Warner, like many dems, is figuring that a Republican will win in 2008. Not because the American people adore the Republicans, but because they won't be able to bring themselves to elect John-Boy Edwards, a woman who sounds like every man's screeching ex-wife, or a black liberal with an Arab name. The dems are also figuring that no Republican president is going to last more than one term. On that point they may be wrong, but I tend to agree. By 2012 we Republicans will have had a long run, and sometimes America just gets tired of one party and wants a change, as happened in '92. So the chances are that Warner will have an open road in 2012. And he would be a very attractive candidate for the dems.
Well, unless Fred morphs into Bush, Sr., I don’t see him losing reelection. The big reason why Bush, Sr. lost in ‘92 had little to do with party fatigue and everything to do with forgetting why he was elected and whose legacy he was continuing. Had he stood up to the rodents on their demands he break his word on the tax hikes, I guarantee he would’ve won reelection handily.