Posted on 07/26/2007 8:40:59 AM PDT by RTO
From Drudge:
Study: Nevada has big temperature gains (AP) Wed Jul 25, 6:43 PM ET
Nevada is among the states with the most dramatic increase in average temperatures the last 30 years, according to a new study that examines the impact of global warming across the country.
The average temperature in Reno from June through August last year was 75.6 degrees, almost 7 degrees above the 30-year average, the U.S. Public Interest Research Group reported. The gap was the biggest measured nationally.
Las Vegas' average temperature last summer was 3.6 degrees above the 30-year average from 1971-2000, while Elko's was 4 degrees above normal and Ely's was 2.1 degrees hotter, the report said. "The scientific evidence of global warming is incontrovertible, and Nevada is feeling the heat more intensely than most of the rest of the U.S," said Stephen M. Rowland, Professor of Geology at University of Nevada, Las Vegas. "Only a tiny bit of this increase in temperature can be attributed to increased urbanization the so-called urban heat-island effect," Rowland continued. "Global warming is here, and we better get serious about confronting it."
According to the National Climatic Data Center, the 2006 summer and 2006 overall were the second warmest on record for the lower 48 states. And 2007 is on track to be the second warmest year on record globally. "Global warming is rewriting the record books in Nevada and across the country," said Jill Bunting, a spokesperson for U.S. PIRG. "Unless our elected officials act now to curb global warming pollution, Nevada will see more severe heat waves that increase the risk for wildfires, drought, and heat-related illnesses," she said.
The new report found Reno's average temperature from 2000 to 2006 was 3.4 degrees above the 30-year average, the second-highest reading in the nation for the period. The environmental advocacy group analyzed temperature data collected from 255 weather stations across the country to examine warming temperatures during recent years compared with historical trends.
Nationally, the average temperature during the summer of 2006 was at least half a degree above the 30-year average at 82 percent of locations studied.
Reno experienced 74 days the temperature hit at least 90 degrees in 2006 — 21 more days than the historical average. The average temperature for all of 2006 was 3.3 degrees above normal in Reno, the report said. The average minimum temperature in Reno last summer — the lowest temperatures recorded on a given day, usually at night — was 59 degrees. That was almost 10 degrees above the normal minimum temperature recorded from 1971 to 2000, again the biggest difference noted nationally.
Warmer nighttime temperatures exacerbate the public health effects of heat waves, since people need cooler nighttime temperatures to recover from excessive heat exposure during the day, the study said.
Las Vegas was second on that list nationally, recording an average minimum temperature of 80.5 degrees last summer — 4.8 degrees above normal. It's average for all of 2006 was 2.8 degrees above normal. Las Vegas' above-average temperatures in 2006 are part of a broader warming trend since 2000. Between 2000 and 2006, the average temperature was 1.7 degrees above the 30-year average in Las Vegas. "Nevadans are starting to understand that global warming is affecting us right now, and that our elected officials need to start making some tough choices to protect our quality of life," said Kyle Davis, the Policy Director for the Nevada Conservation League and a member of the Governor's Climate Change Task Force.
On the Net: U.S. Public Interest Research Group: www.uspirg.org/
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AND NOW, LADIES AND GENTS, THE FACTS: The view from NOAA... www.wrh.noaa.gov/vef/climate/figure8.php
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Tempest In A Teapot INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY Posted 7/25/2007
Global Warming: A private firm's downgrade of its hurricane forecast raises an obvious question: If scientists can't get near-future projections in a limited area right, how can they predict the climate decades from now? A reasonable response is: They can't. But the global warming climate of fear did not blow in on the soft breezes of reason, but by the storm winds of emotion.
Forecaster WSI Corp. said Tuesday that the season ending Nov. 30 will bring 14 named storms, six of which will grow into hurricanes, three of them major. WSI's initial forecast was for 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and four majors.
Why the change? "Because," said WSI forecaster Todd Crawford, "ocean temperatures have not yet rebounded from the significant drop in late spring."
Could it be that the 2007 hurricane season is turning out to be as overrated as 2006? Remember last year's predictions — that we were in for a brutal spell of storms? It had been quiet, they said, and we were due for a series of Katrina-like hurricanes. But as we wrote last November, as the much-dreaded '06 season whimpered to a close, the storm year came in like a lamb and went out the same way.
For years, the Greenshirts have told us that emissions of carbon dioxide resulting from man's addiction to fossil fuel-based energy are turning the planet into a sweltering hothouse. The United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change has projected a temperature increase of 2 to 11.5 degrees Fahrenheit for the 21st century due to the greenhouse effect. As a result, alarmists say, ice caps will melt, glaciers will thaw and sea levels will rise as much as 20 feet, causing floods and death in low-lying areas. Storms are also predicted to increase in both frequency and intensity.
To prevent this coming Category 5 cataclysm, we're supposed to shell out trillions of dollars and gladly adopt Spartan lifestyles. Instead of trying, as their grandparents did, to see how many bodies they can squeeze into a telephone booth, today's college kids are expected to see how many they can get in a Prius.
Yet the fact remains: The local weatherman can't forecast more than about 10 days out, and neither can the experts tell us how warm, or cool, the planet is going to be in 2100, 2075 or even 2050. Even short-term predictions have been off. James Hansen, NASA scientist, predicted a 0.45-degree Celsius (0.81-degree Fahrenheit) rise in global temperature from 1988 to 1997. But in reality (a place environmental activists rarely visit) the increase was a mere 0.11-degree Celsius.
We hope no one in Hansen's neighborhood relies on him to tell them when it's going to rain or when they'll need a coat and hat.
Setting aside the hubristic notion that alarmists know what the right temperature is, too many other factors besides the greenhouse effect influence climate for them to declare they know exactly, or even approximately, what's coming. Solar activity, for instance, is among the most powerful, as are the El Nino and La Nina phenomena.
We also question the concept of a "global" temperature. How could such a thing be measured when weather stations dot rather than blanket the Earth? Danish physicist Bjarne Andresen, a professor at the University of Copenhagen, made sense earlier this year when he said it's "impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth. "A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system (and) climate is not governed by a single temperature," he said. "Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. , which make up the climate."
The formula for a climate of fear, though, requires nothing more than a lot of thunder and a bit of heat generated by political activists.
**** Peru cold snap kills 70 children Story from BBC NEWS: news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-...916717.stm Published: 2007/07/25 22:58:13 GMT
At least 70 children have died during a spell of freezing weather in the Andean regions of Peru, officials have said. The children, all under five years old, died of pneumonia and other respiratory illnesses over the past three months. They lived in rural areas at high altitude, where temperatures in some cases are reported to have plummeted to as low as -20C (-4F).
Peruvian Health Minister Carlos Vallejos said almost 2,000 medics had been deployed in the affected areas. He told the BBC he expected the situation to get worse before it improves.
The National Civil Defence Institute (Indeci) has launched a campaign to provide clothing and shelter to the worst affected areas. The institute's General Luis Salomino said he had collected 300 metric tons of clothes and other supplies from businesses, individuals and government departments in the capital, Lima.
Forecasters in Peru are predicting the cold spell will continue until September. Even low-lying jungle regions are facing unusually cold weather, with temperatures dropping to 10C (50F). Many adults have also died during the harsh winter, and thousands of people are suffering from pneumonia and other respiratory infections.
RTO
What's the matter? They couldn't find a credentialed climatoloigst to say the same thing?
>Study: Nevada has big temperature gains (AP) Wed Jul 25, 6:43 PM ET<
Early last winter, our weather man said that the El Nino` winds from the equator would be coming this summer. When something is that predictable and the global warming idiots jump on it, they don’t impress me.
An inconvenient weather report
And this is after some very cool temperatures in May and June, too.
SHHHHHHHHHHH!!! The hurricane god is sleeping, do not wake her, damnit!
Dutifully attached to this keyword:
KEYWORD: PREDICTIONS
Just to see if the prognosticators nail it...
or “screw the pooch”.
climatologist, I mean
They are looking at Reno and Vegas, which are two cities that are growing very rapidly.
Ever heard of urban heat mass?
The same thing has been going on in Phoenix for decades. It used to cool off at night in Phoenix during the summer, but not any more! All that concrete, asphalt and rock landscaping absorbs a lot of warmth during the sunny hours and radiates it at night.
Wake me when they develop a climate model that can accurately predict the climate of the last century.
Well, there go the Nevada glacier fields.
With all the nuclear testing in Vegas during “The Great War” how can anyone say it’s hotter?
A question for conservatives:
Where in the writings of Aristotle, The Bible, Locke, Hobbes, Madison, Burke, Smith, Kirk and Friedman does it say or imply that human activity can’t cause global changes in temperature?
The easy answer would be “nowhere, but they don’t address how to handle Afghanistan either.” The difference is that we can use conservative ideas such as national interest to guide us in Afghanistan. We can’t use conservative ideas to say that global warming isn’t occurring.
The honest answer is that conservativism is based on the principles of looking at the data, making a rational analysis, having a respect for tradition, and holding forth freedom and individual autonomy as things to be valued. We can apply these core principles to say how we want to deal with global warming.
We can not use these principles to say man-made global warming is not occurring. Having studied the data and read many articles on both sides, I have come to the conclusion that man-made global warming is probably occurring and we need to take steps to address the problem.
I want to use conservative principles to help formulate the steps we should take. For example, a tax on gasoline (with cuts in taxes elsewhere) is an imposition on freedom, but it is less of an imposition on freedom than rationing fuel or restricting the types of vehicles one can buy. We may be forced to pick the least worst option.
Our rationale should not be “conservative principles show that man-made global warming is not happening.” Our rationale should be “given that man-made global warming is a potentially serious threat, how can we use conservative principles to best address the problem?”
LAS VEGAS IS HOTTER THEN IT HAS BEEN IN THE LAST 30 YEARS!!! Why do they say this -- BECAUSE VEGAS IS COLDER THAN IT WAS IN THE 1940'S!!!!
So, if they go back any furthur than the 60's they find out Global Warming is a complete and total myth.
Perhaps the problem is that “they” have miscalculated the correction for the urbanization “heat island” effect.
Over the years in discussion, hasn’t NV had the highest growth rate in the US?
I went to Elko, NV on the NOAA web site at random, and found this...
SXUS75 KLKN 251733 CCA RERLKN RECORD EVENT REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV 1032 AM PDT WED JUL 25 2007 ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURE SET AT ELKO... ...ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH MINIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURE STILL STANDS... JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT STANDARD TIME YESTERDAY...THE TEMPERATURE AT ELKO REGIONAL AIRPORT FELL TO 69 DEGREES...WHICH WAS RECORDED AS THE LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE DAY. THIS SET A RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT ELKO FOR THE DATE...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 66 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1929. THE LOW TEMPERATURE OF 69 DEGREES YESTERDAY IS ALSO THE SECOND HIGHEST MINIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDED AT ELKO IN THE MODERN ERA...WHICH IS CONSIDERED TO HAVE BEGUN WHEN THE NWS BEGAN OBSERVING AT ELKO REGIONAL AIRPORT IN DECEMBER 1930. HOWEVER...YESTERDAY`S LOW TEMPERATURE OF 69 DEGREES DID NOT SET A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH MINIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURE. THE PREVIOUS ALL-TIME RECORD OF 73 DEGREES SET ON JULY 13 IN 1897 STILL STANDS. THE MODERN PERIOD RECORD OF 71 DEGREES FROM JULY 28 IN 1931 ALSO STILL STANDS.
Note that they are really only using records from 1930, and basically ignoring earlier numbers, but will grudgingly admit to them. The earlier data is not mentioned in the newspaper report linked above...
Even in the 1800’s mecrury thermometers were quite accurate once calibrated and marked....
There's a group that's been marketing liberalism for over 30 years.
Same with NE OH. I told my husband last night as we went to bed with open windows and ceiling fan OFF that this has been the summer of my dreams.
I think we’ve turned on the AC once for two days. Gotta love a July electric bill that looks pretty much the same as December.
Don't need "conservative principals" to prove what the historical record already proves. The earth goes through Cooling and warming cycles. It is a natural occurance and man cannot cause it or stop it.
Is the earth warmer than it was 30 years ago? yes it is. but it is cooler than it was 60 years ago.
It is substantially warmer than in was 500 years ago, but substantially cooler than it was 1000 years ago.
Data works just fine, political agendas or prinicipals need not apply.
There seems to be a myopia epidemic sweeping the world...
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