They dye their beards black, we dye our MOABs orange, with racing stripes.
Posted on 09/08/2007 11:48:23 AM PDT by MaestroLC
WASHINGTON - Intelligence experts scouring the latest video of Osama bin Laden for clues warned on Saturday that his message offers hints that Al-Qaeda is planning another attack on US interests.
In his first video appearance in three years, the elusive Al-Qaeda chief mocks the United States as "weak" and vows to escalate fighting in Iraq, all the while using language similar to the kind used ahead of other past attacks.
At times, bin Laden speaks directly to Americans, using plain language that "appears to be crafted in a way as to be understood by the average person on the street in Europe or in the US," said intelligence analyst Ben Venzke.
The latest video "contains phrases ... which serve as indicators that OBL's message is part of Al-Qaeda's efforts to fulfill its requirements to provide warning and a chance for the enemy to change its ways before executing an attack," Venzke said.
However, the message, delivered days ahead of the sixth anniversary of the September 11, 2001 attacks on the United States in which 3,000 people were killed, gives no clues "to indicate when an attack ... would be attempted," he said.
The language, saying peace will befall "he who follows the guidance," mirrors that used in bin Laden's "European truce offer" of April 2004 in which he said: "Peace upon those who followed the right path."
The similarity in terms is important because the 2004 message appealing to Europeans to change their ways was the final message aimed specifically at Europeans before the July 2005 bombings in London which killed 52 people, said Venzke of the Virginia-based Intel Center.
In the video, bin Laden also discusses current events but issues no direct threats, and offers two ways of ending the Iraq war, according to a transcript released by the US-based SITE Intelligence Group which monitors Islamic militant websites.
"The first is from our side, and it is to continue to escalate the killing and fighting against you," he says.
The second is to do away with the US democratic system of government, which he says merely serves the interests of major corporations.
"Your security is in your own hands. And every state that doesn't play with our security has automatically guaranteed its own security," he says, adding: Allah is our Guardian and helper, while you have no guardian or helper."
Bin Laden appears in the video with a trimmed beard that is apparently dyed black, hiding the streaks of gray seen in previous footage, and wears a beige cloak over a white robe.
According to Azzam Tamimi, head of the London-based Institute of Islamic Political Thought, the beard dye is a "sign of war."
The rigorous Salafi Islamic school to which bin Laden belongs "condones this dye only in preparation for war," he said.
A US intelligence official speaking on condition of anonymity said agencies believe the video is authentic and was produced as recently as August because of a reference to the 62nd anniversary of the bombing of Hiroshima on August 6.
"I think people are pretty confident it is his voice," the official said.
Prior to this release, the last video message from bin Laden, who has a 25-million-dollar US bounty on his head, came in October 2004, while a CIA-authenticated audio clip was posted on the Internet in May 2006.
CIA Director Michael Hayden on Friday also warned that Al-Qaeda was planning new, large-scale attacks on US targets.
"Our analysts assess with high confidence that Al-Qaeda's central leadership is planning high impact plots against the American homeland," Hayden said.
In the rambling message, bin Laden mocks the United States for its troubles in Iraq and the effect of the September 11, 2001 attacks.
"Despite America being the greatest economic power and possessing the most powerful and up-to-date military arsenal as well ... 19 young men were able -- by the grace of Allah, the most high -- to change the direction of its compass," he said in a reference to the September 11 hijackers.
"America is weak despite its apparent strength," he says.
Believed to be hiding in the remote tribal areas along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, bin Laden verbally attacks US President George W. Bush as well as the US Democratic Party, which he says has done little to halt the Iraq war.
Bush, in turn, used the video to support the US military presence in Iraq.
"If Al-Qaeda bothers to mention Iraq, it's because they want to achieve their objectives in Iraq, which is to drive attacks and develop a safe haven," Bush said.
Addressing the American people directly, bin Laden refers to domestic opposition to the Iraq war.
"The world is following your news in regards to your invasion of Iraq, for people have recently come to know that, after several years of tragedies of this war, the vast majority of you want it stopped."
He says the Democrats who now control the US Congress have failed to stop the war, and even "continue to agree to the spending of tens of billions to continue the killing and war there."
Bin Laden also refers to recent US headline stories, referring to "the burden of interest-related debts, insane taxes and real estate mortgages; global warming and its woes."
"To conclude," he says, "I invite you to embrace Islam."
Even the shape of the eyes is different.
You still hear that phrase in the Middle East. Regularly. ;-)
Anyone else have doubts that the person on the video tape is not Bin Laden? The guy had different eyes and a much broader nose than I remember Bin Laden having. His skin color appeared somewhat different too, a bit darker and more olive than tan. I haven’t heard the audio tape, so I can’t speak to that.
Nah, he's just actually very good at playing the liberals like a violin.
I invite islam to bite me
They dye their beards black, we dye our MOABs orange, with racing stripes.
See the sag? Looks like he’s had a stroke.
Anyone know his dailykos screen name? Maybe I'll look for a screen name that never uses four-letter words. That'll narrow it down to a couple, maybe. Wonder if OBL takes part in the conference calls with the Congressional Rat Party (formerly the traditional, patriotic Democratic Party)?
Ron Paul’s got his white flag ready......
Thanks, I was thinking of you as I read it...............
"The “new” osama sure looks a lot like “Bert” from sesame street.
~~newfreep
I don't think it's him.
My guess would be as soon as possible after Hillary is inaugurated and has her cabinet put together so there's no chance of any payback for an attack.
Well, isn’t he activating terrorist cells in the US? He talked of Hiroshima...big sign of a nuke attack. He really wasn’t rambling...NYC [capitalism] DC [democracy] Houston, TX [energy/oil/gas] LA [hollywood culture]...hope and pray they’re stopped...
Many folks are getting fooled by differences in lighting, in the particular configuration of his facial muscles happened to be arranged at the moment in time when the shot was taken.
A more rigorous approach would be to compare several still shots. Pixel-by-pixel compares are [u][b]NOT ACCEPTABLE[/b][/u] because the only way they can work is with identical expression, identical lighting, identical camera angle, distance, and exposure. No, the far more powerful and intelligent resources of the human brain are required for such a comparison; a computer is not good enough (unless it’s a highly specialized police program for comparing suspects, simulating aging, etc. - and even then, the component of the human mind in the comparison is still necessary.)
Looking at the relative position, shape, and size of the eyes, the nose, the mouth, this is the same old bin Laden. Differences are the lighting, his dyed beard, his expression, the phoneme he happened to be uttering at the moment the shot took, and most importantly, he has RECOVERED from his kidney disorder and perhaps gained a little weight back as a result; he is healthier.
Hey Ossama! I invite you to embrace a Daisy cutter.
I agree. It’s very hard to see, but the ears may be different as well.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.