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US Deficit is Shrinking, For Now (Balanced Budget by Next Year?)
Christian Science Monitor ^ | Februrary 21, 2007 | Mark Trumbull

Posted on 02/21/2007 12:39:06 PM PST by RWR8189

Despite the ongoing costs of US military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan, the outlook for the federal budget has grown substantially brighter.

Tax revenues are rising much faster than spending, according to Treasury Department numbers released last week. The recent trend is strong enough that, were it to continue, the budget could move into surplus in barely a year, one economist calculates.

Already, the federal deficit is shrinking toward about half the size that it has averaged since 1970, when analyzed as a percentage of gross domestic product.

The shift reflects a strong economy, with higher incomes and corporate profits generating a bigger flow of tax revenue. In turn, the Treasury's progress could help the economy by buoying investor confidence in the nation's fiscal position.

Although it is a welcome change, the improvement does little to stave off the long-run challenges to the nation's financial health, many economists say. Baby boomers are starting to retire, placing new demands on government. Costs for healthcare programs like Medicare are still projected to rise faster than overall inflation.

"The picture is getting brighter," and if there's no recession over the next several years "there are going to continue to be some good strides made," says Mark McMullen, a senior economist at Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pa. But "it's unlikely that we're going to see a balanced budget anytime in the near or long term."

(Excerpt) Read more at csmonitor.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: balancedbudget; budget; budgetdeficit; budgetsurplus; bush43; deficit; federaldeficit; surplus
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1 posted on 02/21/2007 12:39:12 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

Yes, and when Hillary said that Bush wasn't doing anything for our economy, she should have been given a pie in the face and told what a bald faced liar she is!


2 posted on 02/21/2007 12:41:20 PM PST by princess leah
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To: RWR8189

bookmark


3 posted on 02/21/2007 12:42:05 PM PST by do the dhue (DEM ARE RATS!!!!!)
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To: RWR8189

Here's the obligatory, "IT'S ALL BUSH'S FAULT"


4 posted on 02/21/2007 12:42:30 PM PST by HOYA97 (Hoya Saxa = What Rocks)
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To: princess leah

...she should have been given a pie in the face and told what a bald faced liar she is!
----
It runs in the Clinton family. LIARS ALL. It is their profession and life blood, the parasites that they are.


5 posted on 02/21/2007 12:44:24 PM PST by EagleUSA
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To: RWR8189
Excellent news.

Cutting tax rates increases tax revenues --- I just hope (though I rate it very unlikely) that the Democrats will finally realize this and not let the tax rate cuts expire.

6 posted on 02/21/2007 12:44:53 PM PST by snowsislander
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To: RWR8189

This DESPITE a world war against the islamo scum. Now if the GOP had any spine and helped Bush reform SS, instead of tucking tail like the pussies they were, we'd be alot farther ahead.


7 posted on 02/21/2007 12:45:57 PM PST by pissant
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To: RWR8189

Whatever happened to the dire predictions that China was buying up our debt and would use it to cause economic havoc?


8 posted on 02/21/2007 12:50:48 PM PST by Ben Mugged (Always cheat; always win. The only unfair fight is the one you lose.)
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To: RWR8189

They could have balanced the budget last year if they'd wanted to. I don't think they will want to any more next year than they did last year.


9 posted on 02/21/2007 12:54:20 PM PST by Brilliant
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To: RWR8189

The true facts with regard to the economy will never be allowed to get in the way of dem lies.


10 posted on 02/21/2007 12:56:03 PM PST by OldFriend (Swiftboating - Sinking a politician's Ship of Fools by Torpedoes of Truth)
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To: HOYA97

You got that right!


11 posted on 02/21/2007 12:56:12 PM PST by jdsteel (Global Climate Change... for about 4.5 Billion years now and still going strong!)
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To: Ben Mugged

The Chinese are still buying up our debt. The real problem has never been the budget deficit but the merchandise trade deficit.

This is potentially a very serious long term problem.


12 posted on 02/21/2007 12:59:44 PM PST by Parmenio
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To: do the dhue

yes....and plan on sticking it in the rats face...


13 posted on 02/21/2007 1:02:35 PM PST by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: Parmenio
"The real problem has never been the budget deficit but the merchandise trade deficit.
This is potentially a very serious long term problem."

The only time we had a long term trade surplus was in the 1930's! Things weren't so good then!
14 posted on 02/21/2007 1:04:20 PM PST by JLGALT (Don't put down Muslims. They're just like everyone else - if everyone else is a mass murderer!)
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To: RWR8189
THANKS TO A REPUBLICAN CONGRESS & PRESIDENT!
15 posted on 02/21/2007 1:07:16 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: Parmenio
The Chinese are still buying up our debt.

The trade deficit is not subject to Chinese ownership. You cannot "buy-up" trade because there is nothing to own. Trade deficit is excess of imports over exports or of exports over imports. Budget deficit is when the Government must borrow money to pay it's operating expenses and this creates a budget deficit. The Chinese Government was buying up this debt paper to place the US in a vulnerable position.

16 posted on 02/21/2007 1:11:09 PM PST by Ben Mugged (Always cheat; always win. The only unfair fight is the one you lose.)
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To: RWR8189
People on Free Republic complain about RINOs, yet there is a lot a celebration about a "balanced budget". I submit that a true conservative is more concerned about the size of government and less about a balanced budget. The Federal Government will spend $3.0 trillion dollars in FY2008, yet only a small fraction of those dollars are actually spent on constitutionally mandated responsibilities of the government. I see no victory in this news.
17 posted on 02/21/2007 1:16:27 PM PST by 11th Commandment
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To: RWR8189

HA HA!!! Balanced budget......good one......


18 posted on 02/21/2007 1:21:58 PM PST by ElectricStrawberry
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To: Recovering_Democrat
THANKS TO A REPUBLICAN CONGRESS & PRESIDENT!

Not anymore.

The Democrats are in power now, so they'll get all the credit :(

19 posted on 02/21/2007 1:26:11 PM PST by EvilOverlord (Socialism makes workers into slaves and couch potatoes into kings)
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To: Ben Mugged

You are correct to point out that the owner of the debt is irrelevant. But that is not my point. We are buying more than we are selling and creating money to pay for it. This is potentially inflationary.


20 posted on 02/21/2007 2:01:57 PM PST by Parmenio
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