Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Race42008 ^ | 4/16/07

[Blackirish]

Go to Real Clear Politics they have a chart that averages the polls.that goes back to Feb 5.... Rudy has fluctuated between 38% and 30.5 he’s now at 31.5. Pretty solid.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Most of the smaller candidates, are fringe. Those types tend to keep their “protest” voters no matter what they do. If they drop out, so do most of their supporters. The less than 1% that Hunter has, will more than likely move over to Tancredo or Paul. Paul is like Buchanan. He will more than likely stay in the race to take votes away and do the “third party” stunt. He was talking about going that route several months ago.

[alicewonders]

Someone posted a poll at the top of THIS thread - that’s the one we’re talking about.

[Blackirish]

An average is a better indicator.

[alicewonders]

Right. /s

[Luis Gonzalez]

The more candidates running, the less votes there are to go around.

Tell Fred to get on with it and declare.

Bring it on already.

[Luis Gonzalez]

Yes.

[Luis Gonzalez]

I know.

[Always Right]

Thompson went from 12 to 13% from the last week, to 9%.

This was the first time they listed Fred in this poll, so he went from 0 to 9/10 percent.

[LibLieSlayer]

abc polling is as bogus as their news agency. I have no idea how accurate these numbers are, but it is a fact that abc doesn’t know either!

LLS

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Look at all the polls, from Rasmussen, Zogby, ARG, Quinnipac, etc,,,, You will see the same trend. In a field of over 10 candidates, a 10 point lead over the field, when the rest are within just a few points of each other, means that this is no close race.

You are the one spinning the numbers, hoping to see something that is clearly not there.

[Luis Gonzalez]

He’s held a double-digit lead over his closest challenger regardless of how many challengers enter the race.

[JohnnyZ]

Most of the smaller candidates, are fringe. Those types tend to keep their “protest” voters no matter what they do. If they drop out, so do most of their supporters.

That is inconsistent with everything I've ever known in politics, but go on.

The less than 1% that Hunter has, will more than likely move over to Tancredo or Paul.

You really have the shallowest notion of politics. Hunter has been criticized for supporting too much pork, Paul the opposite; Hunter is a war hawk, Paul a practical isolationist.

Why don't you try going on a conservative website some time? Then you can read posts by real people who support each of these candidates and learn how they think. Here's a hint: "Hunter '08 / But Fred would also be great".

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

I was not referring to this particular poll, I was going by the overall averages of several national polls that list Thompson. I merely commented that this poll is in line the trend.

[JohnnyZ]

The poll was of 1141 adults, not likely or even registered voters, so take it for what it’s worth.

Pretty silly, but so is paying too much attention to any one poll at this point, or thinking they're predictive of the primaries, so....

[Always Right]

I am glad you have so much comfort in a 10 point lead 8 months before the first vote is cast and the main contender has not even announced he is running yet. Yep, mail it in, nothing to see here.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

That’s my opinion. And what makes you so sure that I don’t go to other conservative websites? There you go making factual statements about someone you know nothing about again.

[Always Right]

I was not referring to this particular poll, I was going by the overall averages of several national polls that list Thompson.

Which is more meaningless than anything else you have said. You can't compare different polls in that manner and make a meaningful analysis. Different polls are done differently and have different biases and different errors.

[JohnnyZ]

And what makes you so sure that I don’t go to other conservative websites?

Actually I was talking about catching a clue by opening your eyes at THIS conservative web site.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

That’s where you are wrong.

Let’s say your theory is correct. In which case, The other polls, because of their different methods, should draw vast discrepancies and data would be skewed. There would be no consistent overall result.

But, knowing the reputability and accurate past results of the polls I listed and drew from, the comparisons among all these polls all draw a similar result. The numbers on this poll are right in line with all the others, regardless of their methods.

This makes polling an effective way to gage what’s on the public’s mind.