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Israel Needs A Preemptive Nuclear Strike Against Iran
The Israel News Agency ^ | June 24, 2006 | Jonathan Ariel

Posted on 06/24/2006 1:32:23 PM PDT by IsraelBeach

Israel Needs A Preemptive Nuclear Strike Against Iran

By Jonathan Ariel
Israel News Agency

Jerusalem ----- June 24...... One of the best ways to ensure the world doesn’t get wobbly over Iran, is to make it understand that although Israel prefers to regard the rogue Islamic regime as an international problem, we will, if necessary, do whatever it takes to ensure our survival, including a preemptive nuclear strike.

In 1936, when Hitler marched into the Rhineland the allies appeased him, even though they could have been in Berlin in two weeks. In 1938 they once again let him off the hook, even though the allies could have been in Berlin within two months. Shortly after the appeasement of Munich, Russia signed a non-aggression treaty with Hitler, setting the stage for what it hoped would be his defeat of the West, which would pave the way for Russian domination of Eurasia, from Lisbon to Vladivostok.

Now we have Iran, a country led by Ahmadinejad, an equally deranged and evil maniac. He is driven by an ideology combining elements of Nazism and Mahdism, with a tad of Maoism as well, a lethal cocktail of three of the most evil ideologies of human political history.

By most current intelligence estimates, by 2008, exactly 70 years after Chamberlain announced on his return from Munich he had achieved “peace in our time”, the Iranian Islamo-Nazi regime will have succeeded in developing an atomic bomb. Although it seems that the international community has belatedly begun to awaken to the danger, it is still far from certain that this will actually lead to concrete and concerted steps to ensure this doesn’t happen.

Moreover, even if the West does get its act together, three is no guarantee that Russia will not revert to course, enacting a repeat performance of the Molotov-Ribbentrob pact. Putin seriously mulling double crossing the West.

This week new and highly disturbing evidence came to light that this is exactly what Russia is doing. According to a western intelligence report published earlier this week, satellite images showed large volumes of heavy Russian weaponry heading towards Iran. The weapons belonged to Russian military units evacuating Georgia, as part of the Russian-Georgian agreement signed in March, which calls for all Russian troops to be withdrawn from Georgian soil.

The Russians were evacuating their two big Soviet-era military bases in Georgia on the shores of the Black Sea – the 12th base in Batumi and the 62nd at Akhalkalaki to the north, 19 miles from the Turkish border. The mages revealed the retreating Russian units moving along not one but two routes. The first showed small groups of Russian officers and soldiers heading out of Georgia carrying only their personal kits, the second was jammed with convoys of trucks loaded with weapons and logistical systems, radar and ammo.

Freight trains were also pressed into service. This route wound out of Georgia and headed into Armenia where the vehicles halted at the Russian base near Gyumri. A Russian military spokesman explained this relocation by stating that “the property of the 62nd (Akhalkalaki), Georgia, would be reassigned to replenish Russia’s 102nd base in Gyumri, Armenia.” He added: “The transfer of this property to any other party is not envisioned.”

However Armenia was not the “the property’s” last stop. The close watch on the Russian supplies convoys continued and, lo and behold, a third route surfaced, this one heading out of the 102nd base in Armenia and into Iran.

Western military sources have traced the route these weapons took. From Gyumri, the trucks and trains rolled on to the Armenian capital of Yerevan. There, they were offloaded onto Armenian and Iranian trucks and trains, which turned south to the Iranian border. The freight crossed the border and halted at the Iranian town of Sadarak. Its next stop was the Iranian-Azeri town of Naxcivan and then on to Tabriz. Subsequent shipments by truck and rail followed the same route, They included APCs, heavy artillery, Grad rockets, BM-21mm missiles and anti-aircraft systems.

So far this year, Iran has purchased over $7 billion for arms from Russia, including anti-air, nuclear-capable Tor-M1 cruise missiles, considered by experts the most advanced of its kind in the world. Iran has purchased these missiles to secure the Bushehr atomic reactor and other nuclear sites. These sources say that Teheran is using the Georgian weapons deal as bait, to get Moscow to part with weapons and technologies it has so far refrained from passing over to the ayatollahs, specifically technology transfers enabling Iran to begin domestic production of the sophisticated Russian X-5518 nuclear cruise missiles, known also as Kh-55 or AS-15s.

Tehran already has a dozen of these missiles, which have a 3,000km range and are capable of carrying a 200-kiloton nuclear warhead. They were purchased on the black market of Ukraine in 2005. Teheran has reportedly promised to significantly increase its purchase of conventional weapons from Russia, if it agrees to the missile technology transfer.

Despite the uncertainty as to whether Russia (and possibly China as well) would cooperate with the West regarding Iran, the conventional wisdom has remained unchanged, namely that Iran is an international problem, being dealt with accordingly by the international community, and that Israel should therefore take a back seat.

Nothing could be further from the truth. The world needs to understand very clearly that Israel cannot and will not allow a Holocaust –denying regime that openly calls for its destruction to wield a nuclear bomb. Israel needs to make it very clear that the consequence of it having to face a nuclear Iran by itself will be a preemptive strike against Iran.

The more the international community gets the message that the consequences of appeasement will be worse than those of action, the better the chances of action. The growing evidence of Russian perfidy makes it even more important that there be no room for misunderstandings in this regard. The best way to get that message across is to make it very clear that if Israel is faced between an Iran nuclear bomb, or having to launch a preemptive nuclear strike to prevent that eventuality, it will opt for the latter.

The world must be told loud and clear by Israel that the only way to avoid the first nuclear strike by a nation since Nagasaki is to take whatever actions are required to ensure Iran doesn’t get the bomb, and to prevent an Iranian conventional weapons build up to the point where a preemptive nuclear strike becomes the only option for dealing with the rogue ayatollah regime.

Jonathan Ariel, was an advisor to the South African government and is a former editor-in-chief of the Israel on-line Maariv International. He has filled numerous positions with well known Israel and international media organizations such as Maariv, Makor Rishon, Jerusalem Post, Ha'aretz, The International Herald Tribune, Israel Radio, SABC and the Independent Foreign Service. These include Managing-Editor of Makor Rishon and Editor-in-Chief of Maariv International. He has been interviewed and quoted by leading media organizations such as the LA Times, The Economist, The Guardian, The New York Sun, Times of India, The Australian, Sunday Times and the BBC. His articles have been translated into over a dozen major languages, including German, Danish, Dutch, Italian, Serbo-Croatian, Spanish, French, Arabic, Japanese, Korean and Chinese. He has degrees in Political Science and Journalism. He speaks English and Hebrew at mother tongue level, French, Dutch (Afrikaans) fluently.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: defense; iran; islam; israel; mondalewouldapprove; neveragain; nuclear; terror; terrorism
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1 posted on 06/24/2006 1:32:26 PM PDT by IsraelBeach
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To: IsraelBeach
About time. I have suggesting this for weeks.
2 posted on 06/24/2006 1:35:57 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: garbageseeker

A preemptive nuclear strike on Iran?


3 posted on 06/24/2006 1:36:58 PM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: IsraelBeach

This is not rational thought.


4 posted on 06/24/2006 1:37:21 PM PDT by Canard
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To: Mr.Smorch

Yes.


5 posted on 06/24/2006 1:37:57 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: IsraelBeach
"This week new and highly disturbing evidence came to light that this is exactly what Russia is doing. According to a western intelligence report published earlier this week, satellite images showed large volumes of heavy Russian weaponry heading towards Iran. The weapons belonged to Russian military units evacuating Georgia, as part of the Russian-Georgian agreement signed in March, which calls for all Russian troops to be withdrawn from Georgian soil.

President Bush, please take a new peek into Putin soul...you might have missed something.

6 posted on 06/24/2006 1:41:24 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: Canard
This is not rational thought.

As much as I dislike Iran and what they are doing, you are exactly right.
7 posted on 06/24/2006 1:42:19 PM PDT by mazack
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To: IsraelBeach
This is the first I have heard about the weapons moving into Iran from the Caucasus area. Very interesting.


8 posted on 06/24/2006 1:42:40 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (http://dailyterroristroundup.blogspot.com/)
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To: Canard
Is there another way to stop the irrational thoughts of Iran
given that their insane irrational government of terrorists
is playing 'mokusatsu' and 'haragei' with every reasonable proposal?
9 posted on 06/24/2006 1:42:47 PM PDT by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: IsraelBeach
I have always supported a preemptive nuclear strike on their command and control facilities and nuclear facilities to permanently put them out of business using Jericho-2 missiles.
10 posted on 06/24/2006 1:43:23 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: garbageseeker

Why stop there, why not hit China, North Korea, and Venezuela while your at it?

Why would anyone in their right mind want to nuke Iran, when Iran is only half Iranian, and of the Iranians, 60 to 70% of them hate the Ayatollahs and Mullahs.


11 posted on 06/24/2006 1:44:25 PM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: Canard

"This is not rational thought."

Nor is Israel ignoring a nuke armed Iran that has stated their goal is the destruction of their country.

Crazy world.


12 posted on 06/24/2006 1:44:27 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: IsraelBeach
It go BOOM! >>>>veg<<<<<<<
13 posted on 06/24/2006 1:44:42 PM PDT by Stepan12
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To: IsraelBeach
A pre-emptive nuclear strike on Iran by Israel or the United States would be an enourmous mistake, and would likely cause a global war the likes of which we have never seen. China and Russia would immediately align with Iran, as would the rest of the Middle East. Our energy supply would be immediately cut off (at least 70% of it), and our domestic economy would probably go into a depression. Even if our allies stepped up and fought beside us, the war would either be long and bloody or short and nuclear.

If Israel is attacked, we should come to its defense. But they should not start throwing nukes around unless they are anxious for the apocalypse.
14 posted on 06/24/2006 1:44:42 PM PDT by mysterio
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To: Canard
This is not rational thought.

It is not only rational, but it may be necessary. Conventional munitions would require too many strikes to assure success, when what Israel needs is a check mate.

15 posted on 06/24/2006 1:47:08 PM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., how many girls did you drown today?" (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help m)
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To: No Blue States

I would suggest that 'ignoring the situation' and 'anihalating part of their country with a nuclear strike' are by no mean the only two options here.


16 posted on 06/24/2006 1:48:01 PM PDT by Canard
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To: Mr.Smorch

Israel has a right to defend herself including the use of tactical nuclear weapons. She also has the right to preempt using tactical nuclear weapons. Israel would doing the world a favor by permanently putting Iran out the nuclear business.


17 posted on 06/24/2006 1:48:29 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: IsraelBeach

In the great immortal words of Ronald Maximus Reagan, "Let the bombing begin in 5 minutes."


18 posted on 06/24/2006 1:50:12 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: IsraelBeach

If your enemies are coming for you in the morning, you'd best go and get them tonight.

Iran has declared itself at war with Israel many times, and not one but several Iranian leaders have said that they want a nuclear war, because they can survive it whereas Israel can not.

To let these people get their hands on a nuke is the worst mistake Israel could make.


19 posted on 06/24/2006 1:50:34 PM PDT by marron
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To: Canard

What other realistic options do you see?

:)


20 posted on 06/24/2006 1:51:18 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: mysterio

Russia and china are already alligned with iran. Why do you think iran has been running off at the mouth? Countries have been choosing sides for the next war for awhile now.


21 posted on 06/24/2006 1:51:24 PM PDT by monkeywrench (Deut. 27:17 Cursed be he that removeth his neighbor's landmark)
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To: Mr.Smorch
Why stop there, why not hit China, North Korea, and Venezuela while your at it?

They are not willing to blackmail the world with nuclear weapons. Iran will use its nuclear weapons to blackmail the oil producing states with its technology.
22 posted on 06/24/2006 1:52:23 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: monkeywrench

BTTT

"Russia and china are already alligned with iran."


23 posted on 06/24/2006 1:52:38 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: IsraelBeach

The irony is, Iran is filled with people who love America, hate their rulers, and are more receptive to the gospel than they have been for a millenium. Last I heard, Israel was not terribly friendly to the gospel.


24 posted on 06/24/2006 1:52:56 PM PDT by TomSmedley (Calvinist, optimist, home schooling dad, exuberant husband, technical writer)
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To: mysterio
A pre-emptive nuclear strike on Iran by Israel or the United States would be an enourmous mistake....

There is NOTHING pre-emptive. Iran has been attacking American
and Israel for decades. Most IEDs killing Americans TODAY
are from Iran. This would be retaliatory, not pre-emptive.

25 posted on 06/24/2006 1:54:03 PM PDT by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: garbageseeker
Correct, China is not nuts and NK and Ven are really harmless neutered little runts that only want attention.
26 posted on 06/24/2006 1:54:33 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: garbageseeker

"Why stop there, why not hit China, North Korea, and Venezuela while your at it?"

"They are not willing to blackmail the world with nuclear weapons. Iran will use its nuclear weapons to blackmail the oil producing states with its technology."

You telling me the mangy little "dear leader" isn't engaging in nuclear blackmail?


27 posted on 06/24/2006 1:55:14 PM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: No Blue States

There are lots of other options. And, while they like their fiery rhetoric, the regime in Tehran has done little to suggest that they are not rational.

Apart from the ethical and strategic objections to the course of action suggested, above all I feel it would be counter-productive. Even if it didn't provoke further nuclear exchanges on a state level, I'm sure that someone would find a way of delivering retaliation in kind to Israel.


28 posted on 06/24/2006 1:55:24 PM PDT by Canard
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To: TomSmedley
Last I heard, Israel was not terribly friendly to the gospel

What are you smoking because it must be powerful stuff. Israel has been our number one ally in the Middle East and they have been extremely friendly to Christian groups who visit Israel.
29 posted on 06/24/2006 1:55:37 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: IsraelBeach

Someone said, "a nation doesn't have friends; it has allies."

Israel should not depend on "friends" to do for it what needs to be done.

They call it "survival instinct" for a reason.


30 posted on 06/24/2006 1:56:17 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It. Supporting our Troops Means Praying for them to Win!)
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To: Mr.Smorch
You telling me the mangy little "dear leader" isn't engaging in nuclear blackmail?

Kim Jung-Il knows if he tries anything that the United States will carpet bomb his little nation. He is a street bully.
31 posted on 06/24/2006 1:57:25 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: No Blue States
What other realistic options do you see?

A nuclear "accident" at the Iranian facilities would be a good start, but hard to do while maintaining plausible deniability.

32 posted on 06/24/2006 1:58:21 PM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., how many girls did you drown today?" (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help m)
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To: Canard

I have no ethical objections for the use of tactical nuclear weapons especially with a nation(Iran) threatening to use nuclear weapons to make war upon her neighbors.


33 posted on 06/24/2006 2:02:45 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: garbageseeker

Israel certainly has a right to defend herself, and I myself, am ready to go stand guard on the Golan Heights to defend this island of courage in a sea of fanaticism. However, I am opposed to a preemtive nuclear attack on Iran that would turn Iran into a radioactive wasteland, and you should be too.



34 posted on 06/24/2006 2:03:44 PM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: mysterio
Your "fear" of creating a larger conflict is not based on fact. Note the word "fear" - it is the military power which is feared the most which dominates the battlefield. The use of small, tactical nuclear weapons would be used against military targets - we are not talking about targeting civilians. And the strike would be executed when the winds are blowing towards Syria. This is being "rational." Surviving is a rational and basic instinct.
35 posted on 06/24/2006 2:04:27 PM PDT by IsraelBeach
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To: Canard
This is not rational thought

Considerably more rational than allowing an enemy committed to your annihilation to obtain the means to do it.

36 posted on 06/24/2006 2:05:58 PM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: Mr.Smorch
No I don't. Nuclear weapons to me is a tool. It should be used in certain extreme cases. Iran should be that certain case because they are threatening it to use it on their neighbors.
37 posted on 06/24/2006 2:06:21 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: No Blue States
'The Ezekiel Factor'
38 posted on 06/24/2006 2:06:44 PM PDT by johnny7 (“And what's Fonzie like? Come on Yolanda... what's Fonzie like?!”)
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To: TomSmedley

An Attack on Iran would be a major mistake. Too many Iranians have good and positive feelings about relations with the USA. Two better targets would be North Korea and/or Syria. The total wipe-out of these two rogue countries would send a message to Russia, China, Iran, etc., that if you fool with the bull, you get the horn. Not one person in the world really cares about North Korea and Syria. North Korea is an obvious target. Syria has hidden Saddam's WMD and has caused many American deaths as well as Iraqi's.


39 posted on 06/24/2006 2:08:13 PM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
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To: IsraelBeach

For a less rabid analysis, see:

Nuclear Proliferation and the Future of Conflict
by Martin Van Creveld

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0029331560/qid=1151183051/sr=1-14/ref=sr_1_14/002-4753117-6221614?s=books&v=glance&n=283155

From Publishers Weekly

Though the possibility of nuclear confrontation between superpowers has greatly diminished since the end of the Cold War, the possession of nuclear weapons by states whose conflicts are unresolved could turn out to be equally threatening, notes Van Creveld ( The Transformation of War ). He here considers the likelihood of conflict between North and South Korea, China and Taiwan, China and India, India and Pakistan, Israel and the Arab states, as well as the nuclear status of other countries currently developing the scientific, technological and industrial infrastructure that would enable them to build weapons of mass destruction. Van Creveld begins this academic study by describing the basic characteristics of large-scale warfare as it evolved before the introduction of nuclear weapons and the effect of the latter on both the countries that possess them and on those countries threatened by them. Finally, he assesses the impact of nuclear proliferation on the future of war itself, including the configuration of the armies that would be prepared to wage it. For specialists.


From Kirkus Reviews

A somewhat reassuring audit of the residual threat posed by nuclear weapons, from a military analyst whose previous predictions have proved chillingly prescient. With defense budgets in both the US and the erstwhile USSR in full retreat, van Creveld (History/Hebrew University, Jersusalem; The Transformation of War, 1991, etc.) focuses on the state of the atomic-arms art in a clutch of less-developed countries--China, India, Iraq, Israel, Pakistan, etc. Among other matters, his informed survey considers the impact of strategic circumstances on national nuclear policies, and provides estimates of each country's atomic inventories. For various reasons, van Creveld concludes that the use of A-bombs or their tactical equivalents by Third World nations is effectively foreclosed. In the case of Pakistan, for instance, the author contends that the development of a nuclear arsenal has made its rulers ``simultaneously more confident of themselves and less adventurous.'' Which is not to say that van Creveld believes the West to be home free. Indeed, he reiterates previous warnings as to the faltering capacity of even modern industrial powers to monopolize violence, let alone combat or contain terrorism, grass-roots insurgencies, and allied belligerencies. For the time being, however, van Creveld doesn't see any danger of nuclear holocaust at the hands of the less- developed nations. A perceptive study that affords a measure of cold comfort on the score of deterrence.


40 posted on 06/24/2006 2:09:07 PM PDT by Blue_Ridge_Mtn_Geek
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To: IsraelBeach
Help us out here if you can.

I seem to recall an old Moshe Dayan or Golda Meier quote that went; "We are not willing to all die to prove our critics wrong."..or something like that.

41 posted on 06/24/2006 2:10:01 PM PDT by labette
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To: Diogenesis
There is NOTHING pre-emptive. Iran has been attacking American and Israel for decades. Most IEDs killing Americans TODAY are from Iran. This would be retaliatory, not pre-emptive.

Perhaps you would perceive it that way, but the rest of the world would not. And our allies might be hesitant to enter a war on our side in that situation. Iran must attack first. Iran is probably hoping for a pre-emptive strike against it. It is the only way they can achieve their goals.
42 posted on 06/24/2006 2:10:08 PM PDT by mysterio
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
Too many Iranians have good and positive feelings about relations with the USA

If that statement is true, they are not electing too many leaders who are friendly to both the United States and Israel in their home country. They are electing leaders that are hostile to the United States and Israel.The rhetoric is out right hostile to the West.
43 posted on 06/24/2006 2:11:31 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: JimRed

Well if they decide to pursue that agenda, they can kiss their tiny little country goodbye. (they are not exactly surrounded by friends)


44 posted on 06/24/2006 2:11:57 PM PDT by Windsong (Jesus Saves, but Buddha makes incremental backups)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
" North Korea is an obvious target. Syria has hidden Saddam's WMD and has caused many American deaths as well as Iraqi's.."

Neither have caused the deaths the cult in iran have.

45 posted on 06/24/2006 2:12:34 PM PDT by monkeywrench (Deut. 27:17 Cursed be he that removeth his neighbor's landmark)
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To: IsraelBeach
Your "fear" of creating a larger conflict is not based on fact. Note the word "fear" - it is the military power which is feared the most which dominates the battlefield. The use of small, tactical nuclear weapons would be used against military targets - we are not talking about targeting civilians. And the strike would be executed when the winds are blowing towards Syria. This is being "rational." Surviving is a rational and basic instinct.

Your plan would not work. Exactly what do you think would happen after "tactical" strikes on Iranian targets? Please include how you think other countries would react, including our allies. And outline what you believe would happen internally in Iran, where we currently enjoy popular support.
46 posted on 06/24/2006 2:15:22 PM PDT by mysterio
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
Two better targets would be North Korea and/or Syria.

North Korea knows if they twitch, their nation will be carpet bombed into the Stone age. Syria has been warming up to Iran lately. Possibly because Iran is developing nuclear weapons. I guess the IDF will have two targets to attack: Syria and Iran.
47 posted on 06/24/2006 2:15:49 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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To: mysterio
Iran has attacked. It helped bring on the 911 Atrocities.

Who cares what the rest of the world perceives.
They will either see the truth ... or die by Islamic Nazi terrorists.

48 posted on 06/24/2006 2:17:48 PM PDT by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: IsraelBeach

"And the strike would be executed when the winds are blowing towards Syria."

Ohh, I'm sure hundreds of thousands of coalition troops based between Iran and Syria will be pleased to hear this...


49 posted on 06/24/2006 2:19:02 PM PDT by Canard
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To: mysterio
Please include how you think other countries would react, including our allies.

Russia might raise a stink but will do nothing because it does not have the capability to react. China might raise a stink but do nothing because they are in love with the American dollar.
50 posted on 06/24/2006 2:19:23 PM PDT by garbageseeker (Gentleman, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room - Dr. Strangelove)
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