Posted on 11/03/2006 11:23:06 PM PST by JohnHuang2
On MSNBC yesterday, Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report said he believes the Republican Party is in a "meltdown" that will lead to a 20-seat pickup for Democrats in the U.S. House. (Democrats need to gain 15 seats to take control of the House.) With all due respect, I believe Mr. Cook is wrong. Continues...
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GOP rolls out October Surprise!
In the generic ballot vote for control of Congress, the AP poll has Democrats "leading" Republicans. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has Democrats "leading" Republicans. CNN/USA Today has Democrats in the "lead." Republicans are also losing in the CBS News/New York Times poll -- only 39% say they'll vote Republican! Oops, that was two years ago. (In fairness, a few days after the CBS survey, a poll did come out showing Republicans leading Democrats -- the poll called Election Day, '04.)
Polls in '04 had Kerry beating Bush. Kerry winning! How dumb is that? But that's the dumb business of polling for you. Which stresses the importance of education. Education. If you make the most of it, you study hard, you do your homework and you make an effort to be smart, you can do well. If you don't, you get stuck doing polling.
Fast-forward to 2006: The Los Angeles Times reports that "The latest USA Today/Gallup poll has the Democrats leading the Republicans . . ." Steven Thomma of the McClatchy newspapers writes that polls show "Democrats lead Republicans . . ." The Sacramento Bee says "State-by-state polls show Democrats leading" Republicans. The New York Times reports that "polls have shown . . . Democrats leading Republicans." But that was last week.
Now that we're just one week from the elections, the "polls" are magically "tightening." And the headlines are magically changing. Democrats fear the storm could leave them high and dry, read one. Race for Congress is narrowing, read another. And more and more stories of Democrats complaining about voter-ID measures that require voters to show they're citizens. (The 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals just revived Ohio's ID provision for early absentee voters, putting at risk thousands and thousands of already cast illegal votes!)
One week from the elections, GOP House seats once "certain" to go Democrat, are now "toss-ups." Liberals are shocked that in former Congressman Tom Delay's district all Republicans didn't become Democrats, despite their pounding voters there for months with polls showing the Democrat 'leading.' One week ago, the write-in GOP candidate didn't have a shot. This week, the Write-in for Delay spot has a shot -- headline in the Houston Chronicle.
The Wall Street Journal admitted that the GOP is ahead in early voting in "Congressional districts from Ohio and Florida to New Mexico and Arizona." Democrats are losing even in Mark Foley's district. In GOP Rep. Heather Wilson's district, 22,000 absentee ballots have been requested by "demoralized" Republicans, almost as many as requested in 2004 by "energized" Republicans.
Democratic Campaign Committee honcho Karin Johanson, after checking the latest polls from "swing seats," told the London Times that "some of the polls are looking great -- really great -- but some of the recent ones have been looking not so good."
It's been so "looking not so good" for the losercrats that last Saturday they gave James Webb the mike to deliver the party's weekly radio address, hoping to knock the pedophile stuff from his novel off the front pages. Webb was so eager, he ran happily toward the mike and grabbed it in his arms, turned it upside down, and put it in his mouth.
Probably out of frustration, Congressman Charles Rangel on Monday "blasted Dick Cheney as a 'son of a bitch' after the vice president" said Rangel would hike taxes if Democrats got control of Congress, reports the New York Post. "The bitter war of words escalated to the point where the bombastic Rangel questioned whether the tightly-wound" 'son of a bitch' "needed professional treatment." Cheney reacted to Rangel's remarks magnanimously, even inviting him to go hunting.
Then the Republicans rolled out their sneaky October Surprise -- John Kerry! Kerry accused Republicans of Kerry's explosive remarks. This is what horseface on Monday told a group of college students in California: "You know, education, if you make the most of it, you study hard, you do your homework and you make an effort to be smart, you can do well. And if you don't, you get stuck in Iraq." Kerry says Republicans are taking his lips out of context, twisting his insult into an insult of troops in Iraq, when he 'clearly' meant to insult the President. So here's what horseface really meant to tell those college students: 'If you study hard and you do your homework, you presidents won't get stuck with a dead-end job like . . . president.' Or, 'if you study hard, you presidents will brilliantly lead an international coalition into Iraq . . .' Keep in mind that Kerry accused troops in Vietnam of being butchers and rapists and troops in Iraq of terrorizing women and children. He must have meant Bush there, too.
Kerry's remarks were such a self-inflicted wound, he immediately put in for a Purple Heart.
Kerry said that "the White House's attempt to distort my true statement is a remarkable testament to their abject failure to making America safe." Evidently, 'accurately' interpreting Kerry's deranged remarks is now part of making America safe.
The left wing nut-job called Republicans "right wing nut-jobs," belittled White House spokesman Tony Snow as a "stuffed suit," Rush Limbaugh as "doughy" and Sen. John McCain as a liar -- all part of Kerry's effort to set the proper tone for discourse.
On a broader level, beyond Kerry and Rangel, if you go strictly by the polls, signs of how much "trouble" the GOP is not in include:
-- Missouri's human cloning ballot proposal sinking like a rock.
-- A new Washington Post poll showing 60% are OK with their Congressman. Because it wasn't 100%, the press promptly called this a 'growing wave' of anti-incumbency.
-- The Cook Political "Report" noting on Monday "there are no signs that this (Democrat) wave is abating," which must be why the Democrats are going into debt.
-- Iraq being a 'loser' issue for warmongering/Zionist/imperialist candidates this election, which is why Ned Lamont is getting creamed by a Warmongering/Zionist/Imperialist. But that's just warmongering Connecticut for you.
Armed with this knowledge, "experts" insist the GOP base isn't as "energized" about this election as the Jerry Springer couch potato set. "Disenchanted" conservatives are disenchanted because Republicans have govern as Democrats. Falling gas prices, 700-mile fence, Alito, Roberts, record stock market, booming economy, tax cuts -- nothing "alienates" "true" conservatives like this stuff. Then there's the deficit -- unlike the string of balanced budgets under Reagan.
If I understand the "disaffected" brainiacs who want to hand this election to the Democrats, the plan is to sit this one out, let the GOP crash to "teach them a lesson," then watch the GOP -- without power -- magically enact the "lesson" into law, because if you want the conservative agenda implemented, you flush your allies down the toilet and let Nancy Pelosi be Speaker. Tax cuts are a big hit with her. This strategy worked swimmingly back in '92, now didn't it? To "teach" George H.W. Bush a "lesson," people voted for Perot and got Clinton, Monica and Osama bin Laden.
Which is why the good money is still on Republicans not sitting out the election.
Anyway, that's...
My Two Cents
"JohnHuang2"
Have a great weekend, y'all -- and VOTE ON TUESDAY. Liberals, vote on Wednesday. ;-)
http://varifrank.com/archives/2006/11/8th_day_of_reas_1.php
Bet you'll like this guy's Reasons To Vote series:
Today's Reason: To teach them a lesson. Its not the Republicans I want to teach, its the Democrats.
Here's what I want to teach them:
"The Anti-war movement is electoral poison".
In my mind, the "anti-war movement" is just the gateway drug to the more corrosive and dangerous mental drugs of "Anti-American" and "Anti-Capitalist". If you stop the Democrats natural attraction of "Anti-War" then you can stop the move towards the next stop in the descent.
The press really does have this country by the tail.
On target as usual.
#6, crawling over broken glass to Tuesday.
Tuesday it is. Thanks John.
I'm ready to vote early and often on Tuesday!
Thanks, excellent link.
Let the media keeping telling them how the Dems are going to blow the repubs away and the Dems WILL do a no show! (praying!)
It's am uphill fight, but if ALL of FReepdom gets out there and votes and drags friends and family out to vote a straight GOP ticket, we'll all show the pundits and talking heads and the MSM and FR's doom&gloomers just how it's done. :-)
Karl Rove is so clever! He had the October Surprise happen in November, thus completely discombobulating all the Dems who thought they had made it safely to election.
Good article John thanks. Even those who are as firm as a rock can get a little shaky when confronted with massive 24/7 Party of Treason propaganda generated and spread by the Treason Media.
http://www.clermontyellow.accountsupport.com/flash/UntilThen.swf
Thanks John, and here is a reminder of what we are voting for!
I plan to vote twice on Tuesday. Thanks John. Another excellent offering.
Of all the great lines you have written this one takes the prize!
YES! My sentiments exactly.
If were going to teach anyone a lesson- it should be the dems. Let them learn once and for all that if they keep siding with Anti war crazies, and trying to undermine our troops/country in a time of war-they will end up with their sorry useless a$$es kicked to the curb, and out of power .
How much better would Iraq be going if we appeared united?
I understand that the Hussein verdict will be read Sunday.
That's what I've been saying for months. I'm mad as hell - but it's not at repubs - I'm mad at the dems.
1909-SVDB & 1914-D bump! Thanks John.
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