As another observant FReeper JulieRNR21 noted--Nelson Who?
The Space Cadet is introducing himself to Floridians in his premier tv ad after being a non-entity and drawing a U.S. Senator's salary for the past six years.
Posted on 09/20/2006 12:10:49 PM PDT by ghostmonkey
I haven't seen this poll mentioned on FR yet. (I have seen the SurveyUSA poll discussed.)
This poll has the race even tighter than SurveyUSA does. (9 Points).
http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2006/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=12200609180
Anyone know anything about the polling company??
That Gerlach poll was an internal poll his campaign released. I don't believe it. (He is down 5% in the Constituent Dynamics poll the numbers in which are being corroborated in a few districts now by other polls.) If it is real, the only seat the Dems might get in the Northeast I would think is the Sherwood seat.
If the Gerlach poll is real, nationwide the Dems would pick up TX-22 and *maybe* IA-01, CO-07 and AZ-08. Mass suicide for the Kossites.
I think the filandering Sherwood will survive even if Gerlach goes down (as I assumed he would before hearing about the POS poll). The Dems didn't run a strong enough candidate to beat him, and you can't beat somebody with nobody (absent a 1994-style tsunami that swept in even Michael Flanagan in Chicago). Bobby Casey would have been a far better choice (even with Scranton placed in Kanjorski's CD).
An internal (D) poll from the Democratic candidate in FL-13 of the Senate race in FL-13 is less than useless.
What is kinda hard to figure is that the Murphy campaign continues to tout its own internal poll it did in early August which showed Murphy up only 1 in the same breath as the C-D poll which showed it up by 5. They did this in some article I read yesterday talking about the race and Gerlach's internal poll dump linked by politicspa.com, if I can find it.
I would think they would realize that repeating the "...your own internal poll that doesn't show it nearly as good as this Indy poll here..." line would tend to encourage doubts on both polls, at least it always does in my mind.
That was another race that I had a big question mark in my head from the C-D results that has not been cleared (I know that I had mentioned PA-10 and CT-2 to you before) because of this internal thingy. Just a lot of doubt in my head.
I still think the Democrats take the seat. If they don't, I think we'd all agree that it will be a very long night for them.
Nelson will lose. His ultraliberal record is being exposed, and he's actually showing his face on TV, which will cause many voters to say, "I didn't realize he's been in the Senate for 6 years. What has he done?" Answer: nothing, except vote as intructed by the Clintonistas, Kerry, Kennedy, Levin, Schumer, Biden and the rest of the socialist party.
Palm Beach Post: Harris to stump with president afterall [sic]
Yeah, I saw that thread NN, thanks. I hope they all push real hard for her election. We need a conservative from Florida and Nelson is the pits. I want to be wrong on this one.
Two days ago there was a thread that said she was down 40 points. Where are they getting these wild numbers?
This is not a statewide poll so it is relatively meaningless.
As another observant FReeper JulieRNR21 noted--Nelson Who?
The Space Cadet is introducing himself to Floridians in his premier tv ad after being a non-entity and drawing a U.S. Senator's salary for the past six years.
>>>Was it Yogi Berra who said "This game is 90% half mental"? <<<
I believe Yogi said, "Half the game is 90% mental".
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Please put me on the ping list for that post!
Here is a link to the article:
http://www.bradenton.com/mld/bradenton/news/local/15552320.htm
This is from a poll taken by Christine Jennings in her Congressional race against Vern Buchanan. It measures support within the 13th. District and is not a statewide poll.
Still, Bill Nelson has peaked and Katherine Harris is regaining lost ground. IMHO, Republican voters who had wanted someone else to be their nominee are rallying to her candidacy. She is also benefitting from Charlie Crist's strong campaign for Governor.
This lastest poll tends to confirm the other polls findings .
Harris is now reverseing her polling trends, and may soon poll neck and neck with Nelson .
If she wins, it'll be a "Dewey defeats Truman" type of upset. I know that a substantial number of FReepers, and in the MSM will be choking on crow.
CQ still has it Dem favored, but if KH trend continues ????
Will await Quinipiac #s, and who knows????
Good Luck
It gets late early in Yankee stadium.
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