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To: The Old Hoosier



The good news is per Cheyenne's estimates:
Cascade - Burns would finish down about 1,700 and with 100% Burns is only 150 down. +1600
Lincoln - finished where projected, up 1300.
Fergus - Burns doing better than projected )65% vs. 61%). +200


Bad News:
Gattatin - Burns slightly worse 49% vs. 50% -500
Glacier - Burns much worse 49% vs. 53% -1500
Yellowstone - Burns worse 51% vs. 55% -3500

So, Cheyenne projected about 9000 more votes for Burns. Now it looks on net about 5400 more for Burns and he was down about 4300.

Unfortunately it looks like there can be large swings in precincts within a county.

But still looking ok.






23 posted on 11/08/2006 3:22:30 AM PST by frankjr
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To: frankjr; Congressman Billybob
Going just off of what I find on CNN... There are five counties that have yet to finish reporting. If they were homogeneous (they likely aren't) and maintained their vote proportions (or in the case of Meagher, if Burns under performs Bush2004 by about the amount he has been), I get the following:

Burns would pick up about 350 votes in Meagher, 500 in Fergus, 2000 in Yellowstone, 400 in Gallatin and lose 50 or so in Lake County.

That's a pickup of about 3200 net votes and he's currently about 200 behind. Too close for comfort (and I don't know how MT handles absentees)... but slightly encouraging.

25 posted on 11/08/2006 3:30:38 AM PST by IMRight
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To: frankjr

1,743 votes, 91 percent in...


28 posted on 11/08/2006 4:00:06 AM PST by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might.)
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