the grassy knoll.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: vrwc0915

LoL I knew someone would post something like that. Maybe I should change the example to covered wagons.


63 posted on 12/01/2005 1:20:41 PM PST by justshutupandtakeit (Public Enemy #1, the RATmedia.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 61 | View Replies]

To: Irontank
Senator Jon Corzine dismissing the looiming crisis in Social Security by declaring that "it will never run out of money...the government can just print more money"

Futurist Watts Wacker predicted that, when the Gen-X kids grow up and take over control from the boomers they will do just that. Faced with a staggering national debt, they will elect to simply print the debt out of existence.

64 posted on 12/01/2005 1:24:47 PM PST by Chuckster (Neca eos omnes. Deus suos agnoset)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Toddsterpatriot
Fine, just scale the numbers to accurately reflect the relative numbers of home buyers to renters to owners paying a mortgage, to outright owners. Add into the mix the cost of housing, the cost of renting, the cost of mortgages, and of course the cost of property taxes (which apply to all but the second category, although it is folded into their rent). And scale by the percentages, and you have an accurate picture of the "average cost of housing" across the entire population. Certainly a lot more accurate than considering renters only. (Ultimately what is sought is to collect the entire US expenditure on housing, divided by the total population, for the exact average cost spent on housing.) That is certainly a lot more accurate than assessing rental costs only.

My mortgage payment is unchanged.

Don't forget that there are an awful lot of ARMs out there - their mortgage costs will change, and that is a change in the cost of housing.

65 posted on 12/01/2005 1:49:25 PM PST by coloradan (Failing to protect the liberties of your enemies establishes precedents that will reach to yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: coloradan
...try to determine if the arguments for a higher gold price are valid, e.g. debased currency, artifically suppressed gold prices, etc...

For hundreds of years the value of gold in say, dollars, has not kept up with everything else.  So, before I decided to expect real gold prices to increase, I'd first have to determine that gold demand was going up-- like maybe a new jewelry fad or sudden need for window lettering maybe.

I find the track record for stock prices a lot more convincing.

66 posted on 12/01/2005 1:54:20 PM PST by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 56 | View Replies]

To: Toddsterpatriot
Ummm...they mention both rates. And they don't try to hide it, it's even on their website.

I never said they try to hide it...but those who support Fed policies also don't often mention the total CPI rate...they prefer to mention the core rate...which, IMO, understates inflation...but you don't have to believe me...look at the various Fed Bank websites...google statements by Fed governors or by Greenspan himself

I own a house and have a mortgage. Prices of houses in my area double. Does my mortgage double? No.

I don't understand your point...if prices of homes double in your area in a short time...you have a case of high housing inflation...a condition that is probably not reflected in the CPI...particularly if the housing boom is the result of low mortgage rates. I only know what's going on in my area of the country...but here housing prices still go up at ridiculous annual rates...and at the same time I see that local apartment complexes are offering all sorts of deals (free rent for the first month or two) to entice renters. I don't know the statistics but I will guarantee that, in any area of the country, average annual rent increases are nowhere close to average annual housing price increases.

Until the early 80's, the CPI did use home prices, mortgage interest rates, property taxes, and insurance and maintenance costs as the bases for measuring housing costs...then the BLS moved to imputed rental value...why?

67 posted on 12/01/2005 1:55:23 PM PST by Irontank (Let them revere nothing but religion, morality and liberty -- John Adams)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: expat_panama

The question isn't whether stocks are a better buy than gold, the question is whether gold is a better buy than dollars.


68 posted on 12/01/2005 1:55:30 PM PST by coloradan (Failing to protect the liberties of your enemies establishes precedents that will reach to yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: coloradan
Certainly a lot more accurate than considering renters only.

The governments calculation is not based on renters only.

Don't forget that there are an awful lot of ARMs out there - their mortgage costs will change, and that is a change in the cost of housing.

An ARM adjusting has nothing to do with the price of the house.

69 posted on 12/01/2005 2:04:07 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (The Federal Reserve did not kill JFK. Greenspan was not on the grassy knoll.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 65 | View Replies]

To: Toddsterpatriot
An ARM adjusting has nothing to do with the price of the house.

And neither does an adjustment of rent. But both have to do with the cost of living, which is what "cost of living" increases are supposed to be geared towards.

70 posted on 12/01/2005 2:07:56 PM PST by coloradan (Failing to protect the liberties of your enemies establishes precedents that will reach to yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 69 | View Replies]

To: coloradan; Travis McGee; SaxxonWoods
The question isn't whether stocks are a better buy than gold, the question is whether gold is a better buy than dollars.

Dollars are money that we can use for buying gold or buying stocks, but I'm digressing.  The question in this exchange ( To 1, To 12, 56, & 66) is whether this article is informative, or is it merely Barisheff's spam for peddling shares in his mutual fund.

IMHO it's not informative; it's not even honest.

71 posted on 12/01/2005 2:15:35 PM PST by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 68 | View Replies]

To: Irontank
I never said they try to hide it...

No, you said it's not included. Its why the CPI does not account for food costs, energy costs.

I don't understand your point...

You said CPI does not include the price of homes and mortgage payments. Why would the rising price of the home I own change my mortgage payment?

I don't know the statistics but I will guarantee that, in any area of the country, average annual rent increases are nowhere close to average annual housing price increases.

You are correct. But if you look at the link to the secret CPI that the government doesn't talk about, you'll see that even though rents have been falling, the housing components of CPI are still rising. OER is rising.

...then the BLS moved to imputed rental value...why?

I'd have to say it is more accurate.

72 posted on 12/01/2005 2:21:39 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (The Federal Reserve did not kill JFK. Greenspan was not on the grassy knoll.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: Toddsterpatriot
Inflation or deflation are your two alternatives, when you have ruined your underlying economy with endless fiat money.

Exactly. There is no inflation or deflation under a gold or silver standard. LOL!!

There are always fluctuations in any market economy, and always will be. But only the infinite printing of worthless unbacked fiat money (as we have done since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971) leads to totally ruinous collapses, leading to mass starvation, bloody revolution, civil war and dictatorship.

For example, I'd say the USA did pretty well across the span of the 19th century, under a gold backed currency, wouldn't you? All in all?

Say, compared to France in the 1780s, or Germany in the 20s? Or what is going to happen to the USA?

73 posted on 12/01/2005 2:22:44 PM PST by Travis McGee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: Travis McGee
But only the infinite printing of worthless unbacked fiat money

Gosh I knew the Fed was powerful but I didn't think they printed an infinite number of dollars.

For example, I'd say the USA did pretty well across the span of the 19th century, under a gold backed currency, wouldn't you? All in all?

Yes, the USA did very well in the 19th Century under a gold backed currency. I wonder how much gold they needed to back our currency in 1800? In 1900? I wonder how much gold they would need in 2005?

I guess if you don't mind spikes of inflation and deflation like we had in the 19th century gold could be dandy.

74 posted on 12/01/2005 2:27:33 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (The Federal Reserve did not kill JFK. Greenspan was not on the grassy knoll.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: expat_panama

Yes, I was trying to be polite after my first post brought a wounded howl from the poster, but you are on point. The article was not written as a public service, and should be read with that in mind.


75 posted on 12/01/2005 2:30:46 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (Question for Socialists: Why are others bound to do for you what you won't do for yourself?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies]

To: Travis McGee
I'd say the USA did pretty well across the span of the 19th century, under a gold backed currency, wouldn't you?

No, and fortunately most people feel the same way.  Pegging money to gold gave us worse inflation than we've ever had with the Fed.   Even that wouldn't have been so bad if the gold currency would've just settled down to one of it's 25%/year peaks.  No such luck.  It would loop down to over 10% deflation for a couple months and then back to double digit inflation.

Truly idiotic.

76 posted on 12/01/2005 2:47:11 PM PST by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: SaxxonWoods

Are articles normally written as public services? Is that the norm?


77 posted on 12/01/2005 3:52:35 PM PST by coloradan (Failing to protect the liberties of your enemies establishes precedents that will reach to yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 75 | View Replies]

To: coloradan

It's starting to sound like you work for the guy, give it a rest willya? Buy all the gold in the world, whatever...sheesh!


78 posted on 12/01/2005 3:56:38 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (Question for Socialists: Why are others bound to do for you what you won't do for yourself?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: SaxxonWoods

You can't answer my question, so you question my motives instead.


79 posted on 12/01/2005 4:36:49 PM PST by coloradan (Failing to protect the liberties of your enemies establishes precedents that will reach to yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: Travis McGee
Interesting article. Most folks do not understand that Greenspan was an ardent "gold bug" before going to the fed.

Thanks for the ping. Interesting how a little money and a lot of power can change someone's mind. I believe it was Washington who said that few men can withstand the highest bidder....

Anyway, gold did hit 500 FRN's today and I expect it to go much higher into the future as the dollar continues it's collapse.

80 posted on 12/01/2005 5:47:35 PM PST by Mulder (“The spirit of resistance is so valuable, that I wish it to be always kept alive" Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-99 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson