I doubt that number will change much under Chinese/Arab occupation. The big difference is that some of it will be exported because somehow it will all be America's fault.
Just another of my stupid predictions. The reason no one has givin a ter a nuke is because they know that once the flag goes up (a nuc det in anger), we will tac nuc folks up the yin yang, here there anywhere we find em, so will Russia for that matter, It's a kind of a new MAD.