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To: GraniteStateConservative

His "final" predictions four days ago (for comparison)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1730820/posts

Also for comparison: his predictions for the last midterm...
http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:5CkQhvTEYcMJ:www.pkblogs.com/quasipundit/2002_11_03_quasipundit_archive.html+2002+sabato+results+%22house+seats%22+republicans+-2006&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=7

"Sabato has gone from +1 Democrat in the Senate to no change. Thanks to Dodd's post for pointing that out. Sabato also went from +3 Republicans in the House to +4. As close as this election is, those "tweaks" are epocal."

The actual results were:
+2 Republicans in the Senate
+6 Republicans in the House


So his average error was about 100%

No surprise these predictions are no longer on his site LOL!


7 posted on 11/06/2006 8:53:13 AM PST by mrsmith
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To: mrsmith
So, in 2002 he predicted no change in Sen, and +4R in House, off by 2 seats in each case.

The actual results were: +2 Republicans in the Senate +6 Republicans in the House

So his average error was about 100%

That's one way of looking at it, I suppose...

61 posted on 11/07/2006 10:04:26 AM PST by Dick Holmes
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