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Oil Prices Spike on News of Shutdown (Prudhoe Bay field)
Ask News ^ | 7 Aug 2006 | Unattributed

Posted on 08/07/2006 8:30:09 AM PDT by Ben Mugged

Oil prices jumped by more than $1 a barrel Monday following a production shutdown at an Alaskan oil field that accounts for almost 8 percent of U.S. production.

The news of the Alaska shutdown caught traders by surprise, said Kevin Norrish of Barclays Capital, who added that the current ability to compensate for lost production was "severely limited."

The U.S. Energy Department, however, indicated it is prepared to provide oil from the government's emergency supplies if refiners ask for it because of the disruption of supplies from Alaska.

~snip~

Light, sweet crude for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange climbed rose $1.30 to $76.06 a barrel in electronic trading by afternoon in Europe. Unleaded gasoline gained more than 3 cents to $2.2650.

At London's ICE Futures exchange, Brent crude for September jumped $1.33 to $77.50 a barrel.

BP Exploration Alaska, a unit of Britain's BP PLC (BP) (BP), began shutting down oil production Sunday at Prudhoe Bay due to severe corrosion on a pipeline.

Once the field is shut down, in a process expected to take days, BP said oil production would be reduced by 400,000 barrels a day. That's close to 8 percent of U.S. oil production as of May 2006, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

BP officials said they didn't know how long the Prudhoe Bay field would be off line.

The shutdown prompted investors to sell stocks on inflation fears, one day before the Federal Reserve's next decision on interest rates. BP's U.S. shares fell $1.41, or 1.9 percent, to $71.13 in morning trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

Tetsu Emori, chief commodities strategist at Mitsui Bussan Futures in Tokyo, said a 400,000-barrel per day reduction in output would have a major impact on oil prices.

(Excerpt) Read more at story.news.ask.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: bp; energy; gasprices; oil; oilprices
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Expect gas prices over $4.00
1 posted on 08/07/2006 8:30:12 AM PDT by Ben Mugged
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To: Ben Mugged

Oh, what a TOTAL SURPRISE. Another "reason" to raise energy prices...I wonder how much BP was paid to put in some rusty pipe???


2 posted on 08/07/2006 8:32:12 AM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: Ben Mugged

One good hurricane to shut down the Gulf of Mexico platforms for awhile, and it probably will hit the $4 mark.


3 posted on 08/07/2006 8:33:35 AM PDT by IndyTiger
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To: Ben Mugged

Tetsu Emori, chief commodities strategist at Mitsui Bussan Futures in Tokyo, said a 400,000-barrel per day reduction in output would have a major impact on oil prices.


It has always been my understanding that ALL of the Alaska oil has been going to Asia - since the pipeline opened.
I could be wrong...


4 posted on 08/07/2006 8:34:04 AM PDT by Paisan
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To: Paisan

I heard on the news this morning that the majority of Alaskan oil is used in California.


5 posted on 08/07/2006 8:35:10 AM PDT by Ben Mugged
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To: EagleUSA
BP has been strongly criticized and fined by the US government for a series of accidents at their refineries. A couple of these involved fatalities.
I'd bet BP is taking quick action, perhaps overreacting, because of several recent spills in Alaska. They can inspect the lines within a few weeks.
6 posted on 08/07/2006 8:36:19 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (BTUs are my Beat.)
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To: EagleUSA
Haven't they heard of ongoing maintenance. Severe corrosion on a pipeline does not happen overnight. They are making this appear unexpected and totally out of their control. HOGWASH!
7 posted on 08/07/2006 8:36:57 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Ben Mugged
George W. Bush is behind this in order to help enrich his buddies at the oil companies and Halliburton.

/moonbat mode

8 posted on 08/07/2006 8:37:54 AM PDT by COEXERJ145 (Free Republic is Currently Suffering a Pandemic of “Bush Derangement Syndrome.”)
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To: Paisan

Actually, we had to agree to ship Alaskan oil via U.S. freighters as part of the deal with the union boys to open up the North Slope. It would make a lot more sense to trade contracts with Japan for, say, Mexican oil on a barrel for barrel basis and shorten the shipping time and cost for both countries.


9 posted on 08/07/2006 8:38:47 AM PDT by Vigilanteman
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To: Paisan

Alaska North Slope crude gives a good cut of asphalt for west coast refineries which is in demand this time of year. South American Oriente crude would be a logical replacement, if its still available.


10 posted on 08/07/2006 8:38:57 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (BTUs are my Beat.)
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To: Paisan

Check your facts, for years AK oil was not allowed, by Federal law to be sold outside of the US.

IF the oil goes to Japan, then Mid-east oil that would have gone to Japan goes to East coast refineries.

Anyway, it all goes to the left coast - and the gas made from Alaska oil sells for less in Las Vegas then in Anchorage. The price of gas has little to do with the price of crude....


11 posted on 08/07/2006 8:40:33 AM PDT by ASOC (The phrase "What if" or "If only" are for children.)
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To: Ben Mugged

Tell me again about how drilling in ANWR won't help.......


12 posted on 08/07/2006 8:40:53 AM PDT by jdsteel ('nuff said (old Marvel Comics reference....))
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To: Ben Mugged

Countdown to the arrival of the oil shareholders on this thread, flaming those of us who aren't elated over the potential for high prices.


13 posted on 08/07/2006 8:41:41 AM PDT by mysterio
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To: Ben Mugged
Oil prices jumped by more than $1 a barrel Monday following a production shutdown at an Alaskan oil field that accounts for almost 8 percent of U.S. production

Is Alaskan oil really that important?

My gosh!! Anti-ANWR Democrats have been insisting that oil from Alaska can only contribute a "drop in the bucket."

Were the Democrats lying?

14 posted on 08/07/2006 8:43:24 AM PDT by syriacus (It's a small world after all. I'd rather have Israelis as neighbors than have Hizb'allah as neigbors)
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To: Ben Mugged
A couple of articles for archival purposes.

BP shutdown to remove 8 pct. of US crude

By MARY PEMBERTON, Associated Press Writer 17 minutes ago

ANCHORAGE, Alaska - Oil company BP scrambled Monday to assess suspected pipeline corrosion that will shut shipments from the nation's biggest oilfield, removing about 8 percent of daily U.S. crude production and driving oil prices sharply higher.

BP, which is already facing a criminal investigation over a large spill in March at the same Prudhoe Bay oilfield, said it did not know how long the field would be offline. "I don't even know how long it's going to take to shut it down," said Tom Williams, BP's senior tax and royalty counsel.

While BP suspects corrosion in both damaged lines, it can't say for sure until further tests are complete. Workers also found a small spill of about 4 to 5 barrels, which has been contained and is being cleaned up, BP said.

The news sent the price of light, sweet crude oil up $1.53 to $74.57 a barrel in electronic trading Monday on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Steve Marshall, president of BP Exploration Alaska Inc., said Sunday night that the eastern side of the Prudhoe Bay oilfield would be shut down first, an operation anticipated to take 24 to 36 hours. The company will then move to shut down the west side, a move that could close more than 1,000 Prudhoe Bay wells.

Once the field is shut down, BP said oil production will be reduced by 400,000 barrels a day. That's close to 8 percent of U.S. oil production or about 2.6 percent of U.S. supply including imports, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

The shutdown comes at an already worrisome time for the oil industry, with supply concerns stemming both from the hurricane season and instability in the Middle East.

A 400,000-barrel per day reduction in output would have a major impact on oil prices, said Tetsu Emori, chief commodities strategist at Mitsui Bussan Futures in Tokyo. A barrel contains 42 gallons of crude oil.

"Oil prices could increase by as much as $10 per barrel given the current environment," Emori said. "But we can't really say for sure how big an effect this is going to have until we have more exact figures about how much production is going to be reduced."

But Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore, said he expected the impact to be minimal since crude inventories are high.

"So while this won't have any immediate impact on U.S. supplies, the market is in very high anxiety. So any significant disruption, traders will take that into account, even though there is no threat of a supply shortage."

Marshall said tests Friday indicated that there were 16 anomalies in 12 areas in an oil transit line on the eastern side of Prudhoe Bay. Tests found losses in wall thickness of between 70 and 81 percent. Repair or replacement is required if there is more than an 80 percent loss.

"The results were absolutely unexpected," Marshall said.

BP America Chairman and President Bob Malone said Prudhoe Bay will not resume operating until the company and government regulators are satisfied it can run safely without threatening the environment.

"We regret that it is necessary to take this action and we apologize to the nation and the State of Alaska for the adverse impacts it will cause," Malone said in a statement.

The troubles at the Alaskan oilfield add to other problems for BP in the United States, where the company is the largest oil producer, following an explosion at its Texas City refinery that killed 15 workers in March 2005 and a trading scandal.

The shutdown comes six months after the North Slope's biggest ever oil spill was discovered on a Prudhoe Bay transit line. Some 267,000 gallons of oil spilled. BP installed a bypass on that line in April with plans to replace the pipe. Only one of BP's three transit lines is now operating.

BP puts millions of gallons of corrosion inhibitor into the Prudhoe Bay lines each year. It also examines pipes by taking X-rays and ultrasound images.

BP has a 26 percent stake in the Prudhoe Bay field, meaning its own production would be cut by 100,000 barrels a day, or around 2.5 percent of the company's worldwide production, said spokesman David Nicholas. He declined to provide any forecast on the impact of the shutdown on earnings.

BP shares dropped 2 percent to 623 pence ($11.89) on the London Stock Exchange.

A prolonged Prudhoe Bay shutdown would be a major blow to domestic oil production, but even a short one could be crippling to Alaska's economy.

Alaska House Speaker John Harris said it was admirable that BP took immediate action, although it's sure to hurt state coffers. "This state cannot afford to have another Exxon Valdez," said Harris, R-Valdez.

The Exxon Valdez tanker emptied 11 million gallons of crude oil into Prince William Sound in 1989, killing hundreds of thousands of birds and marine animals and soiling more than 1,200 miles of rocky beach in nation's largest oil spill.

___

AP Writers Matt Volz in Juneau, Alaska, and Jane Wardell in London contributed to this report.



BP to shutdown Prudhoe Bay oil field

Release date: 06 August 2006

BP Exploration Alaska acts in response to
small spill, unexpectedly severe corrosion
from a Prudhoe Bay oil transit line.

ANCHORAGE -- BP Exploration Alaska, Inc. has begun an orderly and phased shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay oil field following the discovery of unexpectedly severe corrosion and a small spill from a Prudhoe Bay oil transit line. Shutting down the field will take days to complete. Over time, these actions will reduce Alaska North Slope oil production by an estimated 400,000 barrels per day.

The decision follows the receipt on Friday, August 4 of data from a smart pig run completed in late July. Analysis of the data revealed 16 anomalies in 12 locations in an oil transit line on the eastern side of the oil field.

In response to the inspection data, BP conducted follow up inspections of anomalies where corrosion-related wall thinning appeared to exceed BP criteria for continued operation. It was during these follow up inspections that BP personnel discovered a leak and small spill estimated at 4 to 5 barrels.

The spill has been contained and the clean up effort is underway. The pipeline was shutdown at 6:30 am Sunday morning. BP has notified state and federal officials of the decision and will work closely with the U.S. Department of Transportation and the Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation, among others.

“We regret that it is necessary to take this action and we apologize to the nation and the State of Alaska for the adverse impacts it will cause,” said BP America Chairman and President Bob Malone. “However, the discovery of this leak and the unexpected results of this most recent smart pig run have called into question the condition of the oil transit lines at Prudhoe Bay. We will not resume operation of the field until we and government regulators are satisfied that they can be operated safely and pose no threat to the environment.”

BP is identifying and mobilizing additional resources from across Alaska and North America in order to speed inspection of remaining Prudhoe Bay oil transit lines. BP operates 22 miles of oil transit pipeline at Prudhoe Bay. Smart pigging inspection has been completed over about 40 percent of that length.

BP previously announced plans to replace a three-mile segment of pipeline following inspections conducted after a large spill discovered on March 2, 2006.

For more information:

Daren Beaudo, BP Press Office, Anchorage, 907-564-5404 or 907-748-7219

Ronnie Chappell, BP Press Office, Anchorage, 281-236-3529

15 posted on 08/07/2006 8:43:46 AM PDT by deport
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To: Ben Mugged

According to my math we have about four years supply that could fill this void. Isn't this what the reserve was designed for? Somebody check my math.


16 posted on 08/07/2006 8:43:48 AM PDT by RichardW
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To: Ben Mugged

Paul Harvey this morning was predicting $10/barrel more.


17 posted on 08/07/2006 8:48:03 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
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To: EagleUSA

Grow up! Nobody is going to shut down 400,000 bbl a day production just to screw *you* - they will see a loss of $30M a day plus the expense of the work.

Did you forget this?
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/11696601/
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/11642801/
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/15/national/15spill.html?ex=1300078800&en=1461d7620369ee24&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss

If BP needs to be slammed, it is for cutting the workforce on the North Slope so much, they don't have the folks to do the maintenance needed to stop leaks.

There is less than 1/2 the folks working the slope now than in 1994. And some folks I know working the NS are 6 weeks on, 2 weeks off, 12 hours a day, 7 days a week.


18 posted on 08/07/2006 8:49:11 AM PDT by ASOC (The phrase "What if" or "If only" are for children.)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks
I'd bet BP is taking quick action, perhaps overreacting, because of several recent spills in Alaska. They can inspect the lines within a few weeks.

The shutdown is because of prior inspection. 20 spots in 16 locations were found to have severe corrosion.

19 posted on 08/07/2006 8:49:23 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Ben Mugged

Can't they just wrap sheets of rubber around the corroded pipes, while they set up a new pipeline adjacent to the damaged pipes?


20 posted on 08/07/2006 8:51:06 AM PDT by syriacus (It's a small world after all. I'd rather have Israelis as neighbors than have Hizb'allah as neigbors)
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