Posted on 05/31/2006 7:33:09 PM PDT by blam
Ill wind blows over storm-hit lands
The US hurricane season starts today with predictions of severe turbulence ahead
Suzanne Goldenberg in Washington
Thursday June 1, 2006
The Guardian (UK)
Barstools are all that remain from a restaurant in Long Beach, Mississippi, after hurricane Katrina. Photograph: Mario Tama/Getty
Alberto, Beryl, Chris and Debby. Somewhere over the Atlantic, a combination of warm sea surface temperatures and wind shear is brewing up a string of tropical storms that threaten to unleash a fresh season of devastation on coastal America.
With New Orleans still surrounded by the wreckage of Katrina, a new hurricane season gets under way today - and with it, the realisation that the coming six months could well bring a repetition of the panic and confusion that revealed a vulnerability many Americans had previously been unaware of.
Article continues
Yesterday, a new forecast from the respected team of hurricane experts at Colorado State University predicted 17 named storms in 2006, including nine hurricanes. Five of those will be category three storms, with winds of more than 110 miles per hour. "We believe 2006 will be a very active season in the Atlantic basin," the report said.
Although the predictions do not indicate 2006 will be as severe as last year - and it is too early to know where an individual storm will come to ground - there was an 82% chance that at least one major storm would reach land in the US. There was a 69% chance that storm would strike the east coast, including Florida, and a 38% probability of a hurricane hitting the Gulf coast.
"If the atmosphere and the ocean behave as they have in the past, we should have a very active season, but that doesn't necessarily translate into storms that produce as...
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
LOL!!!!!!!!!
I intend to try and help keep up a sense of humor if TSHTF.........it helps relieve tension, regardless of what some claim are disrespectful comments.
Exactly. I hear ya!
I gave up smoking totally, but decided I really enjoyed smoking, so now I treat myself to 3 or fewer cigs a day.
Most days I smoke just one and I am happy. :)
Did your ankle fully heal? I seem to recall that you needed PT for it. I remember the very night you fell.
Not looking forward to this year.
Hey NN,
Thanks for the ping...let's hope we don't start as early as last year, or run as late as last year.
It sure has been "hot" this last week. My guys (hubby and son) went diving last weekend and said the Gulf was warming up nicely (LOL, I don't think that's good news.)
Thanks for the ping, on this the official opening day of Her-icane Season!
Thanks for the ping, NN.
Got my tuna fish, pop tarts, bottled water, gas and batteries! My husband cranked the generator last week!
Ready!
Present!
Good to hear from you again.
Ummm...our reliable local weather guy here referred to your rainmaker as a tropical wave.
...and all major storms avoid landfall. Amen.
...and so it begins
....that is sooooooooo gross.
Our weather guys said it had some tropical characteristics, but since it is a mid-level low, they didn't didn't want to call it the "T" word.
And my weather guy can beat up your weather guy!
May God keep us all safe this Hurricane season.
Thanks for the ping. That time again? Yawnnnnn. Ok, ....I'm awake:')
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT THU JUN 01 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30TH. THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2006 IS AS FOLLOWS: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ------------------------------------------------------------- ALBERTO AL BAIR- TOE LESLIE BERYL BER- IL MICHAEL CHRIS NADEEN NAY DEEN- DEBBY OSCAR ERNESTO ER NES- TOE PATTY FLORENCE RAFAEL RA FA EL- GORDON SANDY HELENE HE LEEN- TONY ISAAC EYE- ZAK VALERIE JOYCE WILLIAM KIRK THE GREEK ALPHABET...ALPHA...BETA...GAMMA...ETC...IS USED SHOULD THE STANDARD LIST OF NAMES BE EXHAUSTED...AS IT WAS LAST YEAR. IN 2005...A RECORD 28 STORMS FORMED...INCLUDING AN UNNAMED OCTOBER SUBTROPICAL STORM THAT WAS ADDED TO THE OFFICIAL LIST IN APRIL. THE LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES... AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 11...6...AND 2...RESPECTIVELY. THE NOAA SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR 2006 CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS OF ACTIVITY. THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 530 AM...1130 AM...530 PM AND 1030 PM EASTERN TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION. A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WONT41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAAT. A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION... AND THE STRIKE PROBABILITIES...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS. AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADERS WTNT61 KNHC THROUGH WTNT65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUAT1 THROUGH MIATCUAT5. FORECASTER BEVEN
We went to a church picnic in April, and it was very comfortable in the Gulf -- warm. It should be interesting....
Hiya, NautiNurse! Have your essential supplies ready -- like chocolate?
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