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THE NEW MATH OF OIL: High energy prices are not always bad...
CNN.com ^ | October 31 2007 | Geoff Colvin

Posted on 11/03/2007 5:04:16 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

(Fortune Magazine) -- We're hard-wired to tremble when oil prices rocket, and the past few weeks have looked like another example of why. Whenever stocks fell sharply, as they did several times, traders blamed the fast-rising price of oil.

But that chain of logic is misleading. The bigger picture shows that the relation between oil and the economy is changing, and we'll have to rewire our brains to understand what's happening. Watching oil prices rise and fall is no longer enough; the key now is understanding why they're moving.

(Excerpt) Read more at money.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/30/commentary/colvin_oil.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007103107
1 posted on 11/03/2007 5:04:18 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Oil is at $90+ per barrel because the dollar isn’t worth $—t anymore.


2 posted on 11/03/2007 6:19:53 PM PDT by Ouderkirk (Don't you think it's interesting how death and destruction seems to happen wherever Muslims gather.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s always bad if I have to pay more for it, no matter how you “spin the story” in the news article... LOL!


3 posted on 11/03/2007 6:22:53 PM PDT by Star Traveler
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To: Ouderkirk
That is certainly a lot of it. I happened to be watching CNBC the day that the Fed announced its quarter per cent rate cut. You could see the immediate drop of the dollar and the immediate rise of gold and oil prices as the announcement went on. As I recall, long term interest rates rose shortly thereafter too.

Of course there is a lot of demand pressure too, but the low dollar has a lot to do with near $100 oil.

4 posted on 11/03/2007 7:06:45 PM PDT by Tom D. (Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy. - Benj. Franklin)
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To: Tom D.
Yeah, the 10 year bond rate rose from 4.39% to 4.44%.

Oh, the humanity!

Speculators are driving the oil and most commodity markets, not fundamentals. Oil was below $50 last December and very likely will be again this December. Volatility is the name of the game.

5 posted on 11/03/2007 11:03:25 PM PDT by rebel_yell2
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To: Tom D.

Then why did the US Dollar drop 40% vs the Euro as we raised interest rates 15 straight times?


6 posted on 11/04/2007 5:45:08 AM PST by rb22982
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To: rb22982

Because we were and are spending dollars like drunken sailors. Now we have lower interest rates to boot which does two things: 1) It cuts the utility of the dollar itself; and, 2) It encourages more spending.


7 posted on 11/04/2007 1:39:45 PM PST by Tom D. (Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy. - Benj. Franklin)
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