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Army faces a major officer shortage
San Antonio Express-News ^ | 8 April 2006 | Sig Christenson

Posted on 04/08/2006 5:42:38 PM PDT by Racehorse

The Army expects to be short 2,500 captains and majors this year, with the number rising to 3,300 in 2007. These officers are the Army's seed corn, the people who 10 years from now should be leading battalions and brigades.

"We're ruining an Army that took us 30 years to build," Republican maverick Sen. Chuck Hagel, R-Neb., told a group of reporters at a recent conference.

The Army blames its expansion from 33 to 42 brigades, growing its force by 30,000 soldiers to 512,000, as the reason for the dip.

But Hull and others point to the Army personnel drawdown that followed the end of the Cold War, conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan, the rapid rate of deployments and aggressive corporate recruiters trying to lure the best and brightest officers into high-paying, private-sector jobs.

The Army denies the shortage is a crisis, but its top civilian, Francis J. Harvey, acknowledged concerns, telling the Washington Post: "We are worried."

Harvey later downplayed the problem . . . saying the attrition rate is slightly above the average of 8 percent and is being countered by the production of new young officers.

Those outside the Army who are familiar with the problem say it must be reversed if the service is to avoid going "hollow" as it did in the wake of Vietnam, reaching the point where it couldn't win wars.

[. . .]

last year's 8.6 percent attrition rate for lieutenants and captains was slightly above average but lower than the loss of junior officers in 1999 and 2000. The Army also saw a rise in the exit of lieutenants and captains in 2004, but the jump came after a "historically low" attrition year in 2003, he said, insisting the numbers show "that we do not have a serious problem."

(Excerpt) Read more at mysanantonio.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: army; military; recruitment; soldier; terror; terrorism
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1 posted on 04/08/2006 5:42:42 PM PDT by Racehorse
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To: Racehorse

How many suspect that this number is low because of the Clinton Presidency?


2 posted on 04/08/2006 5:46:28 PM PDT by I got the rope
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To: Racehorse

This is nothing compared to the draw down Viet Nam caused. Do what they did then-promote people sooner.


3 posted on 04/08/2006 5:46:53 PM PDT by csmusaret (Urban Sprawl is an oxymoron)
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To: Racehorse

"Republican maverick Sen. Chuck Hagel"

Oh no, does "maverick" McStain know the MSM have a new hero?


4 posted on 04/08/2006 5:49:00 PM PDT by dynachrome ("Where am I? Where am I going? Why am I in a handbasket?")
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To: Racehorse
Unfortunately, the majority of the majors and lt. cols. that I work with are under performers. I really worry for the fate of the war on terror. The 1LTs who are getting the OJT in Iraq and A'stan don't have the horse power to turn the ship around. Scary really.
5 posted on 04/08/2006 5:50:36 PM PDT by Bluedaddy
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To: Racehorse
No word of the Divisions that Klintoon disbanded during his reign I see.
6 posted on 04/08/2006 5:51:53 PM PDT by Texas_Jarhead (Say NO! to the "No Illegal Alien Left Behind" legislation...)
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To: Texas_Jarhead

Perhaps that was too long ago to matter.


7 posted on 04/08/2006 5:52:38 PM PDT by Texas_Jarhead (Say NO! to the "No Illegal Alien Left Behind" legislation...)
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To: I got the rope
You bet.

That is the rank I would be right now--Major. I left in disgust in 1995.

So did a huge amount of my cohorts commissioned in '91/'92.

8 posted on 04/08/2006 5:52:43 PM PDT by Cogadh na Sith (There's an open road from the cradle to the tomb.)
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To: I got the rope
How many suspect that this number is low because of the Clinton Presidency?

I well remember how Pres. Clinton bragged about 'reducing the size of government'. The reduction was overwhelmingly in numbers in the military.

9 posted on 04/08/2006 5:53:52 PM PDT by 6SJ7
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To: Racehorse

The so-called "Peace Dividend" and downsizing process started by Bush Sr. and finished by Clinton, complete with hiring and promotion freezes, not only left a "generation gap" within the armed forces but in the military laboratories as well. I'm afraid that we are now reaping a harvest that our national leaders began sowing fifteen years ago, with the total complicity of Congress.


10 posted on 04/08/2006 5:54:10 PM PDT by Virginia Ridgerunner ("Si vis pacem para bellum")
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To: I got the rope

Affirmative action hires didn't count on war.

We need to hire the kind of men that have always enjoyed the military throughout history.


11 posted on 04/08/2006 5:55:47 PM PDT by ansel12
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To: Bluedaddy

It seems like every institution is full of imcompetence in the middle ranks. American corporations aren't much better. The actual workers at the bottom know their stuff, and the top guys are brilliant, but there's a bit of a gap in the middle.


12 posted on 04/08/2006 5:56:28 PM PDT by proxy_user
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To: I got the rope
It has nothing to do with the Clintoon legacy. Most of the generation that makes up the CPT/MAJ force of the military, came in during the later stages of that mess. The big draw to get out is: big paying jobs and families that are tired of waving goodbye.
13 posted on 04/08/2006 5:57:58 PM PDT by SAMS (Nobody loves a soldier until the enemy is at the gate; Army Wife & Marine Mom)
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To: 6SJ7

Yep...I remember too. 95% of those reductions were from the military.

I had graduated college in '96. I was planning to re-up in the reserve and attend OCS. I didn't do it. I couldn't bring myself to do it when everyone I knew that was in was bailing out.


14 posted on 04/08/2006 5:58:17 PM PDT by I got the rope
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To: I got the rope
last year's 8.6 percent attrition rate for lieutenants and captains was slightly above average but lower than the loss of junior officers in 1999 and 2000.

More bailed out in the last 2 years under Clinton than during the stressful duty of war under Bush.

Exactly why Al Gore tried to stop Florida military ballots from being counted in 2000. That was - in fact - the very first legal action taken in the contested results by either side.

15 posted on 04/08/2006 5:58:18 PM PDT by SteveMcKing
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To: I got the rope; Cogadh na Sith
I was always amazed when posters on another forum would state that recruitment/re enlistment levels would plummet if Bush was re elected.

I admit, I answered those posters - who had never seen one day of service - with absolute scorn
16 posted on 04/08/2006 5:58:57 PM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: SAMS
Certainly it does. Those things that you spoke of are nothing different from any other time and place and cannot contribute to this anomaly
17 posted on 04/08/2006 6:01:40 PM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: Racehorse
This happens every time the economy picks up and the national unemployment rate makes a big downward turn (by historical standards)--like the current unemployment rate of 4.7%.

Hopefully, the Army can turn this around and retain our best officers without just waiting for the usual cure--a downturn in the civilian economy with the resulting increase in unemployment.

18 posted on 04/08/2006 6:01:44 PM PDT by stockstrader
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To: bill1952

"We're ruining an Army that took us 30 years to build," Republican maverick Sen. Chuck Hagel, R-Neb., told a group of reporters at a recent conference."

No Chuck.... Murtha and Clinton cut it in half back in 93'.


19 posted on 04/08/2006 6:02:59 PM PDT by Wristpin ("The Yankees announce plan to buy every player in Baseball....")
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To: Racehorse

Time to draft Kerry he was in Viet Nam you know.


20 posted on 04/08/2006 6:08:01 PM PDT by bikerman
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