2008 Republican Presidential Primary [Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%]

Rasmussen ^ | July 3, 2007 | Rasmussen poll

[RobFromGa]

2008 Republican Presidential Primary Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%

After weeks of turmoil and change, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has stabilized.

Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains on top in Rasmussen Reports national polling with 27% support. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is three points behind at 24%.

Thompson has a 16-point advantage over Giuliani among conservatives while Giuliani holds an even larger edge among moderate voters. However, in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination, there are always more conservative voters than moderates.

A separate survey found that Thompson is currently viewed as the most conservative of all GOP candidates. Giuliani remains the best liked candidate. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans now have a favorable opinion of America’s Mayor. Thompson’s numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 12% have an unfavorable view.

This week’s national GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a one-point edge over Arizona Senator John McCain for the fourth time in six weeks. Romney and McCain were tied during the other two weeks. Now, the numbers are 13% for Romney and 12% for McCain.

Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters while 30% have a less flattering opinion. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 40% of Republicans.

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore—split 4% of the vote. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.

The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 624 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 25-28, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.

Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months. Over the past six weeks, his fervent support for the unpopular immigration reform bill may have been the final straw that doomed his campaign. His poll numbers are now closer to Huckabee and Brownback rather than Thompson and Giuliani. Media reports say the Arizona Senator is running very low on cash and has dramatically reduced his campaign staff. Last week, the Senator himself had to deny reports that he’d be out of the race by September.

While the Senate immigration bill hurt McCain and drove President Bush’s Job Approval to new lows, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased last month. That’s the first monthly increase in Republican identification this year. Democrats continue to be trusted more than Republicans on most key issues, but the GOP has regained parity on national security. Among unaffiliated voters, Republicans are preferred on both national security and immigration.

Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. She leads both the national and New Hampshire polls.

[RobFromGa]

new poll

[RobFromGa]

for your reading pleasure

[ConservativeMind]

A ping to remind me to continue reading your most excellent profile page.

[org.whodat]

McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months.

Only the liberal press considered McVain a dominant front-runner. the man needs to retire and get a life.

[ontap]

The Ron Paul supporters who were championing his 2% as the beginnings of a blowout will be here shortly to tell us that at this stage polls don’t mean a thing!

[org.whodat]

The man needs to retire and get a life and take Rommey with him.

Small mistake!

[Man50D]

Although Fred hasn't declared his candidacy he has expressed interest in The Fair Tax. Will his followers also support The Fair Tax if Fred supports it? Fair Tax ping!




Well over a hundred FairTaxers came to Columbia, South Carolina yesterday to let former Senator Fred Thompson know that the FairTax is an extremely important issue facing potential presidential candidates.





Amazingly, 140 out of the 300 attendees were FairTax supporters! As a result of this strong showing, the former senator noted several times how he was impressed with the FairTax and also let it be known that the FairTax is an issue he is considering as he prepares for a possible bid for the presidency.





Thanks to all of our hardworking volunteers who made this event a huge success! Now we have to get ready to take our message to Ames, Iowa on August 11th!

[ontap]

You came up with this right off the top of your head huh!

[kevkrom]

Fred Thompson's Latest "Poll Positions"

FReepmail me with updates...

State	Rank	Source	Date
All	1st 2nd [Guiliani] 2nd [Guiliani]	Rasmussen USA Today/Gallup Harris	7/3 6/19 6/14
CA	T-2nd [Guiliani, McCain] 2nd [Guiliani]	Survey USA San Jose State University	7/2 6/25
FL	2nd [Guiliani] 2nd [Guiliani] 1st	Strategic Vision Insider Advanatge Datmar	6/21 6/11 5/23
GA	1st	Strategic Vision	6/26
IA	2nd [Romney] 2nd [Romney] 2nd [Romney]	Strategic Vision Mason Dixon Public Policy Polling	6/26 6/19 6/4
NC	1st	Public Policy Polling	6/7
NH	T-2nd [Romney, Guiliani] 4th [Romney, McCain, Guiliani] 4th [Romney, McCain, Guiliani]	Rasmussen University of New Hampshire Survey Center Mason Dixon	7/3 6/12 6/8
NV	1st 3rd [Romney, Guiliani] 1st	Mason Dixon American Research Group Citizen Outreach/Battle Born News	6/23 6/21 6/19
SC	1st 1st	Mason Dixon Public Policy Polling	6/17 6/4
WA	3rd [Guiliani, McCain]	Survey USA	5/3

Note: I do not include polls from dubious sources (e.g., Quinnipiac), or ones that use poor methodology (e.g., ~300 adults as a sample size).

[RobFromGa]

Thanks for the FairTax spam on a thread that is not about the fraudulent FairTax.

[kevkrom]

Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

True, but the trend has to be disturbing for Romney and his fans -- it's starting to replay Iowa all over again. In Iowa, Romney jumped to a big lead by being the only one out there buying ads. But as Thompson got to be viewed more seriously, Fred moved from 4th through McCain and Guiliani, and then into 2nd by himself. Once that happened, Romney's double-digit lead has shrunk to barely more than the margin of error.

In New Hampshire, again Romney has enjoyed a big early lead (close to home state, ad buys) with Thompson running a distant 4th. But all of a sudden, Thompson starts moving up the pack, passing McCain and tying Guiliani for 2nd. If this keeps up, he'll soon be 2nd by himself and starting to close in on Romney's lead.

[LEARNED FOREVER]

Thompson.27% to 24%. Leading the pack. Hasn't spent a dime. The media calls this a "boomlet." He's also lazy. An Insider-Outsider.

If Hillary, Barak, or any of the other demmie also-rans, had accomplished what Fred D. Thompson has; they would be called brilliant.

[dirtboy]

Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

Howard Dean was well ahead of John Kerry in NH according to December 2003 polls.

[Doofer]

BTTT

[Clara Lou]

So, who’s your candidate, newbie? How do you know Fred Thompson is “lazy”? You must have some inside information. Tell us all about it. It’s good to source what you say.

[ontap]

I believe you miss read his post. He’s trying to make the point that the media is reporting that.

[Turret Gunner A20]

Thanks for the FairTax spam on a thread that is not about the fraudulent FairTax Please give us the sources of some authenticated facts proving your contention that the RairTax proposal is fraudulent.

[Turret Gunner A20]

sPELLING CORRECTION -- FairTax

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

I don’t usually make predictions but I predict Tancredo will be moving up. The three most viable Republicans will be Fred Thompson, Romney and Tancredo.

[RobFromGa]

The first major fabrication is the "keep 100% of your paycheck, and prices will stay the same" lie. (They've since abandoned that promise officially, but still use it to sell the plan to new converts). Then the plan goes downhill from there. For more info, see the links below and/or google "FairTax Fraud":

DEBUNKING THE FairTax:
A Fair Question about Fair Tax
OPEN LETTER TO BOORTZ/LINDER (FairTax)
JORGENSON EXPLODES FAIRTAX MYTH (FR Exclusive)
Fair Tax - Straightening Out Some Confusion
FAIR TAX BOOK- 2nd Ed. Revisions
A FAIRTAX PRIMER