Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

If you want to see Fred Thompson close up, get a button
Savannah Morning News ^ | 10/14/07

Posted on 10/13/2007 11:58:11 PM PDT by ansel12

The late-starting Fred Thompson presidential campaign has surfaced in Savannah with something very low-tech:

Campaign buttons.

State Sen. Eric Johnson, a leading local backer of the former U.S. senator from Tennessee, has been sporting one on his lapel.

And Chatham County Commissioner David Gellatly, the Republican candidate's local chairman, has been handing them out.

He and Commissioner Patrick Farrell wore the buttons - which depict the candidate - at the commission's last meeting.

But, except for an event or two open only to folks who ante up $1,000 or so, don't expect to see much of Thompson in Savannah.

For Thompson, more so than some other candidates, South Carolina, which holds its GOP primary Jan. 19, matters most.

The reason: It's his only solid prospect for a victory in any of the momentum-building early contests.

Most surveys show former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney way ahead in New Hampshire, where Republicans vote Jan. 22.

And Romney leads in Iowa, where the Jan. 14 caucuses are considered the kickoff of the nomination process.

He and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani are the frontrunners in Michigan, which holds its primary the next day.

Ditto for Nevada, which holds its caucuses Jan. 19.

Most polls suggest Thompson not only is behind - but also far behind - in three of the four states.

His campaign takes heart from the Rasmussen polls. Based on responses from people considered "likely voters," they show him doing better in most states than the other polls, but usually still trailing.

The other major trend-building contest is Jan. 29 in delegate-rich Florida.

Giuliani has a big lead there and most samplings indicate Thompson isn't close. One of his best showings was in a recent Rasmussen poll that had him down by 6 percentage points.

Like those of the other candidates, the Thompson campaign has done its best to spin the numbers.

For example, it notes that the GOP delegate allocation formula favors him. That's because the Republicans award bonus delegates to states President Bush carried in 2004; Thompson is doing well in most of them.

One, of course, is Georgia, where he leads the GOP field by a wide margin, or so the polls say.

But, by the time voters in the Peach State and about 20 others get around to casting ballots Feb. 5, none of that may matter.

Certainly not if one of the other candidates looks like he's driving a steamroller - or if Thompson looks like he's getting steamrollered.

At least some voters - often enough to matter - shy away from candidates who look like they're out of the hunt.

And speaking of Feb. 5, voters in populous states with big blocs of delegates - such as New York, California, New Jersey and Pennsylvania - will have their say.

Surveys show that Giuliani leads in all of them - mostly by wide margins. Thompson isn't doing well in any of them.

Thompson's standing seems unlikely to be much affected by his first performance last week in a GOP candidate debate.

After looking a bit stiff at first, he was relaxed, sometimes funny and sharper than in some of his early campaign appearances. But the two-hour face-off was dominated by wrangling between Romney and Giuliani, who looked a little tougher on the boards.

So back to the bottom line: Thompson needs an early win. And South Carolina is his best shot.

Although polls indicate Romney is gaining there, and one found him near the front of the pack, others show Thompson leading.

So Thompson might do a quick stop in Savannah if he can schedule it on the same day he stumps in, say Bluffton, Beaufort or Hilton Head Island.

On the other hand, if he carries South Carolina, Thompson still might not spend much time in Georgia.

Following a victory in the Palmetto state, his Georgia numbers likely would remain solid. And his strategists probably would conclude that his time would be better spent elsewhere.

As he pushes hard in South Carolina, he also likely will launch a blitz in Iowa, where at least one poll shows him closing in.

If he does, that leaves even less time for him to stump in Georgia.

So if you want to see Fred, maybe the best way is to hit up Gellatly for one of those buttons.

It could be the closest look you'll get.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fredthompson; georgia; primary; republican

1 posted on 10/13/2007 11:58:14 PM PDT by ansel12
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ansel12

And speaking of Feb. 5, voters in populous states with big blocs of delegates - such as New York, California, New Jersey and Pennsylvania - will have their say.

Very difficult to take this article seriously when they don’t even know when the Pennsylvania Primary is. We don’t vote until April 22! Long after the candidate is named. It always amazes me that authors don’t fact check.


2 posted on 10/14/2007 12:54:42 AM PDT by napscoordinator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
IMHO, the day of factually accurate, grammatically correct and spelling error free reporting is long past.
3 posted on 10/14/2007 1:17:44 AM PDT by upchuck (Hildabeaste as Prez... unimaginable, devastating misery!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ansel12
Bump!

IT'S A FRED VETS BUTTON!!

http://Vets4Fred.net It's time for Vets to sign up!

4 posted on 10/14/2007 3:44:21 AM PDT by W04Man (I'm Now With Fred http://Vets4Fred.net)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: W04Man

Even more FRedstuff





















5 posted on 10/14/2007 5:50:40 AM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

FNC and the rest of the Dinosaur media is pushing 10% polling of thompson in New Hampshire.

It is all about coronating Guiliani.


6 posted on 10/14/2007 6:02:55 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: longtermmemmory
It is all about coronating Guiliani.

Hildabeast, New York
Rudith, New York

Just how will the vast majority of the nation treat their responsibility to vote in such an election? They will not give a damn about voting and Hildabeast wins. Because what will be going through the minds of the conservative base when they hear the name Giuliani? Let's just tale a look...

(MSM talking head) Rudy Tootie is Grrrrreat! Vote for Rudy!


Do you mean the strong talking / good delivery / charismatic / strong in the "polls" Rudy?


Perhaps this Rudith?


Maybe this one?


How about `ol Stonwall Rudi?

New York City 2001 Gay Pride Parade It was less than three months before the unknowing and horrific September 11th, 2001, attacks (that's two) on New York City, that N.Y.C. Mayor Rudy Giuliani hosted his "8th Annual Gay Pride Celebration" at Gracie Mansion in Manhattan, New York. It was held on Thursday, June 21, 2001, and for the first time, at the perennial urging of S.V.A. President Williamson Henderson, and a few others, it was held not as an early morning breakfast but as an evening cocktail party.







Soooo,

Hildabeast, New York
Rudith, New York

Majority America will not give a damn about voting for the homo hugger and Hildabeast wins.



BTW, I am at work right now and CNN is totally trashing Thompson, title is "AN ACTORS'S STAGE DEBUT " subtitles are "set the bar low, the talking heads are bubbling "he blew his chance because he did not get into the Mittwitt-Rudith catfight, etc etc."

Just before the hit piece they were breathlessly discussing how American loves a "comeback story" and gushing over a, get this, Al Gore rerun.

NOW they are whining `cause the dems got caught exploiting 12 year old Graham Forest so now the conservatives are "inaccurate and mean-spirited."

And CNN actually calls this one hour segment "RELIABLE SOURCES."

HAHAHAHAHAHA!

7 posted on 10/14/2007 8:01:09 AM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: TLI

NOBODY should sit out the primaries.

Perhaps what we need is a list of primary dates.


8 posted on 10/14/2007 8:25:30 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator; BlackElk
Very difficult to take this article seriously when they don’t even know when the Pennsylvania Primary is. We don’t vote until April 22! Long after the candidate is named.

Don't be so sure. This racing to the front of the line might blow up in everybody's face.

In '76, there were only two candidates who won any states, Reagan and Ford. That race went to the wire.

Now imagine this, Romney wins Iowa, with Huckabee and Thompson close behind. New Hampshire, being contrary, backs Giuliani over Romney. Romney wins Michigan. Thompson edges out Giuliani in Florida, with both skunking Romney. On February 5, California goes for Giuliani, the South goes for Thompson, except Arkansas, which backs Huckabee. Arizona goes McCain. Connecticut and New Jersey goes Giuliani. Thompson wins Oklahoma and North Dakota. Romney wins Utah and Idaho. Giuliani wins CT. Thompson wins Alaska. etc. etc.

If the delegates get split 40-40-20, or even 45-35-20, it gets interesting. Certain states that award proportional delegates might even give the Huckabees and McCains more clout than you'd expect.

Unless some horse trading happens before April 22, the Pennsylvania primary would become absolutely critical for Giuliani to win, and win big. Thompson would have to make a decent showing outside the south and rural locales.
9 posted on 10/14/2007 8:32:25 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (Not a newbie, just wanted a new screen name.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator; BlackElk
Very difficult to take this article seriously when they don’t even know when the Pennsylvania Primary is. We don’t vote until April 22! Long after the candidate is named.

Don't be so sure. This racing to the front of the line might blow up in everybody's face.

In '76, there were only two candidates who won any states, Reagan and Ford. That race went to the wire.

Now imagine this, Romney wins Iowa, with Huckabee and Thompson close behind. New Hampshire, being contrary, backs Giuliani over Romney. Romney wins Michigan. Thompson edges out Giuliani in Florida, with both skunking Romney. On February 5, California goes for Giuliani, the South goes for Thompson, except Arkansas, which backs Huckabee. Arizona goes McCain. Connecticut and New Jersey goes Giuliani. Thompson wins Oklahoma and North Dakota. Romney wins Utah and Idaho. Giuliani wins CT. Thompson wins Alaska. etc. etc.

If the delegates get split 40-40-20, or even 45-35-20, it gets interesting. Certain states that award proportional delegates might even give the Huckabees and McCains more clout than you'd expect.

Unless some horse trading happens before April 22, the Pennsylvania primary would become absolutely critical for Giuliani to win, and win big. Thompson would have to make a decent showing outside the south and rural locales.
10 posted on 10/14/2007 8:32:58 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (Not a newbie, just wanted a new screen name.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson