Interesting poll on FL-16 in the wake of the Foley scandal. Newcomer Constituent Dynamics is there with the first poll, two of them actually.
This is a very informative pair of polls, and indicates that the race will be competitive.
The new GOP candidate in that district is Joe Negron.
Is this a heavily dem district or a republican district?
Well that poll is a tad of good news
I think the wording is selected to bias the poll to the Dim. I would make more sense to ask:
"...who would you vote for? A yet to be named Republican? Or Democrat Tim Mahoney?"
This was taken before or after? It seems kind of soon to have a poll out.
If I were a voter in that district it would make me sick to my stomach to pull the lever for "Foley".
No one should mistake how abhorrent a task they are asking voters to commit, even if Foley won't be the one that holds the seat.
Is the seat lost? It really depends on the new candidate and his ability to ease folks over their distaste of Foley. If he can do that, he deserves some credit. Certainly they may not want the Democrat's politics, but neither do they like the idea of on election night being labled the district that voted for a pedophile..if only in name only.
I'm sympathetic to the strain being placed on these voters. It's not right they are in this position.
both polls show more repubs than rats
and a spitload of independants.
not sure what the results mean, if anything
A "poll" for his seat...huh uh uh
New pole on Foley's seat? Yeah, he wishes!
Encouraging - it would be interesting to see new polling data now that there is a named candidate - the seat might not be lost after all......
This is remarkable that the Democrat is only ahead by 7 against an unknown candidate. It doesn't sound very good for the Democrat.
This is the best news I've seen yet. A Seven point lead from this is nothing. This was BEFORE people have had a chance to see who Negron is outside of his immediate area. And they also will lie on a poll like this. If we are only down 7 on paper what is the real number?
A smart campaign will find a way to turn this scandal around in favor of the 'Pub candidate. How? Simply contrast the difference between how Republicans deal with their wrongdoers and how the 'Rats deal with theirs. For example, Foley resigned right away and went into rehab. The 'Rats, OTOH, had a scumball like Jim McGreevey in the Governor's chair in NJ for years and while he did resign, afterward he wrote an unapologetic book about his foibles and then went on Oprah to push it. The 'Rats defended Clinton's wrongdoings right into the well of the US Senate, and never apologized for defending a known liar and probable rapist. You had scumbags like Gerry Studds and Barney Frank involved in homosexual affairs, abusing Congressional pages, and allowing homosexual prostitution rings to be run out of their DC home, and nobody ever demanded a thing from those miscreants.