Fredipedia v2.20: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
Posted on 04/15/2007 4:27:07 PM PDT by Josh Painter
There was good news this week for... soon-to-be candidate Fred Thompson. The Los Angeles Times survey of April 5-9 found that... Thompson had moved into second place... in the GOP presidential primary. This is an amazing showing for an undeclared candidate...
The surprisingly positive results for Thompson in the L.A. Times survey may be the final impetus that convinces him to jump into the race. There have been several recent indications that Thompson is abut to declare.
First, his public disclosure that he was diagnosed with lymphoma several years ago and is now in remission could only have been made to pave the way for his entry in the Republican primary. A potential candidate would have to get that information out before someone leaked it. And.. if Thompson was not a candidate, he would have no reason to divulge that personal information.
Thompson has also scheduled a number of high profile appearances in Washington...
The vibes in Washington certainly suggest that Thompson is about to jump into the race, probably declaring his candidacy in May...
The Thompson numbers are important in two respects: They show that McCain is continuing to slip and slide as his campaign seems to lose momentum every day. But they also matter because Newt Gingrich, the other looming presence over the race, is badly trailing behind the undeclared Thompson, who seems to be picking up Newt's voters. So if Newt stays out until September, as he has vowed he would, the survey indicates that Fred would obliterate him in the meantime and make it all but impossible for him to run. It looks like Republicans are still looking for an ideal candidate and take Thompson quite seriously.
If Thompson were to run, he would fight an all-out battle with Giuliani for conservative Republicans...
(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...
ping
Morris predicts after we decide. ;)
Morris gives far too much credence to Newt’s candidacy. While he may make s a showing in the GOP primary polls, nationwide among all voters, Newt sinks like a brick.
There, much more accurate.
Newt didn't have much of a chance anyway and when he "debated" global warming with Kerry last week and agreeded with that idiot about the man made cause of global warming he signed his death certificate.
Sorry, post # 7, agreeded=agreed:)
Morris is wrong. If Gingrich drops out, Thompson does not benefit all that much. Giuliani would benefit even more. He is now at a healthy 38% among Republicans. No one else comes close. Here is what Gallup found in early April:
_____________________________________
If Gingrich were to stay out of the race, his support would likely be spread among the leading candidates, roughly in proportion to their existing votes, based on an analysis of Gingrich’s supporters’ second choice. Giuliani would be the top choice of 42% of Republicans after Gingrich votes are factored out, with McCain at 18%, Thompson at 12%, and Romney at 7% under this scenario.
Republicans’ Preference for 2008 Presidential Nomination,
Excluding Newt Gingrich
%
Rudy Giuliani
42
John McCain
18
Fred Thompson
12
Mitt Romney
7
Tommy Thompson
3
Ron Paul
2
Tom Tancredo
2
George Pataki
2
Mike Huckabee
1
Chuck Hagel
1
Sam Brownback
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Jim Gilmore
*
Other
1
None
2
All/any
*
No opinion
5
Note: Ballot recalculated substituting Gingrich supporters’
second choice for their Gingrich vote
Giuliani has also maintained a steady lead over McCain in a one-on-one matchup of the top two candidates, with a 57% to 38% edge in the latest poll.
I am really hoping for Thompson.
Newt is unelectable. Rudy is un”vote”able.
Vote for Rudy!
He’ll make the trains run on time!
writeblock wrote: “Morris is wrong. If Gingrich drops out, Thompson does not benefit all that much. Giuliani would benefit even more.”
But that doesn’t take into account the results of another poll, one conducted by Newsweek, showing that most Republicans are unaware of how radically liberal Rudy’s position are on four key issues:
34 percent of all Republican voters polled and 38 percent of social conservatives are aware he is pro-choice on abortion. And 51 percent of all Republican voters and 49 percent of social conservatives aren’t sure where he stands on the issue. On gun control, just 17 percent of all Republican voters polled and 19 percent of social conservatives are aware he’s a supporter of gun control. Sixty-seven percent of Republican voters polled (66% of social conservatives) aren’t sure of his stand. Only 16 percent of all Republican voters polled and 15 percent of social conservatives are aware that Giuliani opposes a constitutional amendment that would ban same-sex marriage; (70% overall and 72% of social conservatives aren’t aware of his position).
It’s still a long way until the first primary, plenty of time for the GOP base to learn where Rudy really stands on these four issues. There are some social conservatives who would be willing to let Rudy slide on one or two of them, but not all four.
The bottom line is that Rudy will peak soon and then start bleeding support as his more radical positions become more widely known.
The polls that matter to conservatives like us are the ones here on FR where Rooty gets only ten percent of the vote.
Here is another poll from a conservative website gopnation.com.
Former Sen. Fred Thompson (568) 56%
Rep. Ron Paul (247) 24%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (208) 20%
Conservatives don't really care what you RINO’s think. We are conservatives, and conservatives don’t vote for liberals.
Your personal profile page is cool.
“Fredipedia” makes me smile and laugh.
Wanna just rename the whole place here: Fred Republic?
Check with Mr. Robinson?
ping. Good news Fred/ bad news Rudytoot.
Bears repeating.
We are conservatives, and conservatives don’t vote for liberals.
That is an awful picture of Fred they’ve got on that article. He looks like a muppet!
Morris is wrong.
We can finally agree on something. Morris was born wrong and just got wronger.
BUT, you should definitely be concerned when the toesucker starts making bets like this:
“My bet is that Rudy will still prevail because terrorism trumps abortion as an issue for the GOP right, but it could get close.”
Why did all the Duncan Hunter fans abandon him immediately to an undeclared candidate?
I thought there were principles out there?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.