Posted on 08/18/2006 6:11:08 AM PDT by Pharmboy
China's one child per family policy has cut the country's birth rate and means men clearly outnumber women in the population, a study showed on Friday.
Using data from nearly 40,000 women, it found the birth rate had dropped from 2.9 before the policy was introduced in 1979 as a short-term measure to 1.94 in women over 35 and 1.73 in women under 35 -- below replacement level.
The study by Qu Jian Ding of the Institute of Population Studies at Zhejiang University and Therese Hesketh of London's Institute of Child Health was published in the British Medical Journal.
The policy also means that the male to female ratio has risen from 1.11 in 1980-89 to 1.23 in 1996-2001.
Experts say Chinese parents have resorted to sex-selective abortion to ensure their child was a boy since the one-child policy was introduced.
"These findings have clear implications for decisions about future population policy," concluded the authors.
"A relaxation of the policy could be considered in the near future. It is unlikely that a baby boom would result, and such a change in policy might help to correct the abnormal sex ratio."
Thirty five percent of the women questioned said they wanted only one child and 57 percent said they would stop at two. Less than six percent said they wanted more.
Writing in the same issue, Malcolm Potts of the School of Public Health at the University of California, Berkeley, praised the policy for lifting 150 million Chinese out of abject poverty by creating the conditions for increased economic growth.
He said that while the policy had caused grief for one generation of Chinese it had brought far greater comfort for following generations.
"For China, and the world as a whole, the one child policy was one of the most important social policies ever implemented," he wrote, saying other countries from Afghanistan to Nigeria with high population growth had lessons to learn.
We needed a study to tell us this?
The sexual imbalance is a pretty good prediction of Chinese expansionist war. That is what societies do that are afflicted by a large group of young men who either cannot work or cannot find female partners. They will either explode in the society causing nternal havoc or they will be exported in wafare. The rulers prefer to export them.
You have it pegged.
Too many young men of military age, expansionist ambition, no respect for human life, getting hard to get laid? Start a war, take some territory, get some of your men killed off. Kill off the men in the neighboring country too, take their women!
What I find sad is that we have liberals running around who call themselves "intellectuals" who cannot figure this out, and we have Repubs who are so in bed with China that they just don't care.
A major cause for wars (in less enlightened times) was for women. It still occurs in many deep jungle tribes in Brazil and Africa and probably also in China.
Wars have been fought desperately for much lesser causes.
IMHO, for women would be an excellent motivation for war. Gotta luv 'em
Darn it - should have read the replies first.
Right, we've known this for decades.
BINGO!!! Took the words right out of my mouth...
Wow...what an excellent insight. As a matter of fact, Korean girls are ALREADY being kidnapped and taken across the border for Chinese men to marry. That article was published a few months ago in the NY Times.
"A major cause for wars (in less enlightened times) was for women."
I watched Troy this past weekend.
Ohh.. that is going to war over a woman.
After studying history for about 40 years, I have to say I concur.
The Chinese, who have been making history for over 4000 years, ought to know what the results of such a policy will be.
They know. I am sure it has been part of their long range planning, at least since they discovered the scope of the preferential abortion of girls.
95% of the kids adopted from China are girls. (Cute little bugs, they are....)
Roughly 8,000 chinese kids were adopted into the US last year.
I have to wonder if that number is low-ball, though: I personally know or know of probably 20 families who've adopted Chinese kids, and that's within my own relatively small circle, in my one town.
"getting hard to get laid"
nice choice of words.... :-D
No. But they need to do something to justify their existence.
Heh... this is old news. There's a 40 MILLION extra-men imbalance in the age range from birth to age 40, which means the demographic bulge making its way through the pages of (soon to be) history will arrive in time to drop everything and singlehandedly take care of two ailing parents.
And because 40 million men won't find wives (unless they're foreign imports from where I don't know, there will have to be some kind of ward-style care for them when they get too old to care for themselves. That also of course has a ripple effect through the ever-shrinking future generations, leading to a China with a population of perhaps 250 million to 300 million in the year 2100. At that time, the US population will be something north of a billion, Russia will have shrunk somewhere below 50 million...
Chinese Official Proposes 'Euthanasia Experiments'
LifeSite | March 10, 2006
Posted on 03/11/2006 7:12:37 PM EST by NYer
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1594697/posts
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.