Posted on 06/20/2007 5:00:41 AM PDT by SJackson
Two Palestines, Anyone? |
The Hamas victory over Fatah in Gaza on June 14 has great importance for Palestinians, for the Islamist movement, and for the United States. It has rather less significance for Israel.
Hamas gunmen take control of Gaza (AFP). Assuming Fatah remains in charge on the West Bank (where it is arresting 1,500 Hamas operatives), two rival factions have replaced the single Palestinian Authority. Given the expedient nature of Palestinian nationalism and its recent origins (it dates specifically to 1920), this bifurcation has potentially great import. As I have noted, Palestinianism being so superficial, it could "come to an end, perhaps as quickly as it got started." Alternate affiliations include pan-Islam, pan-Arab nationalism, Egypt, Jordan, or their own tribes and clans.
A Hamas gunman expresses his views of Yasir Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas. In contrast, the Islamist movement gains. Establishing a bulwark in the Gaza Strip gives it a beachhead at the heart of the Middle East from which to infiltrate Egypt, Israel, and the West Bank. The Hamas triumph also offers a psychological boost for Islamists globally. By the same token, it represents a signal Western defeat in the "war on terror," brutally exposing Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's short-sighted, feckless unilateral-withdrawal policy from Gaza as well as the Bush administration's heedless rush to elections.
A Hamas gunman relaxes in a Fatah facility. The Fatah-Hamas differences concern personnel, approaches, and tactics. They share allies and goals. Tehran arms both Hamas and Fatah. The "moderate" terrorists of Fatah and the bad terrorists of Hamas equally inculcate children with a barbaric creed of "martyrdom." Both agree on eliminating the Jewish state. Neither shows a map with Israel present, or even Tel Aviv. Fatah's willingness to play a fraudulent diplomatic game has lured woolly-minded and gullible Westerners, including Israelis, to invest in it. The most recent folly was Washington's decision to listen to its security coordinator in the region, Lieutenant General Keith Dayton, and send Fatah $59 million in military aid to fight Hamas a policy that proved even more bone-headed when Hamas promptly seized those shipments for its own use. One of these days, maybe, the idiot-savant "peace processors" will note the trail of disasters their handiwork has achieved. Instead of mulishly working to return Fatah and Jerusalem to the bargaining table, they might try focusing on gaining a change of heart among the roughly 80 percent of Palestinians, those still seeking to undo the outcome of the 1948-49 war by defeating Zionism and constructing a 22nd Arab state atop Israel's carcass. Ehud Barak, Israel's brand-new defense minister, reportedly plans to attack Hamas within weeks; but if Jerusalem continues to buoy a corrupt and irredentist Fatah (which Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has just called his "partner"), it only increases the possibility that Hamastan eventually will incorporate the West Bank.
Tensions between Fatah and Hamas are likely to endure and with them, the split between the West Bank and Gaza. The emergence of two rival entities, "Hamastan" and "Fatahland," culminates a long-submerged conflict; noting the two regions' fissiparous tendencies in 2001, Jonathan Schanzer predicted it "would not be all that surprising" were the Palestinian Authority (PA) to divide geographically. Subsequent events did indeed pulled them apart:
Internationally, Fatah and Hamas engaging in war crimes against each other punctures a supreme myth of modern politics Palestinian victimization. Further, as two "Palestines" squabble over control of, say, the United Nations seat granted in 1974 to the Palestine Liberation Organization, they damage a second myth of a Palestinian state. "The Palestinians have come close to putting, by themselves, the last nail in the coffin of the Palestinian cause," the foreign minister Saudi Arabia observes, Saud al-Faisal. A Palestinian journalist notes sarcastically, "The two-state solution has finally worked."
As for Israel, it faces the same existential threat as before. It gains from Hamas's near isolation from the West, from the fractured Palestinian movement, and from its having a single address in Gaza. Also, it benefits from having an enemy, Hamas, overt in its intention to eliminate the Jewish state, rather than dissimulating, like Fatah. (Fatah talks to Jerusalem while killing Israelis, Hamas kills Israelis without negotiations; Fatah is not moderate, but crafty; Hamas is quite purely ideological.) But Israel loses when the fervor, discipline, and stern consistency of totalitarian Islam replace Fatah's incoherent, Arafatian mish-mash.
High Volume. Articles on Israel can also be found by clicking on the Topic or Keyword Israel. or WOT [War on Terror]
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Hamas, an arm of the international Muslim Brotherhood, was the creation of the quadriplegic Sheikh Yassin in 1988. At that time Yassin controlled many if not most of the important mosques in Gaza. He also had the students at Gaza U. The only thing that Hamas did not have, given the Israeli occupation, was the weaponry to impose Hamas rule. When the Israelis left it was only a matter of time bevore Hamas would oust Fatah. Now, the question is: Who will act first to crush Hamas? Israel or Egypt? Egypt cannot afford to have Hamas operating in Gaza and giving and giving hope to Cairo’s Muslim Brotherhood leadership. The Isrealis cannot allow Hamas to control Gaza because it will soon become a nest for the interntional Islamist movement. The next chapter should be written in the next year, and no matter what happens it will probably be opposed by the U.S. State Department.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
This is the only thing Pipes got right...and it's not at all clear how we could go about doing it.
The modern nation state is a Western idea not really applicable to the Muslim Middle East. Arab loyalty is to land , religion, tribe. If Palestine was to revert to Islam and the Arabs, instead of the Turks, owned the land, they would be completely happy, regardless of whether they belonged to a small state or a large empire.
How's this for a start.
GWB never stopped funding the PA, we were supplying over 400 million this year, but hs insisted on the fiction, and now is pleased to be publicly supplying the funds and arms. Among the things we're funding is education.
As a condition of aid, tell Abbas current textbooks have to be recycled into toilet paper. Insist on a non-hate filled curricula and texts. The PA runs the education system, this could be accomplished immediately.
The media is state owned. Beginning tomorrow, no more kill the Jews and death to America. Or no money.
The mosques, same thing.
Abbas can comply, or aid won't be forthcoming.
A start on the next generation.
Next installment, a justice and police system.
Of course this won't happen, this administration will continue to fund hate in the interests of establishing an independent palestinian state by 2008.
It won't happen because the Arabs don't want it to happen and this Administration - or any American Administration - is powerless to force them using only money.
Now there's a land for peace plan that I like which would do the trick; drive the Arabs out of Israel, the West Bank, Gaza, and the Sinai, and threaten to take more, destroy more, unless the Arab world truly absorbed the refugees (no camps) and made real peace with Israel.
It ain't going to happen either. Too many people around the world oppose it and have the clout to prevent it.
So we're going to continue to improvise, compromise, and try to take advantage of opportunity as it arises. Not satisfying...but the best that can be done.
Daniel Pipes is the best Middle East analyst around, period.
BUMP!
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