Posted on 10/19/2007 9:06:54 AM PDT by Ancesthntr
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday continues to show Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson on top in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giuliani is now supported by 24% of Likely Republican Primary Voters while Fred Thompson is the top choice for 21%. Mitt Romney is the favorite for 14% while John McCain is at 11% and Mike Huckabee has 8% support from Likely Republican Primary Voters. (see recent daily numbers).
New survey data released today shows that GOP voters are no longer certain that Giuliani is the most electable candidate. While 66% say he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated, nearly as many say the same about Thompson. Overall, however, Republicans are far less confident of victory than Democrats.
The top three GOP contenders—Giuliani, Thompson, and Romney—are all viewed favorably by 63% of Republican voters. Earlier in the year, Giuliani was clearly the most popular of the three among Republicans. (see history). Now, Giuliani is viewed unfavorably by 35% of Republicans, more than either Thompson (23%) or Romney (27%).
Among all voters, Giuliani is viewed favorably by just 48% (see history). That’s the fifth straight week below the 50% mark for a man who began the year viewed favorably by roughly seven-out-of-ten voters (see key stats for all Republican candidates).
John McCain is viewed favorably by 54% of Republicans voters and unfavorably by 42%. While Republicans have their doubts about McCain, he continues to do well in general election polling against Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton. For Huckabee, the numbers are 38% favorable and 41% unfavorable. Huckabee is doing well in Iowa caucus polling but roughly 60% of those who support all leading candidates say they might change their mind before the caucus day.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I agree. A liberal like Rudy will never unite the Party. We need a CONSENSUS conservative that the UNITE the Party—while ENERGIZING the base! Fred can do that, Rudy cannot.
Rudy’s moving down. Fred’s staying the same for the moment. We’ll see what happens. I expect fireworks on Sunday.
Fred was leading Guiliani in Rass’ tracking polls for months. He’s been steadily dropping since his announcement, as far as I can tell.
A daily tracking poll is breaking news now?
Even if we like what it says, putting a lot of stock in a single day’s result of Rasmussen is a fool’s errand. If you live and die by the ebb and flow of polls, you’ll only succeed in making yourself miserable.
Morris was On the “Look at me I’m O’Reilly Factor” yesterday and was hammering Thompson and predicting that conservatives would flock to Huckabee.
I guess that’s possible if all the conservative voters suddenly decide that they agree with Huckabee’s position that granting Amnesty to illegals is God’s will.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/most_electable_republican_candidate
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 66% of Republicans believe that Giuliani at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That’s down from 72% a month ago.
Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republican voters now say that Fred Thompson is at least somewhat likely to win in nominated. That’s up from 57% last month.
The gap between Giuliani and Thompson virtually disappears at a higher level of confidence—23% of Republican voters say that Giuliani is Very Likely to win if nominated while 22% say the same about Thompson.
Being seen as the most electable candidate is important for Giuliani because two-thirds of Republican voters see him as politically moderate or liberal. Thompson is seen as the most conservative candidate in the field.
Not true. He lead briefly in June or so. After declaring, he got a big bounce and lead for a while. Then, he dropped steadily, after an onslaught of media attacks from both the left and the right. He then bounced back up a bit after the debate and has been holding steady since.
Huckabee is going up, too. He has support of 8%. Two months ago, he had 2%. That’s good news for conservatives. Two of the last three republican presidents were governors. Huckabee was a governor longer than Bush & Romney, combined. One former republican U.S. senator was elected president, Nixon, in 1968.
Yes, what exactly is breaking news anyway if this qualifies????
Probably not. The sub-poll of Giuliani no longer being considered the "only" candidate to have a chance to win the general election, however, is good news -- as that's the only thing keeping Giuliani in this race.
Fred is MIA. Even the MSM frequently remarks that he disappears for long stretches. His candidacy is going nowhere. A leader need to emerge soon or we are screwed!
You trust those weasels? For example, as CNN was running a "where's Fred" bash session, he was actually on the air across the dial on Fox with Cavuto, before addressing the NY Conservative Party later that evening.
The media will perpetuate the "lazy Fred" myth, regardless of the facts, and it's depressing that FReepers are falling for it.
I watch Fox between 6 and 7PM and that’s it - I am not a fan of that station. If Fox is his only venue, that explains why he is MIA to so many of us.
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Republican Candidates
|
Democratic Candidates
|
||||||||
|
Date |
Thompson |
Giuliani |
Romney |
McCain |
Huckabee |
Date |
Clinton |
Obama |
Edwards |
|
10/15/07 |
19% |
29% |
14% |
10% |
7% |
10/15/07 |
46% |
23% |
11% |
|
10/08/07 |
22% |
23% |
15% |
10% |
6% |
10/08/07 |
42% |
26% |
12% |
|
10/01/07 |
25% |
23% |
13% |
10% |
6% |
10/01/07 |
42% |
22% |
14% |
|
09/24/07 |
26% |
22% |
12% |
14% |
6% |
09/24/07 |
39% |
25% |
14% |
|
09/17/07 |
28% |
19% |
11% |
13% |
5% |
09/17/07 |
40% |
21% |
15% |
|
09/10/07 |
24% |
23% |
13% |
12% |
6% |
09/10/07 |
43% |
23% |
14% |
|
09/03/07 |
20% |
25% |
13% |
11% |
5% |
09/03/07 |
38% |
21% |
16% |
|
08/27/07 |
23% |
24% |
13% |
12% |
5% |
08/27/07 |
39% |
23% |
16% |
|
08/20/07 |
21% |
25% |
14% |
12% |
4% |
08/20/07 |
41% |
23% |
13% |
|
08/13/07 |
22% |
27% |
14% |
10% |
4% |
08/13/07 |
40% |
25% |
13% |
|
08/06/07 |
24% |
25% |
14% |
11% |
3% |
08/06/07 |
44% |
22% |
13% |
|
07/30/07 |
25% |
25% |
12% |
11% |
X |
07/30/07 |
41% |
24% |
14% |
|
07/23/07 |
26% |
21% |
12% |
11% |
X |
07/23/07 |
38% |
25% |
14% |
|
07/16/07 |
24% |
23% |
12% |
12% |
X |
07/16/07 |
38% |
25% |
13% |
|
07/12/07 |
25% |
24% |
12% |
12% |
X |
07/12/07 |
38% |
26% |
13% |
|
07/03/07 |
27% |
24% |
13% |
12% |
X |
07/02/07 |
39% |
26% |
13% |
|
06/26/07 |
27% |
23% |
12% |
11% |
X |
06/25/07 |
37% |
25% |
13% |
|
06/19/07 |
28% |
27% |
10% |
10% |
X |
06/18/07 |
38% |
27% |
16% |
|
06/12/07 |
24% |
24% |
11% |
11% |
X |
06/11/07 |
37% |
25% |
11% |
|
06/05/07 |
17% |
23% |
15% |
14% |
X |
06/04/07 |
34% |
26% |
15% |
|
05/29/07 |
12% |
25% |
15% |
15% |
X |
05/28/07 |
35% |
26% |
14% |
|
05/22/07 |
14% |
26% |
15% |
18% |
X |
05/21/07 |
35% |
25% |
18% |
|
05/15/07 |
15% |
25% |
12% |
18% |
X |
05/14/07 |
35% |
33% |
14% |
|
05/08/07 |
16% |
25% |
12% |
17% |
X |
05/07/07 |
34% |
26% |
16% |
|
05/01/07 |
14% |
30% |
11% |
14% |
X |
04/30/07 |
30% |
32% |
17% |
|
04/24/07 |
12% |
28% |
10% |
15% |
X |
04/23/07 |
32% |
32% |
17% |
|
04/17/07 |
13% |
33% |
12% |
19% |
X |
04/16/07 |
32% |
30% |
16% |
|
04/10/07 |
14% |
27% |
12% |
16% |
X |
04/09/07 |
34% |
29% |
15% |
|
04/03/07 |
14% |
26% |
8% |
16% |
X |
04/02/07 |
33% |
26% |
17% |
|
03/27/07 |
X |
35% |
8% |
15% |
X |
03/26/07 |
37% |
25% |
17% |
|
03/20/07 |
X |
33% |
10% |
15% |
X |
03/19/07 |
35% |
30% |
11% |
|
03/13/07 |
X |
37% |
10% |
16% |
X |
03/12/07 |
38% |
26% |
15% |
|
03/06/07 |
X |
34% |
9% |
19% |
X |
03/05/07 |
34% |
26% |
15% |
|
02/27/07 |
X |
33% |
10% |
17% |
X |
02/26/07 |
37% |
26% |
13% |
|
02/20/07 |
X |
33% |
8% |
19% |
X |
02/19/07 |
28% |
24% |
11% |
|
02/14/07 |
X |
32% |
8% |
18% |
X |
02/12/07 |
28% |
23% |
13% |
|
02/06/07 |
X |
27% |
9% |
19% |
X |
02/05/07 |
34% |
18% |
10% |
|
01/29/07 |
X |
29% |
8% |
19% |
X |
01/29/07 |
33% |
19% |
10% |
|
01/23/07 |
X |
30% |
10% |
22% |
X |
01/22/07 |
31% |
24% |
12% |
|
01/18/07 |
X |
28% |
8% |
20% |
X |
01/17/07 |
22% |
21% |
15% |
I don't believe they are "falling for it". They are purposely perpetuating it because they are supporting a different agenda/candidate.
“Morris was On the “Look at me I’m O’Reilly Factor” yesterday and was hammering Thompson and predicting that conservatives would flock to Huckabee.”
Huckabee is *NOT* a good fiscal conservative.
He couldn’t give a straight answer as to whether he would stand with Bush in vetoing the Democrat s-chip bill.
Romney will be a more conservative President than Huckabee.
I take some comfort in the fact that Morris is usually wrong.
He’s not MIA — the MSM is lying and saying he’s MIA -— there’s a difference.
Heck, did you miss the speech at the Family Values deal? Thompson was on fire.
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