Posted on 03/13/2006 1:36:42 PM PST by jmc1969
People that believe any poll from an MSM source or polls in general is also foolish.
In Hoc.
Shouldn't a president try to improve his standing? Dubya appears to be trying to get more unpopular. Look at his missteps and incoherence regarding the ports deal.
Most voters do not confuse their local congressman or senator with Bush. Most voters cast their vote for the person and not the party affiliation.
Some times presidents have coattails that influence a little bit.
Example: Nixon did not bring down the Republican party. With the (short) exception of Carter's presidency, the party rose to new heights.
You remind me of some passengers I've had offshore: "Oh my God...a wave...we're all gonna die!"
OK.I was just asking a question. Why is everyone so defensive? He scores low on spending and illegal immigration, don't you agree on that? Two not so small matters.
OK.I was just asking a question. Why is everyone so defensive? He scores low on spending and illegal immigration, don't you agree on that? Two not so small matters.
If I were smart about politics...
That's precious.
By the way, "here" means a place, "hear" means to listen.
If YOU were smart about politics, you would know that on all but one second term midterm election in the past 100 years, the Party of the incumbent president has lost seats in both houses of Congress.
Ever H-E-A-R of "The Sixth Year Swoon"?
I didn't think so:
"During the first 90 years of the 20th century, for example, there were nine midterm elections held during an administration's second term. Each time, the president's party lost House seats. Those losses averaged 33 seats (or more than double the number of seats Democrats must win to gain control). Major second-midterm blowouts for the party occupying the White House included 71 seats lost in 1938 during Franklin Roosevelt's second term, 47 in 1958 during Dwight Eisenhower's second term, 47 in 1966 in the second term of the Kennedy-Johnson administration and 43 seats in 1974 during the Nixon-Ford era." -- Source
How many seats do Democrats need to control the House?
Fifteen.
Now, only one second term President bucked the historic "Swoon" and actually managed to help his party gain seats in the Sixth Year Swoon...that was Bill Clinton in 1998.
Pay attention, it's a big boy's game.
He needs to move beyond defense and go on attack against the Democrats. Start painting them as sabotaging the WOT. Demand an up/down vote in the Senate on surveillance phone calls to terrorist. Put the Dems on defense; make them defend their actions or inactions. What is their plan for fighting terrorism anyway?
A few questions: WHo wrote the check to the polling company, and on who's behalf. Give us a complete breakdown of demographics; what were the questions, who was called, where do they live, what political party did they associate themselves with... and those are just a few questions that Reuters didn't bother to provide to their readers.
Will a majority of real voters, not adults whose 50% of them do not vote, trust the democrat more than Republicans on national security issues? The answer is no.
Will majority of real voters think that Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi are true leaders? The answer is no.
Will Iran become a major issue if not the major issue in this election year and hence gives a big advantage to President Bush and the Republican Party? The answer is yes, most likely Iran will be a very important issue and it will benefit the Republican Party.
Will great and positive events are likely to occur like the capture of Bin Laden or Zawahiri or Zarqawi? It is likely that this can happen and in this case a Republican victory is guaranteed.
Finally will the Republican Party play on the ultimate but real and true fear factor that if the democrats win the House they will certainly impeach President Bush? I think they will and that will greatly energize the base and the independents leaning Republicans.
You've got to remember that a large percentage of the unpleased would no more vote for a RAT than burn their own houses. Remember Clinton's poll numbers? I'll bet a lot of the approving ones were not happy with him, but lied to keep the numbers up. There are probably a few of ours who do the same, but I'll hazard a guess that it is fewer than theirs.
That's precisely why you should stay out of it. It's quite childish to think that "low" ratings now have any bearing at all on what will happen in 8 months.
Zawahiri would be more like catching KSM in that the media knows who he is so they would play it up for a couple days, but the average American has no clue who they are talking about.
Zarqawi and Bin Laden are the only ones with real name recognition to the average American.
That comment is what may cause defensiveness. Pretending like your belief is what "we" all believe on this forum.
LOL...
You think that it's over?
They are just starting to pound on the GOP and the White House.
You guys have to realize that if he wants to get anything done in the second term he will need a majority in Congress. The elected officials in Congress do not want to be associated with a President hovering around 40%. His approval rating is important.
You guys have to realize that if he wants to get anything done in the second term he will need a majority in Congress. The elected officials in Congress do not want to be associated with a President hovering around 40%. His approval rating is important.
Who said that? All I said was it's not realistic to think that low ratings now have a bearing on an election 8 months off.
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