Hey Jim ... the D(s) are on the left and the R(s) are on the right. With the exception of DINO(s) and RINO(s) that's how they usually are in real life.
My overall analysis:
367 races are "safe". 194 will go to the Democrats and 173 will go to the Republicans. The winning party is at least 99.5% certain for at least 1/2 of these races and at least 98%+ certain for the rest. That means we could likely see 1-4 of these races change but almost no chance of any more or less.
Another 28 races are rated with the Republicans leading 20 and the Democrats leading 8. I'm about 85-97% certain on who will win. I listed the races and likely party to win earlier in this thread.
Another 20 races are rated with the Republicans leading 11 and the Democrats leading 9 with about 60-84% certainty on who will win.
I give the following 11 to the Republicans:
AZ-01
AZ-05
CT-05
FL-13
IL-10
KY-03
KY-04
NC-08
NV-02
NY-25
OH-02
I give the following to the Democrats:
AZ-08
CO-07
FL-16
IA-01
IN-07
IN-08
NM-01
OH-18
TX-22
Barring any dramatic shift from present polls .... these 415 seats will go 211 for the Democrats and 204 for the Republicans.
The other 20 seats (at the beginning of this thread with the news links) are pretty much tossups. These are the races which will get the most money and attention the next 11 days. They're a good bellweather for what will actually happen in the battle for the Speaker's gavel between Denny Hastert and Nancy Pelosi. Whichever political party can come up with the best combination of national message and local campaigning to focus on these local races will be the one that wins control of the House in the next Congress.
Here are the 20 races I'm watching most closely:
CT-02
CT-04
FL-22
IL-06
IN-02
IN-03
IN-09
MN-06
NC-11
NY-20
NY-24
NY-26
OH-15
PA-06
PA-07
PA-08
PA-10
VA-02
WA-08
WI-08