Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
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Posted on 07/03/2007 6:46:34 AM PDT by RobFromGa
2008 Republican Presidential Primary Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%
After weeks of turmoil and change, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has stabilized.
Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains on top in Rasmussen Reports national polling with 27% support. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is three points behind at 24%.
Thompson has a 16-point advantage over Giuliani among conservatives while Giuliani holds an even larger edge among moderate voters. However, in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination, there are always more conservative voters than moderates.
A separate survey found that Thompson is currently viewed as the most conservative of all GOP candidates. Giuliani remains the best liked candidate. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans now have a favorable opinion of America’s Mayor. Thompson’s numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 12% have an unfavorable view.
This week’s national GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a one-point edge over Arizona Senator John McCain for the fourth time in six weeks. Romney and McCain were tied during the other two weeks. Now, the numbers are 13% for Romney and 12% for McCain.
Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters while 30% have a less flattering opinion. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 40% of Republicans.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore—split 4% of the vote. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.
The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 624 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 25-28, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.
Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.
McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months. Over the past six weeks, his fervent support for the unpopular immigration reform bill may have been the final straw that doomed his campaign. His poll numbers are now closer to Huckabee and Brownback rather than Thompson and Giuliani. Media reports say the Arizona Senator is running very low on cash and has dramatically reduced his campaign staff. Last week, the Senator himself had to deny reports that he’d be out of the race by September.
While the Senate immigration bill hurt McCain and drove President Bush’s Job Approval to new lows, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased last month. That’s the first monthly increase in Republican identification this year. Democrats continue to be trusted more than Republicans on most key issues, but the GOP has regained parity on national security. Among unaffiliated voters, Republicans are preferred on both national security and immigration.
Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. She leads both the national and New Hampshire polls.
I'm sorry, I just don't get this.
Nice....you should post something like this in every other Fred thread (if you’re not already).
Only where it's relevant, typically when I'm making an update based on the content of the article. I'll sometimes post it in other threads when particular state polls are being discussed.
I originally started the project in response to a GNAT who kept claiming that Thompson's nation-wide numbers mean nothing, and only the state results matter. To a certain degree, this is true, of course, as this where the delegates are actually decided. But broad-based national support also has a direct impact on things like fundraising which help make candidates more competitive in key states.
Nonetheless, what I've found is that Thompson's national numbers are a pretty good reflection of his standings in the key early primary states. Some of them lag, but are catching up (e.g., Iowa and New Hampshire). Compare to Guiliani, who's either at the top or at the bottom in most cases, depending on the state, or Romney, who pretty much polls at his national average except in states he's made big expenditures. McCain, of course, is cratering hard, and no longer deserves mention as a "top tier" candidate.
Pretty good for someone not even running. Yet.
We’ll see how Fred does when announces and the MSM and his rivals REALLY tear into him!
Hopefully, he stays on top.
I am in Iowa and I believe Tancredo is on his way up. He was the most popular speaker at the presidential event Sat. in DM given by Iowa Christian Alliance and Iowans for Tax Relief.
Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
WARNING: If you want to join, be aware that this ping list is EXTREMELY active.
They probably just need a nap. :p
Thanks! Did you happen to post this anywhere else on the internets?
:)
Timeout seems to be working well. :)
BTW though I don’t think he has any chance to win the nomination, I predict that Hunter will be the VP choice for Thompson. Hunter will help to will California, and that will be crucial to a winning strategy in November 2008.
BTW though I don’t think he has any chance to win the nomination, I predict that Hunter will be the VP choice for Thompson. Hunter will help to will California, and that will be crucial to a winning strategy in November 2008.
I agree...Tanc is on the rise! T-N-T ‘08
I’m basing my predictions on what I see here in Iowa. Who knows.
Not quite. A flat tax would not be ideal for the following reasons:
Correction: As I’m sure you noticed, points 2-6 refer to the benefits of implementing a FAIR TAX (as opposed to the FLAT TAX).
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