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Was Immigration Bill a Democratic Trap?
DickMorris.com ^ | June 29, 2007 | Dick Morris

Posted on 07/01/2007 5:13:44 PM PDT by Signalman

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To: Bobkk47
Did fifteen Democrats vote to kill the immigration bill to assure its defeat and guarantee that the Latino vote would go Democrat in the 2008 election?

Huh??? Did I miss the part where the Latino vote has previously gone Republican?

81 posted on 07/01/2007 7:25:21 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: Bobkk47

Dick “Toe Sucker” Morris is all about promoting Dick “Toe Sucker” Morris. He’ll have a new theory in about 10 seconds. And then will be on fox trying to sell another lame book.


82 posted on 07/01/2007 7:26:14 PM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: TopQuark

yep.... I’ve been saying for several years now that our President is out to prove that when you try to be in the middle, and court that 15% that is undecided... you just make the other 85% unhappy with you.


83 posted on 07/01/2007 7:36:00 PM PDT by kjam22 (see me play the guitar here http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noHy7Cuoucc)
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To: Bobkk47

No, because we can’t lose Florida over this. Cubans in South Florida won’t be going with the Democrat, and we actuaally don’t need to win New Mexico. New Mexico is actually the only loss I see from this, and I think this could boost our standing in voter rich union states, like Michigan, that view immigration entirely from a class basis.

I also think this could help us in Pennsylvania. Not so much in Mexican neighborhoods, but once again, amongst labor unions. I think there is going to be rank-and-file labor defection next year, the way there was for Reagan both times. I’ll gladly trade New Mexico for Michigan any day.


84 posted on 07/01/2007 7:38:42 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: Bobkk47

This entire issue is a democratic trap. It’s a reality that all of those Latinos will be voters eventually, and democratic voters they will be. By killing the bill, the republican party and conservative movement will get a slower death, rather than a fast one. I’m afraid the whole country will be just like California within the next 10 years and nothing is going to stop it.


85 posted on 07/01/2007 7:39:29 PM PDT by KoRn (Just Say NO ....To Liberal Republicans - FRED THOMPSON FOR PRESIDENT!)
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To: Sybeck1

And they will lose alot more in 2008. But they value those Hispanic votes above all else.


86 posted on 07/01/2007 7:41:04 PM PDT by sheana
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To: expatpat
“We can be SEEN to have “won it” by bringing at least half of the troops home while the Iraqis successfully handle al-Q. I believe this is the White House plan.”

They need to do it. I meant they need to win it 1 1/2 year before the election which they cannot do. We had better go back to defining the win as we originally did kick Saddam’s butt and get out. And I do not mean half out.

87 posted on 07/01/2007 7:43:06 PM PDT by bilhosty
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To: EQAndyBuzz
If the 15 Democrats didn’t vote against it, the Bill would have gone to the President for signature.

I don't think so. The bill was a trap, but not in the fashion others have said. The Democrats were and are fully aware that if this abomination were to get signed into law, there would be an immediate and massive backlash against those seen as responsible. Because President Bush was behind this bill, the Republicans could be portrayed as responsible if a significant number of them voted for it. But had the Democrats in either house forced it through over unanimous or near-unaninous rejection by Republicans, such portrayal wouldn't work.

If a third of the Republicans could be persuaded to vote for the bill, then it would have been incredibly in the Democrats' best interest to pass it (they get a huge benefit in immigrant votes, while Republicans bear most of the backlash). But without significant Republican acquiescence, the Democrats couldn't pass it without the backlash harming them far more severely than the new voters would help them.

88 posted on 07/01/2007 7:43:16 PM PDT by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
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To: Sybeck1

The legal ones that can vote may very well vote republican because of our stance against amnesty. The legals were mad about it too. Illegals can’t vote.


89 posted on 07/01/2007 7:44:21 PM PDT by dandiegirl
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To: Bobkk47
Did fifteen Democrats vote to kill the immigration bill to assure its defeat and guarantee that the Latino vote would go Democrat in the 2008 election?

In motor voter states, they've already got the illegal immigrant vote (which is primarily latino). I can't imagine any other vote going to the democRATS that isn't there already (deadbeats, lazy people, and a few environazis).

90 posted on 07/01/2007 7:50:06 PM PDT by meyer (It's the entitlements, stupid!)
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To: KoRn

I’m not so sure that liberals actually want Latinos in the Democratic party. It’s true they could help the party win electoral gains, but on certain cultural issues, Latinos, are going to force that party to the right. Mexicans have a traditional view of male/female roles, they are strongly pro-life, they are anti-homosexual, and like blacks, they are going to go with their own leaders, and the homophobic Mexican American leader will always do better than the pro-gay one.

That being said, I think this whole thing is being overstated. Illegals tend to be settling only in certain areas because well, not everywhere in this country actually goes out of their way to accomodate them. And they are not that sophisticated politically. They will go where they can get work and where services accomodate them. If services won’t accomodate them, they won’t move to said area. Our school district doesn’t have bilingual programs, and what a suprise, you don’t see illegals flocking to be here, even though there’s plenty of work for them.

And any attempt to turn the country too far to the left is just going to lead another attempt at secession. If we had not been at, for better or worse, towards the tail end of a 15 year expansion back in 2000, that election might not have ended as peacefully as it did. Our country is more divided than it ever has been, which is why any move to push the country too far one way or another is going to fall flat. The days of broad national programs and landslides are over.


91 posted on 07/01/2007 7:51:04 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: dandiegirl
Illegals can’t vote.

Theoretically. But then, theoretically they can't work in the US, either.......

92 posted on 07/01/2007 7:51:15 PM PDT by expatpat
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To: Earthdweller

And that’s how we can win Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, maybe even have a fighting chance in Illinois.


93 posted on 07/01/2007 7:52:38 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: AzaleaCity5691

Frankly, I don’t know any state that doesn’t have a high number of illegal aliens.


94 posted on 07/01/2007 7:53:26 PM PDT by expatpat
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To: Bobkk47

Well, I would give Dick credit if not for three reasons.

1) A part of him believes they are clever, even if he says he dismisses it.

2) Hispanics already vote in large numbers for Dems.

3) 80% of the country hated that bill, and many of them were the Reagan Dems that gave Republicans AND Democrats majorities!

What is it about these people that leads them to cast aside the most impotant political constituency that has actually proven over and over again they have the ability to make or break majorities? Normal, blue collar, many union working, faith based hard working citizens. Yet both parties are obsessed with a couple extra points from minorities.

I mean, sure, no one should ignore bringing different demogrphics to their side, but if I were a pol, not a conservative or liberal, just a politician I’d plant my campaign flat down on the center of a Reagan Democrat to start with.


95 posted on 07/01/2007 7:57:42 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (MR. BUSH: GET OUT OF REAGAN'S HOUSE!! lackey.)
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To: expatpat

Illegals do not make up a significant portion of the population in any Southern state outside Texas. Yes, they are actually in every state, but, even if legal, their votes would have zero political impact.

The Mexican vote is only important in certain states, they don’t go where they can’t get jobs and accomodations. Migrant laborers, which are the only kind of illegals I even see down here, they don’t settle, and they tend not to bring their families with them, because it’s been made clear that our voters care little about giving them the resources needed to stay here. We don’t even provide money to educate our own kids, so why the hell would we provide money to educate theirs.

The Mexican vote is only of consequence in a few states, and for 2008, the only state I could see us losing because of this is New Mexico, and as I said before, I think the potential gains outweigh the losses here. Look at the Kerry states where his support was not strong. These were all labor union states that send all those socially conservative labor Democrats to Congress. Alot of them will be receptive to us if we rip the national Democrats a new one over this. For the foreseeable future, all elections are going to be a patchwork of states, and rare will be the president who gets more than 300 EV. It’s just the way it’s going be until we have a political realignment.


96 posted on 07/01/2007 8:01:18 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: TopQuark

Demand a border fence! Build it NOW!! Beef up the border patrol and close our borders!

U.S. Senate switchboard: (202) 224-3121

U.S. House switchboard: (202) 225-3121

White House comments: (202) 456-1111

Find your House Rep.: http://www.house.gov/writerep

Find your US Senators: http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm

Toll free to the US Senate:

1-800-882-2005. (Spanish number)
1-800-417-7666. (English number)

Courtesy of a pro-amnesty group, no less!!


97 posted on 07/01/2007 8:03:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Fred Thompson/John Bolton 2008)
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To: Bobkk47
Was it a set up all along? No

See tag line.

98 posted on 07/01/2007 8:20:01 PM PDT by Barnacle (The Emperor has no clothes.)
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To: Bobkk47

If the Republicans put new blood in the races and talk about lowering taxes for the middle and lower class, education for unemployed, bringing back jobs to America, closing the borders, employer sanctions, culture of life issues, they will take the majority of the Republicans and lots of moderate Democrats and independents. They also need to get our military out of Irag and most of the rest of the world and give Tax CREDITS for health care premiums, keep the government out of health care

It is their last chance. Get rid of the Cheneys, the Martinezes, the Guiliannis, the Bushs, the Chertoffs, McCain and on and on and on.

Rebuild America.


99 posted on 07/01/2007 8:20:40 PM PDT by amihow
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To: Bobkk47
Did fifteen Democrats vote to kill the immigration bill to assure its defeat and guarantee that the Latino vote would go Democrat in the 2008 election?...well let's see - if fifteen Democrats voting to kill the bill is what did it in, wouldn't the blame fall on the the Democrats and the votes go the the Republicans? - your analysis is too deep for me, Dick.......
100 posted on 07/01/2007 8:53:08 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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