Welcome to the optimists club whomever you are. Better late than not at all. By the time we get to Election Day your numbers will have changed for the better. Take that to the bank.
Owise also awards titles to people who do well over long periods of time. Right now I'm a Political Analyst, level 9, the third highest ranked in the Politics category at Owise. I am in fact estimating slightly lower chances than owise is on change of control in both houses, but I do not believe there is enough evidence right now to say it's a slam dunk to retain the house. I do think current evidence indicates there is no reasonable chance the dems will take the senate, but you have to allow for unknown changes in the future, for example a health problem or an unforseen gaff could swing a race or two.