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LIVE THREAD - 50TH CD SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS - 18 Vie for Vacant House Seat in Ca.
AP Yahoo ^ | 4/11/06 | Allison Hoffman - ap

Posted on 04/11/2006 12:16:46 PM PDT by NormsRevenge

SAN DIEGO - Eighteen candidates in a solidly GOP district on the Southern California coast competed in a special election Tuesday for the congressional seat once held by Randy "Duke" Cunningham, now in prison for bribery.

Brian Bilbray, a former congressman-turned-lobbyist who was the choice of the GOP establishment; Republican businessman Eric Roach, who spent $1.8 million of his own money; and Democrat Francine Busby were considered the front-runners.

Cunningham represented the House district from 1993 until he resigned in disgrace late last year. In March, the former Vietnam War fighter ace was sentenced to more than eight years in federal prison for taking $2.4 million in bribes from defense contractors.

Tuesday's race had a wide-open ballot, with 14 Republicans, two Democrats, one Libertarian and one independent. If no one got more than 50 percent of the vote, the top finisher from each party would compete in a runoff June 6.

The winner will serve out the remaining eight months of Cunningham's term, and will almost certainly try to hold on to the seat come November.

Republicans outnumber Democrats 3-to-2 in the wealthy district.

If no candidate gets more than 50 percent of the vote, the top finisher from each party competes in a June 6 contest, the same day as the primary for the midterm congressional elections.

An outright winner Tuesday or, more likely, the winner of the June contest takes a seat in Congress for the remaining eight months of Cunningham's term — and likely immediately begins campaigning to hold on to the seat come November.

With the GOP field crowded, Democrats hoped that Busby, who ran and lost to Cunningham in 2004, could score an upset, a prospect that her own campaign acknowledged was unlikely.

Voters faced an onslaught of negative campaign mailers and TV ads in the final hours before heading to the polls.

Bilbray, a surfer and one-time lifeguard, was attacked in a mailer from the California Republican Assembly, a grass-roots conservative group, that called Bilbray "a Democrat posing as a Republican."

The Bilbray campaign attacked Roach as a mystery man trying to buy an election. "His political campaign ads and mailers are everywhere. But until a few months ago, no one had ever heard of him," Bilbray's mailer said.

Former state Assemblyman Howard Kaloogian's campaign attempted to recover from an embarrassing misstep. Internet bloggers discovered that photos on his campaign Web site purportedly showing a tranquil Iraqi street scene had been taken in Istanbul, Turkey. The photos were removed.

With the GOP field busy attacking itself, national Republicans poured some $300,000 during the campaign's final week into TV ads criticizing Busby for accepting donations from lobbyists. A mailer from national Republicans claimed that the school board member and self-described soccer mom had voted to lay off teachers in 2003.

Busby retaliated by noting that Cunningham had given $2,000 of his campaign funds to national Republicans before he headed off to prison.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: 109th; 2006; 50th; bilbray; busby; dukecunningham; ericroach; kaloogian
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1 posted on 04/11/2006 12:16:49 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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FRom the SD U-T

50th Congressional District
District takes its first step to fill seat
Cunningham post is at stake today

http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/politics/50thdistrict/index.html

--On the Ballot--


Brian P. Bilbray (Rep)
Bill Boyer (Rep)
Francine Busby (Dem)
Richard Earnest (Rep)
Milton Gale (Rep)
William Griffith (NP)
Bill Hauf (Rep)
Delecia Holt (Rep)
Howard Kaloogian (Rep)
Paul King (Lib)
Bill Morrow (Rep)
Jeff Newsome (Rep)
Scott Orren (Rep)
Victor E. Ramirez (Rep)
Eric Roach (Rep)
Scott Turner (Rep)
Alan Uke (Rep)
Chris Young (Dem)


2 posted on 04/11/2006 12:18:29 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge
Bilbray, a surfer and one-time lifeguard, was attacked in a mailer from the California Republican Assembly, a grass-roots conservative group, that called Bilbray "a Democrat posing as a Republican."

The Bilbray campaign attacked Roach as a mystery man trying to buy an election. "His political campaign ads and mailers are everywhere. But until a few months ago, no one had ever heard of him," Bilbray's mailer said.

Why is citing someone's record, or wanting to know more about a candidate considered an "attack"?

3 posted on 04/11/2006 12:54:28 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: NormsRevenge
Here's the website for election results tonight:
 
http://www.sdvote.org/election/special.xml
 

County SealREGISTRAR OF VOTERS Header 

COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO - SPECIAL ELECTION
50TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Tuesday April 11, 2006

THESE RESULTS ARE UNOFFICIAL
Last updated on: 03-27-06 at: 08:36:27
 



US REP. 50TH DIST.

Precincts: 445
Counted: AV
Percentage: 00.0%

Vote for: 1
WILLIAM GRIFFITH       
0
0.00%
MILTON GALE       
0
0.00%
BILL BOYER       
0
0.00%
FRANCINE BUSBY       
0
0.00%
BRIAN P. BILBRAY       
0
0.00%
VICTOR E. RAMIREZ       
0
0.00%
ERIC ROACH       
0
0.00%
SCOTT ORREN       
0
0.00%
SCOTT TURNER       
0
0.00%
CHRIS YOUNG       
0
0.00%
JEFF NEWSOME       
0
0.00%
ALAN UKE       
0
0.00%
RICHARD EARNEST       
0
0.00%
HOWARD KALOOGIAN       
0
0.00%
PAUL KING       
0
0.00%
BILL MORROW       
0
0.00%
BILL HAUF       
0
0.00%
DELECIA HOLT       
0
0.00%

4 posted on 04/11/2006 1:02:07 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

Thanks!.. I was just pondering digging that kind of info up and posting it.


5 posted on 04/11/2006 1:06:18 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

This one is a literal free-for-all, but I don't think we have anything to worry about in the runoff.


6 posted on 04/11/2006 4:02:53 PM PDT by youthgonewild
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To: calcowgirl
Thanks. Local media expect a turn out around 40-45% with Busby on top with over 40%, and Bilbray in a statistical tie with Roach so it might be awhile before we know who Busby will face in June. Of course all bets are off with actual votes compared to polling.

I'll just be glad not to have the phone calls and junk mail.

It's too bad the conservative vote split. I'm still pleased with my vote cast for Sen. Morrow.

7 posted on 04/11/2006 6:57:13 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Fellow 50th Congressional Freepers: Don't fall for Bilbray!)
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To: youthgonewild

The annoying thing is we're back at it in June: doing a primary for the next term! And, if Busby (or someone else) doesn't win today outright, we'll also be voting for the seat to fill out Duke's term in June as well.


8 posted on 04/11/2006 6:58:11 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Fellow 50th Congressional Freepers: Don't fall for Bilbray!)
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To: newzjunkey

if this seat goes DEM, that is a real bad sign for the GOP in Nov


9 posted on 04/11/2006 7:01:17 PM PDT by georgia2006
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To: newzjunkey
I'll just be glad not to have the phone calls and junk mail.

And the annoying commercials. It's gonna be a long year in the 50th (run-off, primary, general, etc.)

It's too bad the conservative vote split.

I assume you mean the Republicans splitting the vote? With 14 Candidates (R), it's hard to criticize only the conservatives.

I'm still pleased with my vote cast for Sen. Morrow.

A good choice, IMO.

10 posted on 04/11/2006 7:06:09 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: georgia2006

Polls suggest Busby will have a strong showing today. I think it's bad news for the GOP and, honestly, it's their own fault!


11 posted on 04/11/2006 7:10:01 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Fellow 50th Congressional Freepers: Don't fall for Bilbray!)
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To: calcowgirl
I meant how conservatives split. Basically it was RINO Bilbray as the party's choice and then (most) everyone else running on the GOP side is more conservative than he is.

It could've been Busby vs. a known conservative but we split among so many alternatives it looks like Bilbray may well be the GOP standard bearer. Eric Roach claims to be conservative but what do we know? Ron Packard endorsed him but it's unclear to me the origin of that. Is it because both are Mormon?

I was surprised Roger Hedgecock endorsed Scott Turner, a candidate even further off the radar.

I won't miss the commercials either!

12 posted on 04/11/2006 7:17:48 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Fellow 50th Congressional Freepers: Don't fall for Bilbray!)
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To: calcowgirl

I tried earlier to get this info on their website but couldn't...didn't see the election for today listed. Thanks for any help...I'm nervous. OC also has an election today and it's scary after all of the immigration sucking the air...except for the phone calls!


13 posted on 04/11/2006 7:17:58 PM PDT by TatieBug
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To: calcowgirl

Sorry for the trouble...just went back and checked again and now the listing is up for today...just have to wait a few more hours now. Thanks anyway.


14 posted on 04/11/2006 7:21:28 PM PDT by TatieBug
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To: newzjunkey

>>I meant how conservatives split. Basically it was RINO Bilbray as the party's choice and then (most) everyone else running on the GOP side is more conservative than he is.

Oh, Ok. Since some here were characterizing Bilbray as a conservative, I figured you meant all Republicans. I got you now.

>>Eric Roach claims to be conservative but what do we know? Ron Packard endorsed him but it's unclear to me the origin of that. Is it because both are Mormon?

I don't like Roach. I received one of Packard's auto-phone calls for Roach. I don't remember what he said about why he was backing him.

Maybe the field will lighten some and folks will come together for the primary in June.


15 posted on 04/11/2006 7:42:11 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: newzjunkey
I was surprised Roger Hedgecock endorsed Scott Turner, a candidate even further off the radar.

So am I! I haven't listened to most of Roger's candidate interviews, but Scott Turner's issues page doesn't mention making tax cuts permanent, and it doesn't mention Constitutional issues like the 2nd Amendment.


conservatives split. Basically it was RINO Bilbray as the party's choice and then (most) everyone else running on the GOP side is more conservative than he is.

Hopefully Bilbray won't get the nomination. Roger asked the candidates whether they would support the GOP nominee, even if it were Bilbray. Does that mean the GOP candidates will endorse the same person for the Primary as for the Runoff in the June election?

16 posted on 04/11/2006 7:54:29 PM PDT by heleny
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To: calcowgirl; All

I just asked to have retitle of thread as the LIVE THREAD for election results.


17 posted on 04/11/2006 7:56:31 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: All

Should be seeing initial totes coming up shortly at

http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/politics/results/index.html


Please post other vote tote links / web sites if you have 'em.

Thanks!


18 posted on 04/11/2006 7:59:06 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

Good job! Thanks.


19 posted on 04/11/2006 8:02:55 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

It's all goose eggs for now.. Standing by. :)


20 posted on 04/11/2006 8:03:22 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: calcowgirl

And Thank You for this as well as shown in post#4..

http://www.sdvote.org/election/special.xml


21 posted on 04/11/2006 8:04:39 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

Goose eggs are gone... replaced by XML error messages. :-(

(at both the county site and SDUT)


22 posted on 04/11/2006 8:09:02 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

They're most likely updating. :)


23 posted on 04/11/2006 8:09:41 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: calcowgirl

They were claiming earlier,,

No glitches reported in district voting
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/politics/50thdistrict/20060411-1325-bn11elect.html


24 posted on 04/11/2006 8:11:30 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge; doodlelady; SoCalPol; Torie; Impeach98; Fred; NordP

I think I'll ping a few interested parties.... while we wait... LOL.

LIve thread--looking for life!


25 posted on 04/11/2006 8:13:51 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

Here we go

== ABSENTEE RESULTS ONLY ==


SIGNONSANDIEGO


Unofficial results. Updated at 20:00:20 on 04-11-06.

US REP. 50TH DIST.

4 of 445 precincts – 00.9 percent
FRANCINE BUSBY 27332 42.23%
BRIAN P. BILBRAY 9159 14.15%
ERIC ROACH 9011 13.92%
HOWARD KALOOGIAN 4824 7.45%
BILL MORROW 4700 7.26%
ALAN UKE 2709 4.19%
RICHARD EARNEST 1729 2.67%
BILL HAUF 1116 1.72%
CHRIS YOUNG 1061 1.64%
WILLIAM GRIFFITH 665 1.03%
SCOTT TURNER 555 0.86%
VICTOR E. RAMIREZ 519 0.80%
PAUL KING 470 0.73%
JEFF NEWSOME 391 0.60%
SCOTT ORREN 182 0.28%
DELECIA HOLT 166 0.26%
BILL BOYER 95 0.15%
MILTON GALE 31 0.05%


26 posted on 04/11/2006 8:14:26 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: calcowgirl
FRANCINE BUSBY 	27332	42.23% 
 BRIAN P. BILBRAY 	9159	14.15% 
 ERIC ROACH 	9011	13.92% 
 HOWARD KALOOGIAN 	4824	7.45% 
 BILL MORROW 	4700	7.26% 
 ALAN UKE 	2709	4.19% 
 RICHARD EARNEST 	1729	2.67% 
 BILL HAUF 	1116	1.72% 
 CHRIS YOUNG 	1061	1.64% 
 WILLIAM GRIFFITH 	665	1.03% 
 SCOTT TURNER 	555	0.86% 
 VICTOR E. RAMIREZ 	519	0.80% 
 PAUL KING 	470	0.73% 
 JEFF NEWSOME 	391	0.60% 
 SCOTT ORREN 	182	0.28% 
 DELECIA HOLT 	166	0.26% 
 BILL BOYER 	95	0.15% 
 MILTON GALE 	31	0.05% 

27 posted on 04/11/2006 8:14:28 PM PDT by Torie
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To: NormsRevenge

I've read any many places that Howard Kaloogian was one of the three republican front-runners and also the most pro-secure borders. I hope he wins and goes on to the likely run-off.


28 posted on 04/11/2006 8:18:58 PM PDT by NapkinUser (Secure our borders, no amnesty.)
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To: Torie

Busby will probably go up to the high 40's, if absentees are more GOP weighted, and they usually are, but Busby put a lot of effort into absentees, so maybe no, In any event, Busby will very probably fall short of 50%. I have no idea of Bilbray or Roach will get the GOP nomination. Normally Bilbray's constituency would do better with absentees, but Raoch had more money, and Bilbray had more independents in his mix, and they don't vote as much absentee. If this holds, a huge amount of money will be spent in the general. The GOP erosion appears alive and well.


29 posted on 04/11/2006 8:19:06 PM PDT by Torie
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To: calcowgirl
Bilbray, a surfer and one-time lifeguard, was attacked in a mailer from the California Republican Assembly, a grass-roots conservative group

The largest conservative political organization in California.

30 posted on 04/11/2006 8:20:57 PM PDT by Mojave
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To: Torie

There are approximately 360,000 registered voters. We have a way to go.


31 posted on 04/11/2006 8:22:24 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

Yes, but I have watched these puppies for a long time. In any event, no more numbers for two hours.


32 posted on 04/11/2006 8:23:25 PM PDT by Torie
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To: calcowgirl

we may have 360,000 more live threads posted before this one is done, 2 others posted so far. ;-)


33 posted on 04/11/2006 8:23:43 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: Mojave

They cited his voting record. Since it was so ugly, it is referred to as an "attack".


34 posted on 04/11/2006 8:23:45 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: Torie

2 hours? If we're lucky. ;-)


35 posted on 04/11/2006 8:24:26 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: Torie

Two hours? Thanks for that tidbit. I'll check in later!


36 posted on 04/11/2006 8:24:31 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

I might add, that probably the absentees are at least half the votes, maybe 60%, if the 48th special was any leading indicator. The K man is out.


37 posted on 04/11/2006 8:24:44 PM PDT by Torie
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To: NormsRevenge

In the 48th, they had a computer glitch, that made it 3.5 hours. :(


38 posted on 04/11/2006 8:25:25 PM PDT by Torie
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To: NormsRevenge

>>we may have 360,000 more live threads posted before this one is done, 2 others posted so far. ;-)

ROFL! I hadn't looked. Oh well!


39 posted on 04/11/2006 8:25:27 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: Torie

Special K should have ran for Senator.. Oh well.


40 posted on 04/11/2006 8:27:04 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

42% for Busby? She only got 37% in 2004, right?


41 posted on 04/11/2006 8:27:37 PM PDT by Grebrook
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To: NormsRevenge
Way to go cal 50th..you have depressed a good man..lol..


42 posted on 04/11/2006 8:28:23 PM PDT by BerniesFriend
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To: Torie

>>The K man is out.

It certainly looks that way, along with Morrow.
I liked those two and a couple lesser knowns.


43 posted on 04/11/2006 8:28:48 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: Grebrook

Yeah, but this is low turnout. It's a special. Her people will come out because she has the Kossacks behind her.

She still won't get 50 percent.


44 posted on 04/11/2006 8:28:55 PM PDT by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might.)
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To: NormsRevenge

One other thought. Roach is Mormon, and they are very organized, and most probably voted absentee, and mostly for Roach. I am going to go out on a limb with that thought, and "predict," cautiously, that Bilbray will be the man.


45 posted on 04/11/2006 8:30:38 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Grebrook

36.5

Francine P. Busby Democratic 105,590 36.5
* Randy "Duke" Cunningham Republican 169,025 58.5
Diane Templin American Independent 4,723 1.6
Gary M. Waayers Green 6,504 2.2
Brandon C. Osborne Libertarian 3,486 1.2

* incumbent


46 posted on 04/11/2006 8:30:55 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge; calcowgirl
US REP. 50TH DIST.

4 of 445 precincts – 00.9 percent
FRANCINE BUSBY 27332 42.23%
BRIAN P. BILBRAY 9159 14.15%
ERIC ROACH 9011 13.92%
HOWARD KALOOGIAN 4824 7.45%

Hopefully tommorrow's headline won't be:

Bilbray Crushes Roach


47 posted on 04/11/2006 8:31:50 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: The Old Hoosier

The runoff will be june 6 right? That scares me alittle given that the Dems Primany is tight and might drive their vote out.


48 posted on 04/11/2006 8:32:15 PM PDT by Paul8148
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To: Torie

What kind of weather did we have today in San Diego? Clear I think..

I may have to agree with your "prediction".


49 posted on 04/11/2006 8:33:21 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

It is overcast but not raining in South Orange County.


50 posted on 04/11/2006 8:34:23 PM PDT by Torie
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